ASteroide

56Qualified whaleProven trader

0x05c611fd744bf70187565444f63c5dc02342d823· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$49,403

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$55,339

Capital deployed

$443,501

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$12,000

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 5.5/30Return 9.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.6Total 56.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	80.9¢	$23,869	+$1,548	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	59.4¢	$12,494	+$1,068	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	82.0¢	$8,473	-$1,377	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	39.0¢	$6,632	-$865	Trade ↗
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	91.0¢	$2,857	-$2,143	Trade ↗
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	78.0¢	$105	-$351	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	93.0¢	$67	-$33	Trade ↗
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	94.0¢	$52	+$2	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	98.4¢	$50	-$0	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	39.7¢	$40	+$20	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	68.0¢	$35	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	88.6¢	$33	+$3	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	78.0¢	$31	+$6	Trade ↗
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	97.4¢	$30	+$0	Trade ↗
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	34.0¢	$27	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	30.8¢	$26	+$6	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	63.0¢	$25	+$5	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	80.3¢	$24	+$4	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	88.1¢	$23	-$27	Trade ↗
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	89.0¢	$22	+$2	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	90.9¢	$21	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	73.0¢	$21	+$1	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	93.5¢	$21	+$1	Trade ↗
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	93.0¢	$21	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	68.0¢	$20	+$5	Trade ↗
Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	96.4¢	$20	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	89.0¢	$20	+$0	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	97.9¢	$19	-$1	Trade ↗
NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$16	+$1	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	97.5¢	$14	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	83.5¢	$14	-$36	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	72.0¢	$14	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	72.9¢	$13	+$2	Trade ↗
Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	73.0¢	$12	+$2	Trade ↗
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	88.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	90.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	84.0¢	$10	-$40	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	92.2¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	85.0¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	99.0¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Ethereal FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	98.8¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	99.0¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	50.0¢	$9	+$4	Trade ↗
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?	No	87.4¢	$8	+$1	Trade ↗
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	43.8¢	$7	-$3	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	79.0¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	39.5¢	$6	+$3	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	85.0¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	69.0¢	$6	-$14	Trade ↗
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	56.0¢	$6	-$14	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	90.0¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	96.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	47.0¢	$5	-$5	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	48.0¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	74.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	93.0¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	49.0¢	$3	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	81.4¢	$3	-$7	Trade ↗
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	Yes	46.5¢	$2	-$8	Trade ↗
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	70.0¢	$2	-$8	Trade ↗
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48.0¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	53.0¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	47.9¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	25.5¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	14.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?	Yes	32.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?	Yes	75.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	37.9¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	89.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña end in a draw?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	54.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	No	62.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	69.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?	No	72.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
50d ago	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	Yes	80.0¢	$12,000