Seutervoinen

0xfaf680c17a9cca24ff0773ae2d9f7db49c02cc47· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$8,627

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

84%

325 of 386 resolved

Resolved markets

386

Portfolio value

$163,469

Capital deployed

$4,320,628

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$253,534

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 21.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 41.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	23.4¢	$20,553	+$11,217	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	97.4¢	$15,922	+$202	Trade ↗
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	93.0¢	$10,121	+$162	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8,764	+$8,271	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	96.0¢	$7,929	+$13	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?	Yes	89.6¢	$7,569	+$316	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$6,577	+$6,084	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	86.0¢	$6,438	-$273	Trade ↗
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	No	98.6¢	$5,239	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	87.4¢	$4,304	-$486	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	97.5¢	$4,268	+$52	Trade ↗
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	Yes	76.3¢	$3,576	+$689	Trade ↗
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	98.9¢	$3,563	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	88.1¢	$2,975	-$92	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?	Yes	88.7¢	$2,875	-$73	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?	Yes	91.0¢	$2,812	+$90	Trade ↗
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	81.0¢	$2,574	+$355	Trade ↗
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	98.9¢	$2,412	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?	Yes	91.4¢	$2,328	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?	Yes	86.7¢	$2,323	+$134	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	Yes	89.4¢	$2,301	+$102	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?	No	86.8¢	$2,068	+$128	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	95.0¢	$1,811	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?	Yes	84.4¢	$1,772	+$62	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	91.0¢	$1,764	+$140	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$1,728	-$9	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	97.1¢	$1,620	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	59.7¢	$1,520	+$145	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: August	Nothing	98.9¢	$1,499	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$1,385	+$452	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$1,385	+$452	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	79.0¢	$1,383	+$67	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$1,283	+$350	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?	No	91.0¢	$1,112	+$30	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-07 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$1,080	$0	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$1,025	+$133	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-26 House seat?	No	91.0¢	$981	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	89.0¢	$972	-$17	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$923	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	90.0¢	$917	+$34	Trade ↗
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?	No	85.7¢	$850	+$106	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	89.0¢	$840	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?	Yes	81.0¢	$813	-$31	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	83.0¢	$773	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat?	No	93.0¢	$696	$0	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	76.0¢	$660	-$100	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	91.0¢	$621	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?	No	82.1¢	$584	-$51	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	80.0¢	$481	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	86.5¢	$450	+$3	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	79.0¢	$434	+$42	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	84.0¢	$419	-$1,482	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?	No	84.0¢	$418	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	81.5¢	$364	+$32	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?	Yes	89.7¢	$337	+$17	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?	Yes	91.0¢	$333	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	10.0¢	$317	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	94.0¢	$308	-$31	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	90.5¢	$289	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	89.0¢	$226	+$13	Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	55.0¢	$215	-$335	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat?	No	82.5¢	$208	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$140	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	Yes	72.0¢	$139	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	79.7¢	$127	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?	Yes	89.0¢	$92	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	34.5¢	$78	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$72	+$48	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	87.0¢	$68	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$54	-$487	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$53	-$58	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	85.0¢	$51	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.4¢	$41	+$0	Trade ↗
49ers vs. Rams	49ers	35.0¢	$36	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$32	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$24	-$470	Trade ↗
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$22	-$443	Trade ↗
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$22	-$443	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$15	-$293	Trade ↗
Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Buccaneers	34.0¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8	-$486	Trade ↗
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	Yes	19.0¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$5	-$680	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	9.1¢	$5	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	85.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?	Yes	5.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
7d ago	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$20,220
8d ago	Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$10,996
8d ago	Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$11,007
10d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	SELL	No	98.6¢	$25,422
10d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	BUY	No	98.0¢	$29,876
10d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$29,876
12d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	BUY	No	99.7¢	$11,864
12d ago	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	SELL	Yes	99.7¢	$10,298
15d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	BUY	No	99.0¢	$19,138
19d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$21,398
20d ago	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?	BUY	No	99.6¢	$10,312
20d ago	Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$21,576
22d ago	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	SELL	No	99.1¢	$16,599
22d ago	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$14,953