Treadmilled

33Qualified whaleProven trader

0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$304,882

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

61%

94 of 154 resolved

Resolved markets

154

Portfolio value

$1,380

Capital deployed

$10,633,453

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,586

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 20.3/30Return 2.4/25Consistency 6.9/25Sample size 18.3/20Concentration -14.7Total 33.2 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	65.0¢	$1,356	+$444	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	68.8¢	$24	-$83	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	58.6¢	$0	-$29,803	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	21.1¢	$0	-$6,319	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	24.0¢	$0	-$5,280	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	31.1¢	$0	-$12,678	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	2.7¢	$0	-$4,994	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	56.5¢	$0	-$5,414	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	23.4¢	$0	-$2,627	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	39.9¢	$0	-$14,360	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	14.3¢	$0	-$28,187	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$1,919	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
55d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	45.0¢	$11,586