gopfan2

85Qualified whaleProven trader

0xf2f6af4f27ec2dcf4072095ab804016e14cd5817· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$6,919,360

closed + open positions

Return on capital

16%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$455,565

Capital deployed

$41,995,504

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$55,983

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 13.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.5Total 85.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	67.0¢	$193,594	+$17,205	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$52,885	+$17,885	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	25.9¢	$35,547	+$15,068	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	29.3¢	$19,715	-$7,205	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$17,115	-$17,885	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17.2¢	$13,465	-$19,426	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	32.6¢	$13,415	+$4,918	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	16.1¢	$12,067	+$9,509	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	94.0¢	$11,558	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.0¢	$11,045	+$1,933	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2.4¢	$6,755	+$5,393	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	60.8¢	$6,158	+$2,109	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	54.4¢	$4,676	+$1,956	Trade ↗
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	72.9¢	$4,465	+$702	Trade ↗
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$4,175	+$2,700	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	66.0¢	$3,506	+$1,038	Trade ↗
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	84.9¢	$3,450	+$367	Trade ↗
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	64.7¢	$3,222	+$956	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	39.5¢	$3,182	+$692	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	62.0¢	$2,734	+$929	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	49.2¢	$2,683	-$41	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	60.0¢	$2,512	+$592	Trade ↗
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	94.5¢	$2,182	+$94	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	69.0¢	$2,065	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	39.2¢	$1,832	+$382	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	51.7¢	$1,803	-$202	Trade ↗
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	78.0¢	$1,740	+$206	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	63.1¢	$1,518	+$470	Trade ↗
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$1,390	-$696	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	No	74.0¢	$1,119	+$231	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	80.0¢	$1,101	+$133	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	89.8¢	$1,032	+$75	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	86.0¢	$913	-$22	Trade ↗
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$876	+$156	Trade ↗
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	11.4¢	$849	+$520	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	68.0¢	$831	+$6	Trade ↗
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	No	71.0¢	$812	+$142	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	94.9¢	$781	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	66.0¢	$765	+$105	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	74.0¢	$764	+$159	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	51.0¢	$710	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$515	+$102	Trade ↗
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	81.0¢	$462	+$80	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	37.0¢	$431	+$242	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	49.5¢	$411	-$18	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	64.0¢	$330	+$99	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	59.3¢	$321	+$30	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	59.8¢	$275	+$26	Trade ↗
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	50.0¢	$244	+$115	Trade ↗
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$217	-$53	Trade ↗
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	55.3¢	$188	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6.3¢	$170	+$34	Trade ↗
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?	No	72.8¢	$163	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	12.7¢	$151	+$90	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	26.0¢	$121	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	4.6¢	$103	+$56	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	70.0¢	$98	-$556	Trade ↗
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?	No	68.0¢	$65	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?	No	63.0¢	$55	+$11	Trade ↗
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	31.4¢	$46	-$181	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	53.0¢	$33	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	23.0¢	$26	+$18	Trade ↗
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$18	+$2	Trade ↗
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	35.0¢	$15	-$68	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$15	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$15	-$298	Trade ↗
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?	No	75.0¢	$13	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	14.3¢	$7	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$5	-$308	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$520	Trade ↗
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	45.0¢	$0	-$9,495	Trade ↗
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	No	51.0¢	$0	-$25,500	Trade ↗
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)	Eastern Kentucky Colonels	51.0¢	$0	-$7,650	Trade ↗
Bruins vs. Islanders	Islanders	31.0¢	$0	-$4,885	Trade ↗
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$4,400	Trade ↗
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$92	Trade ↗
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 60% and 62%?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$356	Trade ↗
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5	Under	57.0¢	$0	-$11,400	Trade ↗
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?	Yes	21.4¢	$0	-$144	Trade ↗
2025 September third hottest on record?	Yes	47.5¢	$0	-$2,524	Trade ↗
Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5	Under	51.0¢	$0	-$1,542	Trade ↗
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?	Yes	38.3¢	$0	-$3,463	Trade ↗
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?	Yes	14.9¢	$0	-$243	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?	Yes	16.7¢	$0	-$7,612	Trade ↗
Will turnout be between 6.2 million and 6.6 million in the 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election second round?	No	75.0¢	$0	-$451	Trade ↗
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	2.9¢	$0	-$781	Trade ↗
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	54.0¢	$0	-$11,302	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?	Yes	14.3¢	$0	-$167	Trade ↗
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?	Yes	23.9¢	$0	-$316	Trade ↗
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$66	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	BUY	Yes	51.3¢	$11,264
1d ago	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BUY	Yes	69.5¢	$33,241
25d ago	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	SELL	No	52.9¢	$11,478