grinder1011

13Proven trader

0xeed7c2e6c4e998fd50098b66144ee8dff01d16b2· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$6,564

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

53%

24 of 45 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$76,530

Capital deployed

$424,605

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$27,558

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 1.3/25Consistency 2.1/25Sample size 10.0/20Concentration -0.1Total 13.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	78.2¢	$19,411	+$3,941	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$15,040	+$6,790	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	46.7¢	$10,756	+$995	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	68.8¢	$6,870	+$162	Trade ↗
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	95.4¢	$3,738	+$21	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	57.8¢	$3,189	-$164	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	83.5¢	$3,066	+$268	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	76.4¢	$2,846	+$128	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	50.8¢	$2,380	+$118	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	56.8¢	$2,296	+$591	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$1,460	-$6,790	Trade ↗
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	82.0¢	$767	+$76	Trade ↗
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?	No	87.9¢	$692	-$11	Trade ↗
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	76.4¢	$451	+$15	Trade ↗
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	79.8¢	$368	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	13.0¢	$338	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?	No	54.3¢	$326	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Drew Campbell be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?	No	98.0¢	$234	-$11	Trade ↗
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	No	62.2¢	$229	-$45	Trade ↗
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	No	97.4¢	$195	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10.7¢	$180	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	31.0¢	$148	-$8	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	68.9¢	$135	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	12.0¢	$121	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	91.0¢	$121	-$5	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	9.2¢	$116	+$12	Trade ↗
Will North Carolina have the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	85.0¢	$114	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	33.4¢	$107	-$268	Trade ↗
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	31.7¢	$101	+$25	Trade ↗
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	No	89.9¢	$89	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?	Yes	61.0¢	$88	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?	No	83.3¢	$59	-$7	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	1.3¢	$49	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	8.6¢	$46	+$22	Trade ↗
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	No	93.2¢	$43	+$1	Trade ↗
Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?	Yes	92.4¢	$41	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	25.0¢	$41	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	No	65.1¢	$28	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?	No	18.0¢	$27	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Drew Campbell come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	8.0¢	$26	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	Yes	70.6¢	$26	+$2	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance say "2028" or "Campaign" during RNC Convention?	No	25.6¢	$24	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	No	35.0¢	$22	-$6	Trade ↗
GTA VI released by November 30?	No	7.0¢	$17	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	73.0¢	$13	+$2	Trade ↗
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	Yes	17.5¢	$13	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Yash Patel come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	9.0¢	$13	-$8	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?	Yes	10.3¢	$12	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	2.9¢	$8	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Yes	19.3¢	$7	-$3	Trade ↗
Will “Dancing with the Stars” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?	No	96.2¢	$6	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Dee Valladares come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	6.0¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.1¢	$5	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?	Yes	19.0¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.9¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?	Yes	1.2¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	Yes	11.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.0% in August?	Yes	1.7¢	$2	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?	No	15.3¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	17.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Melody Morris come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	7.9¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.1% in August?	Yes	4.3¢	$1	-$6	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance say "America First" during RNC Convention?	No	71.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Cincinnati Reds hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	0.3¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will “Survivor” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?	Yes	1.9¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August?	Yes	0.7¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Baltimore Orioles clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	Yes	3.9¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	No	28.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 30?	No	7.1¢	$0	-$66	Trade ↗
Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	11.6¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	14.5¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	39.1¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Linda Cardellini – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	No	17.0¢	$0	-$37	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
9d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	SELL	No	97.2¢	$15,882
28d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	97.3¢	$11,676