Pog

38Qualified whaleProven trader

0xe6caba8578c6c2d53cf31f283601888adc92b27a· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$31,745

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

79%

267 of 338 resolved

Resolved markets

338

Portfolio value

$121,117

Capital deployed

$1,587,874

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,168

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 1.9/30Return 1.7/25Consistency 18.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.9Total 37.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	42.9¢	$53,761	+$1,200	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21.4¢	$18,376	-$8,074	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	92.1¢	$9,769	+$532	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	93.8¢	$9,654	+$312	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.5¢	$3,004	+$255	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	4.9¢	$2,868	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	78.0¢	$2,671	+$528	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.0¢	$2,583	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	85.6¢	$2,159	-$58	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	40.0¢	$2,039	-$325	Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$1,922	+$162	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$1,865	+$202	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	8.2¢	$1,840	-$450	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$1,704	+$275	Trade ↗
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?	No	76.8¢	$1,063	+$230	Trade ↗
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	91.2¢	$1,034	+$61	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	85.0¢	$935	+$85	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	70.0¢	$835	+$135	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	54.7¢	$540	+$237	Trade ↗
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	88.0¢	$470	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	64.0¢	$351	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$195	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	79.0¢	$192	+$34	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.4¢	$183	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	20.4¢	$177	-$40	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	64.0¢	$171	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.2¢	$166	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$153	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North?	No	70.0¢	$145	+$14	Trade ↗
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	81.0¢	$125	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$93	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	74.0¢	$48	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.9¢	$18	-$28	Trade ↗
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	57.7¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?	No	88.0¢	$3	-$2	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	7.6¢	$0	-$60	Trade ↗
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$1,200	Trade ↗
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$52	Trade ↗
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	41.8¢	$0	-$5,154	Trade ↗
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	71.0¢	$0	-$438	Trade ↗
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	3.4¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?	No	26.0¢	$0	-$1,673	Trade ↗
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?	No	90.2¢	$0	-$162	Trade ↗
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$120	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?	No	6.5¢	$0	-$62	Trade ↗
Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	44.0¢	$0	-$880	Trade ↗
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	47.0¢	$0	-$1,880	Trade ↗
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	6.9¢	$0	-$133	Trade ↗
Montreal Alouettes vs. Edmonton Elks	Montreal Alouettes	64.0¢	$0	-$551	Trade ↗
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 16?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$330	Trade ↗
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	56.5¢	$0	-$1,901	Trade ↗
49ers vs. Rams	Rams	64.0¢	$0	-$320	Trade ↗
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$745	Trade ↗
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	67.3¢	$0	-$134	Trade ↗
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	61.7¢	$0	-$1,783	Trade ↗
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	8.8¢	$0	-$571	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	29.0¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	Yes	27.0¢	$0	-$383	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?	Yes	18.3¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$151	Trade ↗
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?	Yes	89.0¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	43.4¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	65.0¢	$0	-$3,900	Trade ↗
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	0.2¢	$0	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	50.7¢	$0	-$5,250	Trade ↗
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	41.0¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	23.3¢	$0	-$1,252	Trade ↗
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	Ian Machado Garry	25.0¢	$0	-$33	Trade ↗
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	38.0¢	$0	-$570	Trade ↗
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	72.0¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
Jazz vs. Lakers	Jazz	5.1¢	$0	-$92	Trade ↗
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	92.6¢	$0	-$182	Trade ↗
Cowboys vs. Giants	Cowboys	60.7¢	$0	-$607	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	Yes	79.0¢	$0	-$387	Trade ↗
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	55.0¢	$0	-$1,650	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
57d ago	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	Yes	48.0¢	$10,168