megaforest

20Proven trader

0xe172d9e17386f9b4298e2e6eaf8c66d8a8b4e8e0· stats updated 5d ago

Realized PnL

+$11,902

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

71%

44 of 62 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$48,672

Capital deployed

$432,975

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$28,667

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 13.1/25Sample size 12.2/20Concentration -7.3Total 20.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	79.3¢	$29,898	-$981	Trade ↗
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	71.5¢	$9,222	+$1,609	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	89.0¢	$5,475	-$31	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	90.5¢	$3,556	+$264	Trade ↗
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	55.4¢	$188	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	68.7¢	$92	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes	2.8¢	$86	+$37	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	65.0¢	$75	-$3	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.2¢	$65	+$11	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	92.0¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	91.0¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	76.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	61.0¢	$3	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	52.5¢	$0	-$2,483	Trade ↗
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?	No	93.1¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
7d ago	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	79.9¢	$14,265
7d ago	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	SELL	No	93.5¢	$14,403