WhaleWatcher

realbengvir

22Qualified whaleProven trader
0xdef6f7b147246e2bab5422c7363cdebbfd54f69a· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$50,047
closed + open positions
Return on capital
1%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
64%
23 of 36 resolved
Resolved markets
36
Portfolio value
$211,198
Capital deployed
$4,588,429
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$278,562
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
38

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 5.6/30Return 0.9/25Consistency 8.7/25Sample size 8.6/20Concentration -2.0Total 21.7 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes64.0¢$74,481+$2,800Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes62.8¢$23,483+$265Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes86.4¢$17,520-$291Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes77.6¢$14,043+$274Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No89.0¢$13,726+$948Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes41.0¢$11,266+$524Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes44.0¢$6,634-$234Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No93.0¢$5,640+$60Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No70.2¢$5,165+$487Trade ↗
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No32.2¢$4,889-$641Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes73.9¢$4,555+$164Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes46.6¢$4,415-$245Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes70.0¢$3,575+$75Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No93.0¢$3,107+$58Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No77.5¢$2,950+$1Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes78.0¢$2,484-$49Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No74.0¢$2,175-$45Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No90.7¢$1,970+$78Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes90.0¢$1,830+$30Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes64.0¢$1,380+$100Trade ↗
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?No29.2¢$1,150+$85Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No22.5¢$904-$410Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes65.0¢$675+$25Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes42.9¢$595-$86Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes38.0¢$478+$92Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Yes8.0¢$380+$116Trade ↗
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?No87.0¢$366+$18Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes90.0¢$352-$8Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No86.0¢$260+$2Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No87.0¢$148-$26Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes78.8¢$142-$58Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes6.0¢$130-$12Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No19.0¢$129-$19Trade ↗
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes27.8¢$127-$4Trade ↗
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes14.5¢$48+$5Trade ↗
Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?Georgia63.0¢$21+$2Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?No96.2¢$5-$0Trade ↗
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes90.0¢$1-$0Trade ↗
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?Yes0.1¢$0-$2,124Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes13.0¢$0-$260Trade ↗
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes2.2¢$0-$450Trade ↗
Titans vs. ColtsColts7.0¢$0-$36Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
3d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo96.4¢$16,030
4d ago2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUYYes64.0¢$19,200
4d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo98.0¢$29,742
4d ago2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUYYes64.0¢$51,200
4d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo98.4¢$17,760
5d agoWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUYYes62.0¢$12,400
8d agoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYYes77.7¢$10,960
9d agoWill the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUYYes92.0¢$92,000
19d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo97.6¢$29,270