CosmicCedar

82Qualified whaleProven trader

0xdacf9f8d0341fa3770fae5c7ccd9dcfed23e3c74· stats updated 14h ago

Realized PnL

+$212,558

closed + open positions

Return on capital

24%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$31,500

Capital deployed

$888,592

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,126

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

464

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 17.4/30Return 19.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 82.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	76.0¢	$4,830	+$270	Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	90.0¢	$2,378	+$222	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	99.9¢	$2,094	+$1	Trade ↗
Will there be 7+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	99.8¢	$1,414	+$2	Trade ↗
Will USC have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	99.8¢	$1,211	+$2	Trade ↗
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?	Yes	75.0¢	$1,060	-$733	Trade ↗
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	53.3¢	$998	+$81	Trade ↗
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	94.1¢	$847	+$27	Trade ↗
Will there be 3+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	No	99.9¢	$731	+$0	Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	93.0¢	$684	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	Yes	23.6¢	$520	+$312	Trade ↗
Will Tennessee have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	98.1¢	$486	-$11	Trade ↗
Will there be 5+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	No	99.9¢	$465	-$0	Trade ↗
Will there be 7+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	No	99.9¢	$455	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Jaxson Dart finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	91.3¢	$394	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?	Yes	72.6¢	$369	+$32	Trade ↗
Will there be 6+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	99.7¢	$353	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 15+ innings?	No	90.5¢	$339	+$24	Trade ↗
Will there be 4+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	No	99.9¢	$339	$0	Trade ↗
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8?	No	63.5¢	$335	+$116	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Hurts have 3,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	81.6¢	$282	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Michigan not air?	No	98.8¢	$273	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?	No	99.8¢	$269	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Hurts have 199.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	12.6¢	$269	+$234	Trade ↗
Will there be 6+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	No	99.9¢	$267	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Hurts be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	97.4¢	$256	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy?	No	79.3¢	$237	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	93.0¢	$232	+$15	Trade ↗
MLB Postseason: Will there be a no-hitter?	No	96.6¢	$225	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Drew Rasmussen lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	Yes	1.1¢	$220	+$214	Trade ↗
Will Mississippi State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	77.6¢	$216	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Auston Matthews record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	34.3¢	$184	+$55	Trade ↗
CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?	No	53.0¢	$178	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Hurts have 16.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	72.7¢	$171	+$42	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	81.0¢	$165	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Wake Forest have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	45.0¢	$158	+$86	Trade ↗
Will Michigan State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	99.9¢	$156	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Rutgers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	94.8¢	$151	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Notre Dame have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	91.9¢	$146	+$7	Trade ↗
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	Yes	22.7¢	$140	-$420	Trade ↗
Will the season series between the Bills and Patriots end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	52.3¢	$137	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Colorado State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	38.2¢	$133	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Clemson have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	92.0¢	$127	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy record 4+ shutouts?	No	20.6¢	$123	+$78	Trade ↗
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	19.7¢	$114	+$74	Trade ↗
Will Brandon Hagel record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	43.5¢	$112	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Florida State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	83.0¢	$109	+$7	Trade ↗
Will William Contreras lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	Yes	35.4¢	$99	+$28	Trade ↗
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	79.0¢	$99	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Vanderbilt have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	72.2¢	$98	+$26	Trade ↗
Will the season series between the Broncos and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	35.9¢	$98	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the Minnesota Wild record 80+ points?	Yes	90.0¢	$96	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Chandler Simpson lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?	Yes	9.1¢	$91	+$82	Trade ↗
Will the season series between the Texans and Titans end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	59.8¢	$91	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	99.0¢	$88	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Jaxson Dart be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	99.0¢	$88	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Carnell Tate be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	99.0¢	$88	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	99.0¢	$86	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Chris Godwin be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	99.0¢	$86	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	51.3¢	$82	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the season series between the Bengals and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	29.3¢	$81	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	49.0¢	$81	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	No	99.0¢	$79	-$44	Trade ↗
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?	No	94.0¢	$79	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Layne Sleeth reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	83.0¢	$76	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	Yes	8.1¢	$74	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in home runs?	Yes	1.1¢	$73	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Cody Bellinger win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	86.0¢	$71	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Boston Bruins record 100+ points?	No	65.2¢	$70	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Baltimore Ravens win more than 11.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 11.5	11.7¢	$65	+$44	Trade ↗
Will NC State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	21.0¢	$65	+$48	Trade ↗
Will the Texans win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	48.7¢	$62	+$13	Trade ↗
Will the Commanders win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	18.0¢	$60	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	79.7¢	$58	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Auston Matthews record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	41.0¢	$57	-$99	Trade ↗
Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 7.5	52.3¢	$56	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Cole Caufield record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	24.0¢	$56	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Stanford have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	79.0¢	$56	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Auburn have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	63.3¢	$55	+$17	Trade ↗
Will D'Andre Swift have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	28.0¢	$55	+$36	Trade ↗
Will the New York Islanders record 80+ points?	Yes	49.4¢	$54	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Martin Necas record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	76.0¢	$54	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Oregon have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	69.6¢	$53	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	55.7¢	$52	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 12?	Yes	25.0¢	$52	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League?	Yes	99.0¢	$49	-$57	Trade ↗
Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	68.4¢	$46	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Rutgers have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	92.0¢	$45	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Augustus Ge reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	89.0¢	$43	-$2	Trade ↗
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	Yes	78.0¢	$40	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Layne Sleeth qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	Yes	13.5¢	$40	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Jaxson Dart have 19.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	93.9¢	$40	+$1	Trade ↗
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	82.5¢	$40	$0	Trade ↗
Will Zoey Weil reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	No	94.0¢	$39	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Hurts have 2,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	79.0¢	$39	+$7	Trade ↗
Will an NL Central team win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	59.0¢	$39	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Hurts have 2,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	80.0¢	$39	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	47.7¢	$39	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Northwestern have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	O 5.5	99.9¢	$38	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	78.0¢	$38	+$4	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
78d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	BUY	No	84.7¢	$11,126