sciuboi

59Qualified whaleProven trader

0xd6b6f6924341b00626e603240f799644d4b6342b· stats updated 17h ago

Realized PnL

+$502,077

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

66%

328 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$130,547

Capital deployed

$8,629,810

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$22,000

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

142

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 24.4/30Return 4.8/25Consistency 9.8/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 59.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	87.8¢	$26,250	-$100	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	92.0¢	$23,619	-$129	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	84.4¢	$12,027	-$686	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	92.0¢	$9,599	-$52	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	44.6¢	$7,630	+$2,858	Trade ↗
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	82.3¢	$4,820	+$107	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	64.4¢	$4,503	-$497	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	97.0¢	$3,859	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	83.8¢	$2,726	+$101	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	58.0¢	$2,490	+$954	Trade ↗
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	91.7¢	$2,188	+$52	Trade ↗
Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	95.1¢	$2,028	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	8.9¢	$1,883	+$553	Trade ↗
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	94.0¢	$1,864	+$68	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	32.4¢	$1,820	-$179	Trade ↗
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	95.3¢	$1,820	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	96.8¢	$1,776	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	93.2¢	$1,735	+$38	Trade ↗
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	95.5¢	$1,721	+$59	Trade ↗
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	13.4¢	$1,644	-$675	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	37.5¢	$1,540	+$40	Trade ↗
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	84.6¢	$1,272	+$160	Trade ↗
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	26.0¢	$1,210	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4.0¢	$1,069	+$799	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	11.8¢	$856	+$226	Trade ↗
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	96.8¢	$801	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	16.4¢	$787	+$87	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	27.0¢	$780	-$30	Trade ↗
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	97.3¢	$704	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	32.9¢	$691	-$257	Trade ↗
Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	72.1¢	$654	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	5.3¢	$615	+$411	Trade ↗
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	74.5¢	$586	+$47	Trade ↗
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	78.8¢	$567	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	30.0¢	$368	-$19	Trade ↗
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	63.3¢	$302	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	52.2¢	$286	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	71.0¢	$245	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	95.4¢	$172	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	9.8¢	$160	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	35.0¢	$125	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	42.0¢	$113	-$27	Trade ↗
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	59.0¢	$98	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	23.0¢	$92	+$64	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	31.0¢	$64	-$68	Trade ↗
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	26.7¢	$60	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	32.0¢	$49	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	12.4¢	$29	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$25	-$85	Trade ↗
Will William Saliba finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$11	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Willian Pacho win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will William Saliba win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Marquinhos win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Sadio Mané win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Dayot Upamecano win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Julián Quiñones win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will João Neves win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Magalhães win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Marc Cucurella win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.9¢	$10	-$173	Trade ↗
Will Dayot Upamecano finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$9	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	79.0¢	$9	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	4.5¢	$6	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	4.5¢	$6	-$53	Trade ↗
Will Nuno Mendes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$6	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	12.0¢	$5	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	Yes	1.6¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	Yes	1.6¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Rotimi Amaechi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	4.5¢	$3	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	1.6¢	$3	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	2.5¢	$1	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Julián Quiñones finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Erling Haaland finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Marquinhos finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Luis Diaz finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Sadio Mané finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Declan Rice finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will João Neves finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Jude Bellingham finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Marc Cucurella finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Vitinha finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Ferran Torres finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Michael Olise finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Willian Pacho finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$1	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	Yes	1.6¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	-$23	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	88.0¢	$22,000