881112

89Qualified whaleProven trader

0xd426adbc3c4461c86099c26221c877f20e42334a· stats updated 8d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,190,254

closed + open positions

Return on capital

17%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$113,237

Capital deployed

$7,107,604

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$12,338

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

178

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 14.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 89.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	No	86.4¢	$9,364	+$798	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	56.5¢	$5,476	+$2,376	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	71.0¢	$5,261	+$680	Trade ↗
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	5.1¢	$4,251	+$3,998	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	58.0¢	$3,157	+$1,277	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	82.0¢	$2,923	+$290	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	25.7¢	$2,787	+$1,886	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	92.3¢	$2,696	+$205	Trade ↗
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	17.6¢	$2,335	-$718	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	17.1¢	$2,305	-$2,955	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$2,240	+$302	Trade ↗
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	94.7¢	$1,876	+$96	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$1,870	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17.8¢	$1,864	-$414	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$1,834	+$162	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	39.0¢	$1,787	+$24	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	27.3¢	$1,786	-$1,577	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	55.0¢	$1,720	-$231	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	92.2¢	$1,716	+$57	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	83.5¢	$1,682	+$57	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	86.0¢	$1,678	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	94.3¢	$1,672	+$56	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	71.4¢	$1,398	+$398	Trade ↗
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	18.0¢	$1,267	-$1,578	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	68.5¢	$1,150	-$17	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	56.0¢	$1,100	-$144	Trade ↗
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	64.2¢	$1,098	+$230	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	69.0¢	$1,036	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	99.2¢	$995	+$3	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	68.2¢	$988	+$101	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	51.1¢	$968	-$197	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	16.1¢	$965	-$185	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	63.7¢	$963	+$266	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	No	82.8¢	$949	+$156	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	27.9¢	$939	-$476	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	19.7¢	$924	-$657	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	34.0¢	$912	+$504	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	47.5¢	$906	+$336	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	Yes	12.5¢	$900	-$350	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.2¢	$885	-$166	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	23.8¢	$881	-$94	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	77.8¢	$865	+$87	Trade ↗
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	88.2¢	$847	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	3.7¢	$845	-$688	Trade ↗
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?	No	92.2¢	$825	+$44	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	18.8¢	$798	-$313	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	19.5¢	$795	+$354	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	55.0¢	$795	+$344	Trade ↗
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?	No	92.0¢	$781	+$62	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$762	+$4	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	59.0¢	$759	+$235	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	9.9¢	$750	+$676	Trade ↗
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	No	42.6¢	$737	+$304	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?	No	73.0¢	$700	+$189	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	53.7¢	$688	+$206	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	14.9¢	$686	-$515	Trade ↗
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	59.3¢	$634	+$100	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	26.7¢	$630	+$142	Trade ↗
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	No	57.0¢	$609	+$210	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	No	63.0¢	$600	+$222	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	85.3¢	$598	+$1	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	54.5¢	$576	-$45	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	60.0¢	$559	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	6.6¢	$554	-$245	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	61.0¢	$548	+$60	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	62.0¢	$534	+$180	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	10.8¢	$532	-$146	Trade ↗
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?	No	93.0¢	$512	-$46	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	65.3¢	$500	+$171	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?	No	94.2¢	$500	+$29	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	Yes	6.5¢	$493	-$200	Trade ↗
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	88.0¢	$460	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	85.2¢	$448	+$22	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	68.0¢	$443	-$614	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	67.0¢	$435	+$33	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	47.0¢	$406	+$21	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?	No	65.0¢	$400	+$140	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	22.5¢	$389	-$1,203	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	7.4¢	$363	-$414	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	89.0¢	$332	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	8.6¢	$313	-$5	Trade ↗
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	61.0¢	$298	+$115	Trade ↗
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	No	53.4¢	$295	+$53	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	23.1¢	$288	-$116	Trade ↗
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	97.0¢	$275	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	36.0¢	$274	-$50	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	7.9¢	$274	-$563	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	57.0¢	$271	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	11.3¢	$252	-$34	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	84.6¢	$228	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	87.0¢	$228	-$739	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	47.0¢	$223	+$15	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	83.7¢	$218	+$12	Trade ↗
Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	91.1¢	$179	+$9	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	52.0¢	$175	-$50	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	No	35.0¢	$165	-$45	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25.6¢	$161	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	9.0¢	$148	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	4.4¢	$142	+$14	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	43.0¢	$141	-$117	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
9d ago	Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	BUY	No	90.4¢	$12,338