881112

90Qualified whaleProven trader

0xd426adbc3c4461c86099c26221c877f20e42334a· stats updated 6h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,233,424

closed + open positions

Return on capital

18%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$101,318

Capital deployed

$6,835,062

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$12,338

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

195

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 15.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 90.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	No	86.5¢	$9,453	+$885	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	25.9¢	$4,771	+$3,490	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24.1¢	$3,069	-$1,407	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	50.0¢	$2,819	+$625	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	22.1¢	$2,535	-$342	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	30.7¢	$2,521	+$1,076	Trade ↗
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?	No	89.9¢	$2,490	+$235	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	90.2¢	$2,203	+$38	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	70.0¢	$2,125	+$374	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	82.3¢	$2,096	+$126	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	56.2¢	$2,023	+$867	Trade ↗
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?	Yes	25.3¢	$2,001	+$311	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17.8¢	$1,849	-$87	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	36.3¢	$1,822	+$1,122	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	56.3¢	$1,812	+$310	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	70.6¢	$1,788	+$169	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	86.0¢	$1,725	+$77	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	28.3¢	$1,716	+$819	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	34.1¢	$1,674	-$4	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	59.5¢	$1,574	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	25.7¢	$1,510	+$1,086	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	61.7¢	$1,356	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	55.0¢	$1,295	-$657	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	34.0¢	$1,166	+$758	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	69.8¢	$1,141	+$339	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	No	48.9¢	$1,139	+$145	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	36.2¢	$1,031	-$21	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	63.7¢	$1,023	+$326	Trade ↗
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	18.7¢	$1,023	+$90	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	73.5¢	$984	+$63	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	54.5¢	$918	+$297	Trade ↗
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	97.1¢	$875	+$14	Trade ↗
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	No	87.7¢	$873	+$53	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	23.6¢	$856	-$41	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42.2¢	$847	-$204	Trade ↗
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?	No	92.2¢	$832	+$51	Trade ↗
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.4¢	$830	-$2,360	Trade ↗
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	83.0¢	$819	+$72	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	56.0¢	$811	-$433	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	12.0¢	$808	-$115	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	46.7¢	$787	+$87	Trade ↗
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	18.0¢	$776	-$2,069	Trade ↗
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	No	42.6¢	$768	+$421	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	26.8¢	$757	-$231	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	53.7¢	$733	+$251	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	No	79.3¢	$726	+$129	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	20.5¢	$710	-$1,935	Trade ↗
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	59.3¢	$706	+$172	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	34.5¢	$693	+$1	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	73.0¢	$688	+$120	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	8.3¢	$677	+$145	Trade ↗
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	No	57.0¢	$664	+$265	Trade ↗
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	52.0¢	$626	+$164	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	33.9¢	$616	-$1,202	Trade ↗
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?	No	93.0¢	$596	+$38	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	67.0¢	$577	+$175	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	14.9¢	$561	-$640	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	29.0¢	$560	-$20	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	17.3¢	$547	-$913	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	59.8¢	$546	-$709	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	62.0¢	$540	+$186	Trade ↗
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$522	+$23	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	18.7¢	$516	+$277	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	68.3¢	$511	+$5	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	73.0¢	$506	+$17	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	18.4¢	$498	+$342	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	26.0¢	$495	-$1,486	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	47.7¢	$487	+$212	Trade ↗
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	16.4¢	$484	-$2,516	Trade ↗
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	88.0¢	$476	+$36	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	11.0¢	$455	+$55	Trade ↗
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	92.4¢	$393	+$24	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	36.0¢	$328	+$5	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	13.6¢	$318	-$401	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	86.4¢	$305	-$49	Trade ↗
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	5.0¢	$304	-$292	Trade ↗
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$300	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	23.1¢	$284	-$120	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	47.0¢	$281	+$73	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	55.0¢	$275	+$115	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	71.1¢	$248	-$37	Trade ↗
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$242	+$64	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	Yes	24.0¢	$241	+$45	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	49.6¢	$234	-$10	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	88.4¢	$229	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	29.0¢	$228	-$4	Trade ↗
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	No	85.0¢	$209	+$31	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	53.0¢	$202	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	62.0¢	$185	+$19	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	24.1¢	$184	-$69	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	95.9¢	$181	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.7¢	$178	+$28	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	13.9¢	$176	+$36	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$170	-$50	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	72.2¢	$167	+$5	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	47.0¢	$160	-$225	Trade ↗
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	51.0¢	$152	+$44	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	36.5¢	$148	+$75	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	8.7¢	$146	-$954	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	56.6¢	$143	-$84	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
55d ago	Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	BUY	No	90.4¢	$12,338