WhaleWatcher

larkspur

29Qualified whaleProven trader
0xcbc5d8509552a47be7a2386311e43a05cee3e175· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$85,098
closed + open positions
Return on capital
5%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
66%
126 of 192 resolved
Resolved markets
192
Portfolio value
$227,341
Capital deployed
$1,706,064
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$658,001
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
2

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 10.0/30Return 4.2/25Consistency 9.8/25Sample size 19.7/20Concentration -15.0Total 28.6 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No93.0¢$227,305-$1,228Trade ↗
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2.6¢$36-$1Trade ↗
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes20.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreNo57.0¢$0-$200Trade ↗
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes34.5¢$0-$30Trade ↗
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes2.4¢$0-$4Trade ↗
Magic vs. PistonsMagic19.1¢$0-$115Trade ↗
Cowboys vs. LionsCowboys41.0¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?Yes1.3¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut HuskiesFurman Paladins6.7¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8AM ETUp1.0¢$0-$11Trade ↗
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs64.0¢$0-$3,559Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k12.0¢$0-$79Trade ↗
UFC 318: Holloway vs. PoirierPoirier30.0¢$0-$10Trade ↗
Rams vs. FalconsRams44.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Cori GauffGauff22.0¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Colts vs. ChiefsColts81.2¢$0-$163Trade ↗
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?No60.1¢$0-$154Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes41.0¢$0-$41Trade ↗
Knicks vs. 76ers76ers29.0¢$0-$50Trade ↗
US Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Carlos AlcarazLehecka8.0¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Texans vs. JaguarsJaguars48.0¢$0-$14Trade ↗
Steelers vs. BearsSteelers18.0¢$0-$5Trade ↗
Buccaneers vs. CowboysCowboys66.3¢$0-$620Trade ↗
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Lakers51.0¢$0-$241Trade ↗
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes71.7¢$0-$990Trade ↗
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over68.1¢$0-$388Trade ↗
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?No10.0¢$0-$5Trade ↗
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes1.6¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Warriors vs. SunsWarriors29.6¢$0-$5Trade ↗
Knicks vs. SpursSpurs51.0¢$0-$815Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?Yes49.1¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?Yes2.0¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes41.0¢$0-$25Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
3d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUYNo93.0¢$175,534
3d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUYNo93.0¢$53,000
15d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?SELLNo90.1¢$10,538
15d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?SELLNo98.1¢$40,352
15d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?SELLNo97.0¢$71,757
17d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?BUYNo97.7¢$40,138
17d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUYNo96.4¢$56,277
17d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?BUYNo95.9¢$45,697
19d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?BUYNo95.3¢$13,890
19d agoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUYNo93.0¢$10,877
45d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes37.0¢$16,362
56d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLNo56.0¢$26,159
56d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELLYes54.0¢$10,490
57d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUYYes48.0¢$12,268
67d agoWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUYYes63.0¢$11,291
67d agoWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUYYes73.4¢$25,721
68d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLNo71.2¢$18,865
74d agoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo69.4¢$18,785