alwaysOn

63Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc550e5ee1011afb6d37c7fbb18fea32e03f9272d· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$125,518

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$170,550

Capital deployed

$1,973,102

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$48,134

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 13.1/30Return 5.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 63.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	82.0¢	$15,154	+$1,121	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	95.6¢	$15,053	-$16	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	93.2¢	$14,959	+$42	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	56.5¢	$14,096	+$715	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$13,485	+$572	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	86.4¢	$12,357	+$234	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	88.7¢	$11,633	+$351	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	92.9¢	$11,294	+$766	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	88.9¢	$9,582	+$822	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	69.7¢	$9,247	+$363	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	77.0¢	$7,032	+$222	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	89.6¢	$6,358	-$304	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	No	69.0¢	$6,217	-$758	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	85.7¢	$3,465	+$255	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	92.3¢	$2,524	+$58	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	No	89.8¢	$2,127	+$96	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	64.3¢	$1,672	-$107	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	82.5¢	$1,650	+$0	Trade ↗
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	93.7¢	$1,627	+$45	Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$1,372	-$23	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	93.0¢	$915	-$15	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	75.0¢	$845	+$95	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	80.6¢	$761	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?	No	65.0¢	$720	+$188	Trade ↗
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?	No	37.0¢	$657	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	68.3¢	$641	+$2	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	92.4¢	$622	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?	No	96.3¢	$512	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	41.8¢	$483	-$741	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	86.0¢	$478	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?	No	64.8¢	$471	+$156	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	No	92.1¢	$393	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$339	+$11	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	65.0¢	$327	+$100	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	18.0¢	$325	+$235	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	9.0¢	$237	+$90	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	91.0¢	$223	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?	No	89.6¢	$218	+$7	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	95.9¢	$199	+$1	Trade ↗
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$141	-$3	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21.2¢	$129	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	96.3¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	95.2¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	53.3¢	$0	-$5,132	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	11.8¢	$0	-$158	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	BUY	No	88.0¢	$12,428
5d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	No	95.6¢	$12,295
41d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	94.0¢	$12,259
74d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	No	95.0¢	$11,152