alwaysOn

63Qualified whaleProven trader

0xc550e5ee1011afb6d37c7fbb18fea32e03f9272d· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$117,975

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$170,466

Capital deployed

$1,849,323

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,152

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 12.6/30Return 5.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 62.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$13,808	+$895	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	86.1¢	$13,680	+$1,353	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	94.3¢	$13,180	-$111	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	97.5¢	$12,838	+$156	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	56.7¢	$12,087	-$960	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	87.5¢	$10,321	+$861	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	93.6¢	$9,466	-$220	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	85.8¢	$9,406	+$350	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	92.1¢	$8,779	+$131	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$8,428	+$45	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	96.1¢	$6,799	+$215	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	93.0¢	$5,358	+$279	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	82.5¢	$5,246	+$241	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	85.5¢	$3,618	+$81	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	81.5¢	$3,316	-$438	Trade ↗
New pandemic in 2026?	No	94.0¢	$3,206	-$17	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$3,160	+$17	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	70.9¢	$2,713	+$774	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	91.0¢	$2,644	+$14	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	53.5¢	$2,295	+$690	Trade ↗
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	93.7¢	$2,179	+$76	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	No	89.8¢	$2,104	+$73	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	98.0¢	$1,995	+$23	Trade ↗
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	93.2¢	$1,547	+$7	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	94.9¢	$1,497	+$73	Trade ↗
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	82.0¢	$1,279	-$8	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	96.1¢	$1,159	+$41	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	82.3¢	$1,098	+$65	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	95.0¢	$741	+$29	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	80.6¢	$735	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	96.7¢	$677	+$16	Trade ↗
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?	No	94.9¢	$652	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?	No	65.0¢	$634	+$103	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	53.8¢	$602	-$143	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	86.0¢	$468	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?	No	64.5¢	$440	+$130	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	71.0¢	$417	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	No	92.1¢	$389	+$8	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	92.0¢	$341	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$324	-$4	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	65.0¢	$306	+$79	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	18.0¢	$210	+$120	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?	No	89.0¢	$183	+$9	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	11.8¢	$140	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
29d ago	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	No	95.0¢	$11,152