MonacoLover

42Qualified whaleProven trader

0xb8b44e3cc9e0962982e3c8bf444b6a7411f51f6e· stats updated 5d ago

Realized PnL

+$81,787

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

67%

75 of 112 resolved

Resolved markets

112

Portfolio value

$90,622

Capital deployed

$1,283,978

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$25,320

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 9.6/30Return 5.3/25Consistency 10.6/25Sample size 16.1/20Concentration 0.0Total 41.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	83.5¢	$21,925	+$1,240	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$16,917	+$611	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	47.7¢	$15,917	+$7,345	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	81.1¢	$9,048	+$567	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	92.8¢	$8,665	+$249	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.2¢	$7,613	+$25	Trade ↗
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	85.2¢	$3,664	+$11	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	87.7¢	$2,962	+$110	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	48.3¢	$1,920	+$440	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	91.0¢	$926	+$15	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	No	86.0¢	$489	-$6	Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	64.8¢	$214	+$74	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	44.0¢	$118	+$59	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	72.0¢	$77	+$15	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	46.0¢	$60	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.9¢	$47	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	14.1¢	$41	-$185	Trade ↗
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	83.0¢	$15	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	32.9¢	$2	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	29.9¢	$2	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	30.9¢	$0	-$319	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	58.0¢	$0	-$9,980	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$118	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	24.9¢	$0	-$8,300	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	No	36.2¢	$0	-$2,286	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	48.0¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	54.3¢	$0	-$2,081	Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	60.4¢	$0	-$6,333	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	49.6¢	$0	-$5,876	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	40.9¢	$0	-$13,353	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?	No	8.1¢	$0	-$889	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	42.7¢	$0	-$5,144	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	1.1¢	$0	-$674	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$5,580	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	92.6¢	$0	-$7,207	Trade ↗
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	27.1¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	89.9¢	$0	-$28,696	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	35.0¢	$0	-$303	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	Yes	27.9¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$59	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	7.0¢	$0	-$258	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	17.9¢	$0	-$411	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?	No	22.0¢	$0	-$217	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?	No	14.8¢	$0	-$3,992	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	89.7¢	$0	-$28,124	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	4.2¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
26d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	97.8¢	$12,660
26d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	97.8¢	$12,660