theta-thunberg

59Qualified whaleProven trader

0xb7606d0d3719c88f9b868a13015881af5222ccd7· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$102,245

closed + open positions

Return on capital

10%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$30,761

Capital deployed

$1,069,721

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,054

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 11.4/30Return 8.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -5.3Total 59.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$15,890	+$5,890	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$4,110	-$5,890	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	69.0¢	$1,430	+$50	Trade ↗
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	81.2¢	$1,397	+$22	Trade ↗
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	62.1¢	$1,026	-$344	Trade ↗
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	81.4¢	$943	+$134	Trade ↗
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	86.0¢	$898	+$0	Trade ↗
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	25.2¢	$840	+$558	Trade ↗
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	78.3¢	$666	-$7	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	86.2¢	$638	+$73	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	85.1¢	$500	+$74	Trade ↗
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	77.3¢	$458	+$86	Trade ↗
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	No	85.0¢	$380	+$2	Trade ↗
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	87.6¢	$287	+$26	Trade ↗
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	41.3¢	$217	-$362	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	2.5¢	$180	-$70	Trade ↗
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$114	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	No	24.5¢	$101	+$45	Trade ↗
James Norton announced as next James Bond?	Yes	0.3¢	$98	+$90	Trade ↗
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?	No	63.2¢	$93	+$25	Trade ↗
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?	Yes	63.7¢	$92	-$143	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	91.0¢	$91	-$1	Trade ↗
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$85	-$115	Trade ↗
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Yes	33.0¢	$59	+$39	Trade ↗
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	40.8¢	$47	-$74	Trade ↗
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?	No	8.1¢	$28	-$50	Trade ↗
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6.9¢	$23	-$1	Trade ↗
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	3.0¢	$23	+$1	Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$23	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?	No	75.0¢	$14	-$4	Trade ↗
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$9	-$34	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	Yes	1.2¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Yes	5.0¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
James Collier announced as next James Bond?	Yes	0.3¢	$1	-$4	Trade ↗
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Yes	24.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?	Yes	29.9¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	Yes	26.2¢	$0	-$131	Trade ↗
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	3.4¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Yes	28.0¢	$0	-$181	Trade ↗
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	Yes	41.0¢	$0	-$471	Trade ↗
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	No	18.1¢	$0	-$77	Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	Down	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
3d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	SELL	No	92.0¢	$10,054