bysittingnottrading
140xb72358735315fdbb9e43d7146b8133e203f60065· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$8,449
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
91%
10 of 11 resolved
Resolved markets
11
Portfolio value
$230,656
Capital deployed
$481,314
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$48,950
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
4
Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)
PnL 0.0/30Return 1.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 0.6/20Concentration -13.6Total 13.5 / 100
Current positions
| Market | Outcome | Avg price | Value | Unrealized PnL | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 87.8¢ | $214,003 | +$6,374 | Trade ↗ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 96.1¢ | $14,914 | +$253 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 85.0¢ | $1,071 | +$118 | Trade ↗ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 84.0¢ | $668 | -$4 | Trade ↗ |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 54.0¢ | $0 | -$6,201 | Trade ↗ |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship? | Yes | 10.9¢ | $0 | -$13 | Trade ↗ |
Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)
| Time | Market | Side | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44d ago | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | No | 89.0¢ | $22,250 |
| 44d ago | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | No | 89.0¢ | $26,700 |
WhaleWatcher