tnl

92Qualified whaleProven trader

0xb619ed5b378053f8309c307d2f7adf9c13665068· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$773,058

closed + open positions

Return on capital

23%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$201,468

Capital deployed

$3,412,884

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,171

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.9/30Return 18.9/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 91.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	29.3¢	$46,578	-$47,622	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	87.4¢	$34,608	-$377	Trade ↗
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	36.6¢	$22,548	+$11,302	Trade ↗
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	77.0¢	$6,120	-$40	Trade ↗
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	67.7¢	$6,100	+$1,152	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	62.0¢	$5,328	+$1,224	Trade ↗
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	91.0¢	$4,950	+$400	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$4,898	+$198	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$4,725	+$475	Trade ↗
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)	RC Deportivo A Coruña	83.0¢	$4,125	-$25	Trade ↗
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	87.6¢	$3,994	+$400	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	75.0¢	$3,775	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	69.0¢	$3,675	+$225	Trade ↗
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	68.0¢	$3,475	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	8.0¢	$2,891	-$191	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	10.0¢	$2,625	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	91.0¢	$2,523	-$162	Trade ↗
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	56.0¢	$2,475	-$325	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	72.0¢	$2,325	+$165	Trade ↗
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	46.0¢	$2,325	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	74.0¢	$2,267	+$246	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	82.3¢	$1,999	+$179	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	95.3¢	$1,947	+$41	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	95.0¢	$1,944	+$44	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	13.0¢	$1,893	+$487	Trade ↗
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	88.0¢	$1,648	+$152	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	80.0¢	$1,550	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?	No	92.0¢	$1,543	+$74	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	7.0¢	$1,300	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	50.0¢	$1,193	+$223	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	76.7¢	$1,170	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	4.0¢	$1,134	+$126	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$970	+$50	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$958	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	55.0¢	$878	+$332	Trade ↗
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	No	81.0¢	$819	+$71	Trade ↗
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	86.0¢	$767	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	27.8¢	$765	-$625	Trade ↗
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	No	51.0¢	$739	+$347	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	83.0¢	$670	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	85.0¢	$602	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	92.0¢	$510	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	68.0¢	$464	+$127	Trade ↗
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	1.9¢	$447	+$86	Trade ↗
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	No	79.0¢	$429	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	2.4¢	$413	-$188	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	72.0¢	$320	-$1,120	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	8.0¢	$289	-$23	Trade ↗
Will the next elected US president be a woman?	No	86.0¢	$282	-$25	Trade ↗
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	1.1¢	$238	-$38	Trade ↗
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	51.0¢	$196	-$2,027	Trade ↗
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	No	93.0¢	$141	-$19	Trade ↗
Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)	FC Augsburg	51.0¢	$136	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.1¢	$121	-$121	Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$91	+$2	Trade ↗
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	64.0¢	$83	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	76.0¢	$77	+$1	Trade ↗
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	No	97.1¢	$72	-$0	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$71	+$13	Trade ↗
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	63.0¢	$62	+$0	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	75.0¢	$59	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	43.0¢	$25	+$0	Trade ↗
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	No	51.0¢	$23	+$0	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	50.0¢	$17	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	No	87.0¢	$15	+$0	Trade ↗
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$15	-$1,085	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$13	-$166	Trade ↗
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	2.7¢	$10	-$260	Trade ↗
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	8.0¢	$10	+$2	Trade ↗
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	23.5¢	$8	-$17	Trade ↗
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	6.0¢	$5	-$595	Trade ↗
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$5	-$95	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	93.3¢	$3	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?	Yes	1.2¢	$1	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Yes	6.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	No	12.0¢	$0	-$120	Trade ↗
Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)	Liverpool FC	21.0¢	$0	-$1,069	Trade ↗
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-13?	No	56.0¢	$0	-$2,800	Trade ↗
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	29.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Kuopion PS vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?	Yes	22.8¢	$0	-$228	Trade ↗
Exact Score: LASK Linz 0 - 4 Liverpool FC?	Yes	5.0¢	$0	-$250	Trade ↗
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	49.0¢	$0	-$2,450	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
33d ago	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	SELL	No	98.8¢	$11,171