WhaleWatcher

alpheclabs

94Qualified whaleProven trader
0xb4d250f58c26840e09723a83ce9c8149aa32ce99· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$2,557,667
closed + open positions
Return on capital
41%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$84,718
Capital deployed
$6,229,643
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$435,481
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
177

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 25.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -5.8Total 94.2 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No78.9¢$45,645+$1,560Trade ↗
Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?Yes89.8¢$11,268-$926Trade ↗
Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar SoormasAmritsar Soormas73.7¢$6,082-$1,575Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4.6¢$2,336+$2,030Trade ↗
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No89.8¢$2,082-$7Trade ↗
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-09-06?No96.0¢$1,424+$57Trade ↗
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes72.9¢$1,153+$273Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No19.8¢$1,086+$480Trade ↗
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes48.6¢$1,080+$464Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?No96.0¢$786-$3Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No78.9¢$758-$34Trade ↗
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No70.6¢$743+$170Trade ↗
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?No92.0¢$727+$51Trade ↗
LoL: White Dragons vs Dominion Goblins - Game 3 WinnerDominion Goblins23.3¢$585-$115Trade ↗
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No94.0¢$553+$25Trade ↗
M15 Leme (moved from Sao Luis): Rocco Valente vs Nicolas BrunaRocco Valente41.0¢$355+$154Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Novaq - Map 1 WinnerWW Team47.0¢$322+$127Trade ↗
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No79.0¢$285+$22Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No95.0¢$284+$5Trade ↗
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-08?No28.0¢$279+$5Trade ↗
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Amur KhabarovskMetallurg Magnitogorsk50.0¢$239+$107Trade ↗
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-09?No20.0¢$234-$19Trade ↗
Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No70.9¢$232+$8Trade ↗
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No82.0¢$208+$22Trade ↗
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?No83.9¢$206+$2Trade ↗
LoL: White Dragons vs Dominion Goblins - Game 1 WinnerDominion Goblins29.8¢$199-$9Trade ↗
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes20.6¢$194+$110Trade ↗
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under76.0¢$182+$11Trade ↗
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?No91.2¢$170-$4Trade ↗
Club Puebla vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes56.0¢$164+$13Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes83.0¢$163-$3Trade ↗
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?No29.8¢$161+$78Trade ↗
Phan Thiet 3: Enzo Aguiard vs Khumoun SultanovKhumoun Sultanov61.4¢$160-$1Trade ↗
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No65.3¢$160+$29Trade ↗
Club Brugge KV vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5Under42.0¢$145-$65Trade ↗
LoL: VfB eSports vs CGN Esports (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Promotion PlayoffsVfB eSports17.5¢$140+$23Trade ↗
Will NEC win on 2026-08-22?Yes50.0¢$128-$45Trade ↗
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No82.0¢$127+$18Trade ↗
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia TigersLotte Giants57.7¢$124-$12Trade ↗
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes61.7¢$118-$29Trade ↗
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes32.9¢$115+$2Trade ↗
Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin TigersHanshin Tigers40.0¢$113-$75Trade ↗
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan BearsDoosan Bears34.0¢$111+$24Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No86.0¢$111-$3Trade ↗
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha EaglesHanwha Eagles28.0¢$109+$39Trade ↗
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No84.0¢$104-$7Trade ↗
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte GiantsLG Twins32.0¢$104-$3Trade ↗
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No91.0¢$104+$3Trade ↗
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 PlayoffsBilibili Gaming30.1¢$98+$4Trade ↗
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No80.0¢$93+$11Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Team Novaq (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Novaq25.0¢$85-$14Trade ↗
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Yes36.4¢$85+$6Trade ↗
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?Yes15.4¢$81+$46Trade ↗
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No75.0¢$79-$4Trade ↗
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes5.0¢$73+$51Trade ↗
LoL: White Dragons vs Dominion Goblins - Game 2 WinnerDominion Goblins28.0¢$69-$19Trade ↗
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes14.6¢$69-$11Trade ↗
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No79.0¢$66+$3Trade ↗
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?Yes3.0¢$66+$54Trade ↗
Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima CarpHiroshima Carp25.0¢$65+$20Trade ↗
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes21.2¢$65+$1Trade ↗
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes21.8¢$64+$14Trade ↗
Rainbow Six Siege: Shifters vs Geekay Esports (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 2 Group StageShifters38.5¢$60-$17Trade ↗
Will Dandelion (Ella Langley) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No96.0¢$59-$1Trade ↗
W15 Pilar (moved from San Salvador de Jujuy): Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau vs Isabel ArabarcoIsabel Arabarco12.0¢$58+$17Trade ↗
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes24.0¢$54-$2Trade ↗
LoL: Lenovo Legion Honvéd vs MAGAZA (BO5) - EBL Finals PlayoffsMAGAZA53.0¢$52+$21Trade ↗
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No73.7¢$52-$4Trade ↗
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 WinnerBOMBA Team45.0¢$48+$27Trade ↗
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No84.0¢$46+$1Trade ↗
W50 Evora: Valentina Ivanov vs Gabriella Da Silva FickValentina Ivanov33.0¢$44+$15Trade ↗
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes58.3¢$42-$1Trade ↗
LoL: White Dragons vs Dominion Goblins (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsDominion Goblins14.8¢$41-$17Trade ↗
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?Yes13.1¢$36-$11Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No84.0¢$35+$2Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes11.0¢$34+$16Trade ↗
LoL: 9z Globant vs Golden Lions - Game 1 WinnerGolden Lions32.0¢$33+$2Trade ↗
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?No78.0¢$33+$1Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No67.0¢$33-$6Trade ↗
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?No75.0¢$32+$6Trade ↗
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No25.0¢$31+$3Trade ↗
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?No35.0¢$30-$3Trade ↗
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes17.4¢$30+$5Trade ↗
US Open ATP (Doubles): Carpico/Filin vs Ram/SalisburyCarpico/Filin32.0¢$29+$2Trade ↗
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Under44.0¢$28+$7Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes16.0¢$27+$13Trade ↗
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes60.6¢$27+$8Trade ↗
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?No76.0¢$27+$4Trade ↗
Games Total: O/U 4.5Over18.0¢$26-$10Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Without a Roof (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsWithout a Roof11.0¢$25$0Trade ↗
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes20.0¢$25+$3Trade ↗
Seville: Jaume Munar vs Oriol Roca BatallaOriol Roca Batalla35.0¢$25-$4Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes46.0¢$24-$1Trade ↗
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?No55.0¢$23-$41Trade ↗
Will the game go to extra innings?: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesNo89.0¢$23-$18Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No61.0¢$23-$3Trade ↗
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsForsaken49.0¢$21-$24Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes36.0¢$20+$8Trade ↗
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Yes19.7¢$20+$7Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes31.0¢$19+$3Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
1d agoWill AEK win on 2026-09-08?SELLYes99.9¢$13,563
1d agoUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaSELLAryna Sabalenka99.9¢$10,793
3d agoT20 Namibia Tri-Series: South Africa vs ZimbabweSELLSouth Africa99.9¢$13,049
3d agoLoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsSELLT199.9¢$24,992
5d agoWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-04?SELLYes99.9¢$11,649
7d agoUS Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Daniel AltmaierSELLZachary Svajda99.9¢$10,115
7d agoCounter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier PlayoffsSELLNemiga99.9¢$10,318
8d agoUS Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin BlanchSELLTaylor Fritz99.9¢$15,842
9d agoT20 Asia Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs IndonesiaSELLBangladesh99.9¢$12,085
10d agoLoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSELLCloud999.9¢$16,224
11d agoToronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5SELLUnder99.9¢$12,753
11d agoNorth Carolina vs. TCUSELLNorth Carolina99.9¢$17,319
11d agoLiverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5SELLOver99.9¢$10,943
14d agoWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-26?SELLYes99.9¢$18,457
16d agoAugsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan EstevezSELLJuan Estevez99.9¢$12,589
16d agoRoehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari PaldaniusSELLInaki Montes-De La Torre99.9¢$10,138
17d agoLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerSELLHanwha Life Esports99.9¢$12,904
18d agoWill San Diego FC win on 2026-08-22?SELLYes99.9¢$13,525
18d agoLoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendSELLLGD Gaming99.9¢$14,378
19d agoDota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELLTeam Yandex99.9¢$10,130
19d agoITF W35 Erwitte Women: Valentina Steiner vs Sahaja YamalapalliSELLValentina Steiner99.9¢$15,566
24d agoWill CF América win on 2026-08-16?SELLYes99.9¢$16,191
24d agoLoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonSELLMovistar KOI99.9¢$22,015
28d agoCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FaZe (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group BSELLFaZe99.9¢$11,366
28d agoCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs B8 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group CSELLB899.9¢$11,047