WhaleWatcher

ColomboHex

80Qualified whaleProven trader
0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705· stats updated 2d ago
Realized PnL
+$996,054
closed + open positions
Return on capital
6%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$1,239,564
Capital deployed
$16,301,912
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$92,473
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 5.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 80.1 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No84.3¢$34,225+$3,031Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No75.0¢$33,995+$4,181Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No89.3¢$33,659+$1,530Trade ↗
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No53.0¢$29,279-$9,508Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No83.1¢$28,248+$3,410Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No62.6¢$27,150+$8,360Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes50.0¢$25,750+$750Trade ↗
Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?Yes94.8¢$24,508+$1,053Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No50.0¢$24,250-$750Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No75.7¢$22,643+$4,311Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No83.9¢$21,690+$2,028Trade ↗
Will CDU win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No94.7¢$16,010+$579Trade ↗
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No85.0¢$15,250+$1,517Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No78.2¢$14,215-$1,548Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes60.4¢$12,330+$1,467Trade ↗
Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Yes88.6¢$10,334+$816Trade ↗
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No77.0¢$9,938-$212Trade ↗
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?No75.4¢$9,408+$1,168Trade ↗
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No74.0¢$9,100+$1,491Trade ↗
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes59.8¢$8,422+$618Trade ↗
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?Yes71.0¢$7,382+$2,083Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No35.9¢$7,378+$3,868Trade ↗
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?Yes65.5¢$7,031+$1,707Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes83.5¢$6,872-$1,150Trade ↗
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?No48.0¢$6,391+$2,269Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No58.1¢$6,292+$1,388Trade ↗
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes19.7¢$6,170+$871Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No87.9¢$5,365+$428Trade ↗
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?Yes79.7¢$5,201+$85Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes90.3¢$5,016+$117Trade ↗
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No49.6¢$4,985+$2,219Trade ↗
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Yes89.8¢$4,976+$450Trade ↗
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?No89.7¢$4,929+$201Trade ↗
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Yes63.7¢$4,925+$956Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VA-03 House seat?No95.0¢$4,870+$110Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?No95.0¢$4,785+$25Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No86.0¢$4,695+$395Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No61.5¢$4,682+$507Trade ↗
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No87.0¢$4,607+$250Trade ↗
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No90.5¢$4,528+$58Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?Yes93.3¢$4,467+$55Trade ↗
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No87.2¢$4,453-$160Trade ↗
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?No41.4¢$4,431+$1,348Trade ↗
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No85.4¢$4,429+$626Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No71.0¢$4,230-$30Trade ↗
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes34.6¢$4,214+$1,634Trade ↗
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No96.1¢$4,135+$50Trade ↗
Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?No77.7¢$4,125+$812Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.7¢$4,041+$1,472Trade ↗
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No92.0¢$4,020+$43Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No92.0¢$3,828+$115Trade ↗
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?No33.9¢$3,746+$1,918Trade ↗
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes16.5¢$3,724+$2,169Trade ↗
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes85.4¢$3,649+$127Trade ↗
Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?No65.6¢$3,550+$1,156Trade ↗
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?Yes77.4¢$3,549+$267Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?No95.0¢$3,515+$49Trade ↗
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Yes33.1¢$3,501+$1,034Trade ↗
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No45.0¢$3,465-$585Trade ↗
Will Alexander Shuvaev win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?Yes94.5¢$3,422+$114Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No52.9¢$3,387-$232Trade ↗
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?No58.0¢$3,369+$895Trade ↗
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?No68.5¢$3,319+$993Trade ↗
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Yes76.8¢$3,310+$612Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat?No95.0¢$3,304+$17Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No80.0¢$3,266+$80Trade ↗
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes52.8¢$3,223+$1,374Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No85.0¢$3,165+$318Trade ↗
Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?Yes91.0¢$3,152+$248Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?Yes93.6¢$3,142+$136Trade ↗
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?No54.9¢$3,107+$1,337Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No92.9¢$3,106+$184Trade ↗
Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?No94.6¢$3,075+$113Trade ↗
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes82.0¢$3,026+$314Trade ↗
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?No88.4¢$2,993+$117Trade ↗
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Yes29.4¢$2,992+$1,933Trade ↗
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?No88.0¢$2,935+$296Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?No95.0¢$2,922+$15Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No52.0¢$2,900+$300Trade ↗
Will United Russia win the next Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?Yes89.7¢$2,868+$231Trade ↗
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?No51.0¢$2,846+$614Trade ↗
Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?No79.2¢$2,844-$83Trade ↗
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes94.1¢$2,836+$162Trade ↗
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No77.3¢$2,827+$42Trade ↗
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No76.0¢$2,770+$264Trade ↗
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes82.5¢$2,702+$377Trade ↗
Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?No96.9¢$2,677+$71Trade ↗
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Yes83.6¢$2,661+$119Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?No92.0¢$2,644+$14Trade ↗
Will United Russia win the next Oryol Oblast Parliament elections?Yes94.7¢$2,623+$62Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Yes90.2¢$2,609+$38Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No61.0¢$2,595+$765Trade ↗
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No73.0¢$2,580+$54Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Yes76.0¢$2,562+$173Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1.6¢$2,525+$546Trade ↗
Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes24.5¢$2,516+$997Trade ↗
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes5.1¢$2,418-$755Trade ↗
Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?Yes94.4¢$2,417+$81Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Yes60.5¢$2,402+$397Trade ↗
Will New People win the next Kursk Oblast Parliament elections?No94.4¢$2,396+$114Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)