InterestingUser

84Qualified whaleProven trader

0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705· stats updated 11h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,161,825

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$415,877

Capital deployed

$10,622,174

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$336,759

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 9.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 84.1 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	19.5¢	$9,328	+$1,317	Trade ↗
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	75.4¢	$9,307	+$2,011	Trade ↗
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	70.3¢	$9,121	-$1,290	Trade ↗
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	No	65.1¢	$8,378	+$2,761	Trade ↗
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	No	48.3¢	$7,723	+$3,733	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	38.3¢	$7,697	+$44	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	30.1¢	$7,212	+$1,857	Trade ↗
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	28.6¢	$5,882	+$3,724	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	13.0¢	$5,315	+$4,253	Trade ↗
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	63.7¢	$4,464	+$1,004	Trade ↗
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	Yes	47.0¢	$3,756	+$1,845	Trade ↗
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?	Yes	72.3¢	$3,223	+$520	Trade ↗
Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	Yes	2.2¢	$3,114	+$3,044	Trade ↗
Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	No	65.6¢	$3,098	+$968	Trade ↗
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	68.7¢	$2,871	+$891	Trade ↗
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	86.2¢	$2,626	+$233	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.5¢	$2,409	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.5¢	$2,402	+$549	Trade ↗
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	45.0¢	$2,385	-$1,665	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	14.9¢	$2,369	+$1,232	Trade ↗
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	1.5¢	$2,342	+$2,269	Trade ↗
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?	Yes	42.6¢	$2,266	+$826	Trade ↗
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	Yes	77.4¢	$2,167	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?	Yes	85.8¢	$2,154	+$295	Trade ↗
Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	Yes	94.4¢	$2,131	+$61	Trade ↗
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	73.0¢	$2,050	+$133	Trade ↗
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	No	48.6¢	$2,046	+$502	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	23.8¢	$1,987	+$1,502	Trade ↗
Will Jimmy Ekström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?	No	97.8¢	$1,946	-$2	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	71.3¢	$1,935	+$283	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?	Yes	30.6¢	$1,891	+$966	Trade ↗
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	Yes	20.5¢	$1,889	+$1,378	Trade ↗
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	0.0¢	$1,873	+$1,873	Trade ↗
Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini?	No	80.9¢	$1,850	+$338	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	27.5¢	$1,831	+$1,283	Trade ↗
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	52.9¢	$1,829	+$117	Trade ↗
Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	86.4¢	$1,807	+$226	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2.5¢	$1,800	-$750	Trade ↗
Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?	Yes	60.5¢	$1,787	+$72	Trade ↗
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	22.0¢	$1,770	+$1,236	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	17.1¢	$1,759	+$970	Trade ↗
Will Jonny Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?	No	93.3¢	$1,727	+$81	Trade ↗
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	29.4¢	$1,721	+$791	Trade ↗
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	44.8¢	$1,719	+$762	Trade ↗
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	Yes	1.2¢	$1,711	+$1,656	Trade ↗
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	10.6¢	$1,706	+$1,501	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?	Yes	90.2¢	$1,699	+$118	Trade ↗
Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?	Yes	51.5¢	$1,632	+$775	Trade ↗
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$1,612	+$1,087	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.8¢	$1,608	+$707	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	No	70.3¢	$1,608	+$130	Trade ↗
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?	Yes	68.1¢	$1,602	+$434	Trade ↗
Will Nicklas Sandström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?	No	90.2¢	$1,578	+$135	Trade ↗
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	No	68.5¢	$1,568	-$283	Trade ↗
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	62.2¢	$1,535	-$434	Trade ↗
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	No	30.8¢	$1,513	+$1,024	Trade ↗
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	85.4¢	$1,500	+$170	Trade ↗
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	59.2¢	$1,498	+$492	Trade ↗
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?	Yes	19.1¢	$1,490	+$700	Trade ↗
Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	78.8¢	$1,488	+$89	Trade ↗
Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?	Yes	52.0¢	$1,470	+$430	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.0¢	$1,423	+$398	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?	Yes	28.3¢	$1,422	+$181	Trade ↗
Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	89.2¢	$1,416	+$122	Trade ↗
Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	64.3¢	$1,387	+$426	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	11.8¢	$1,317	+$26	Trade ↗
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	No	29.9¢	$1,315	+$676	Trade ↗
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	55.5¢	$1,295	+$487	Trade ↗
Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?	Yes	38.3¢	$1,292	+$507	Trade ↗
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	16.6¢	$1,275	+$670	Trade ↗
Will Harry Styles perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	73.6¢	$1,267	+$304	Trade ↗
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	41.9¢	$1,258	+$696	Trade ↗
Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	Yes	2.3¢	$1,242	+$1,212	Trade ↗
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	24.1¢	$1,239	+$655	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	7.9¢	$1,232	+$157	Trade ↗
Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	No	28.2¢	$1,230	+$719	Trade ↗
Will SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	47.6¢	$1,229	+$596	Trade ↗
Will Volker Kromm win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?	No	79.8¢	$1,220	+$205	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	10.8¢	$1,211	+$227	Trade ↗
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?	No	11.2¢	$1,171	-$21	Trade ↗
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	81.3¢	$1,157	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	No	50.9¢	$1,146	+$537	Trade ↗
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	80.6¢	$1,141	+$187	Trade ↗
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	26.9¢	$1,134	+$328	Trade ↗
Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?	No	94.6¢	$1,105	+$34	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	95.5¢	$1,100	+$6	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	50.9¢	$1,084	+$515	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	6.9¢	$1,082	+$675	Trade ↗
Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	82.6¢	$1,075	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?	Yes	74.7¢	$1,059	+$231	Trade ↗
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1,026	+$999	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	16.0¢	$1,018	+$584	Trade ↗
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	2.2¢	$1,015	+$936	Trade ↗
Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?	No	96.9¢	$1,013	-$86	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	57.5¢	$1,010	+$279	Trade ↗
Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	83.9¢	$1,009	+$137	Trade ↗
Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?	No	0.0¢	$1,007	+$1,007	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	71.9¢	$1,002	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Parveen Bola win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?	No	96.0¢	$997	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	42.7¢	$997	+$243	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
26d ago	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$14,450
32d ago	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	80.0¢	$12,000
34d ago	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$14,169
38d ago	Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	BUY	No	97.9¢	$16,450
38d ago	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	BUY	No	34.6¢	$15,604
39d ago	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	SELL	No	93.0¢	$24,764
42d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	83.0¢	$22,410
42d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	93.0¢	$26,173
43d ago	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	SELL	No	92.0¢	$14,611
43d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	92.0¢	$33,119
43d ago	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	SELL	No	93.6¢	$10,350
45d ago	Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$40,186
48d ago	Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election?	BUY	Yes	94.8¢	$23,455
48d ago	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	SELL	No	98.8¢	$11,403
48d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	93.0¢	$13,950
49d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$17,982
50d ago	Will CDU win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	BUY	No	94.7¢	$15,431
78d ago	Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?	BUY	Yes	88.6¢	$10,252