HerrieDavis

85Qualified whaleProven trader

0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,013,023

closed + open positions

Return on capital

13%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$372,535

Capital deployed

$8,070,211

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,768

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 10.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 85.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	94.1¢	$18,060	+$483	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	50.7¢	$14,808	+$6,024	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	82.3¢	$12,976	+$2,196	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	48.8¢	$10,414	+$1,420	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	48.1¢	$9,482	+$1,449	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	90.1¢	$9,107	+$115	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$8,258	+$7,817	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	48.9¢	$8,064	+$2,788	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3.1¢	$7,529	+$6,939	Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	45.8¢	$7,132	-$1,924	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	No	39.7¢	$5,799	+$3,285	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	18.8¢	$5,463	+$1,979	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	93.6¢	$5,308	-$63	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	81.8¢	$5,149	+$305	Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	60.9¢	$4,776	+$1,094	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	79.2¢	$4,773	-$45	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	50.1¢	$4,541	+$843	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	67.7¢	$4,430	+$512	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	45.8¢	$4,296	-$2,375	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	13.9¢	$4,294	+$3,150	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	63.0¢	$4,203	+$1,495	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	97.4¢	$3,966	+$70	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	No	76.0¢	$3,937	+$804	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	93.7¢	$3,644	+$85	Trade ↗
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	80.1¢	$3,606	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	No	75.4¢	$3,196	+$721	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$2,895	+$656	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	47.9¢	$2,568	+$1,049	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	84.6¢	$2,515	+$273	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	79.9¢	$2,485	-$180	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	64.3¢	$2,448	+$390	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	84.9¢	$2,404	+$245	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	64.1¢	$2,371	+$633	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	61.3¢	$2,353	+$606	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	54.3¢	$2,316	+$724	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	78.5¢	$2,310	+$495	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	53.8¢	$2,286	+$740	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	86.1¢	$2,259	-$47	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	45.1¢	$2,194	+$291	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	79.0¢	$2,115	+$443	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	86.2¢	$1,913	+$167	Trade ↗
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?	Yes	50.0¢	$1,906	+$316	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	50.0¢	$1,887	+$124	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	96.0¢	$1,879	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	79.9¢	$1,836	+$215	Trade ↗
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	80.2¢	$1,793	+$257	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	32.1¢	$1,776	+$701	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	84.8¢	$1,729	-$336	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	63.2¢	$1,709	-$148	Trade ↗
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	89.2¢	$1,688	+$26	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	52.8¢	$1,684	+$110	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	91.4¢	$1,682	+$124	Trade ↗
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	42.8¢	$1,680	+$566	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	74.5¢	$1,668	+$339	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	63.2¢	$1,593	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7.5¢	$1,566	+$925	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	68.3¢	$1,551	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	91.6¢	$1,539	+$69	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	76.3¢	$1,501	-$112	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	19.8¢	$1,444	+$363	Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	81.2¢	$1,408	+$181	Trade ↗
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	12.0¢	$1,406	+$1,057	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	12.8¢	$1,357	-$159	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50.0¢	$1,329	-$71	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	12.5¢	$1,308	-$919	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	87.2¢	$1,267	+$73	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	49.3¢	$1,248	-$1,263	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$1,244	+$98	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	22.3¢	$1,240	-$898	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	94.1¢	$1,217	+$31	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	57.6¢	$1,213	-$1,424	Trade ↗
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	64.9¢	$1,196	+$299	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	55.0¢	$1,183	-$131	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	67.7¢	$1,173	-$43	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	85.0¢	$1,161	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	23.7¢	$1,146	+$226	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	52.7¢	$1,134	-$324	Trade ↗
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	22.2¢	$1,104	+$271	Trade ↗
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	No	50.0¢	$1,066	-$305	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	6.6¢	$1,023	-$261	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	28.1¢	$999	+$367	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	83.1¢	$990	+$110	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	89.0¢	$957	+$89	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	52.8¢	$913	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	90.8¢	$909	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	37.5¢	$905	-$61	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	38.0¢	$889	+$34	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	66.7¢	$839	+$22	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	39.6¢	$833	-$58	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	44.5¢	$825	+$111	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	53.2¢	$820	-$444	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	51.2¢	$817	+$131	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6.9¢	$813	+$393	Trade ↗
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	53.9¢	$803	+$369	Trade ↗
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	50.6¢	$802	-$666	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	24.3¢	$773	-$730	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?	No	90.9¢	$771	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7.1¢	$767	+$34	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	35.1¢	$763	+$139	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	21.0¢	$762	+$130	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
29d ago	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	SELL	Yes	99.0¢	$10,768