HerrieDavis

86Qualified whaleProven trader

0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e· stats updated 6h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,144,858

closed + open positions

Return on capital

14%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$192,666

Capital deployed

$8,426,472

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,768

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

500

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 11.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 86.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	67.9¢	$8,627	+$437	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	50.7¢	$7,794	+$3,402	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	50.7¢	$7,692	+$3,211	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	92.7¢	$5,471	+$250	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	93.3¢	$4,961	+$197	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	90.0¢	$4,788	+$238	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	83.3¢	$4,646	-$73	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	65.5¢	$4,104	-$374	Trade ↗
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	24.0¢	$4,060	+$2,546	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	75.0¢	$3,491	+$278	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	69.8¢	$3,416	+$474	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	71.4¢	$3,395	+$966	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$3,009	+$191	Trade ↗
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	86.1¢	$2,714	+$296	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	No	39.7¢	$2,666	+$1,510	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	47.8¢	$2,653	-$1,792	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	66.4¢	$2,317	-$68	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	44.2¢	$2,199	+$738	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	91.8¢	$2,184	+$24	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	93.7¢	$1,834	+$54	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	84.0¢	$1,816	+$167	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	41.0¢	$1,751	+$184	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	22.3¢	$1,685	+$698	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	75.5¢	$1,456	+$347	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	80.3¢	$1,439	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	61.8¢	$1,430	+$293	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	69.5¢	$1,373	+$263	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	80.1¢	$1,303	-$79	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	34.6¢	$1,287	-$786	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	No	84.6¢	$1,269	+$152	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	62.7¢	$1,248	+$146	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	52.6¢	$1,222	+$254	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	86.1¢	$1,205	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	69.4¢	$1,204	-$92	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	84.5¢	$1,199	+$124	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	82.0¢	$1,168	+$121	Trade ↗
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	80.0¢	$1,061	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	92.5¢	$1,050	+$67	Trade ↗
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	74.0¢	$1,010	+$105	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	51.5¢	$1,006	+$203	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	Yes	17.0¢	$1,004	+$425	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	13.2¢	$1,004	+$253	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	78.6¢	$995	+$171	Trade ↗
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	79.9¢	$991	+$180	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	66.4¢	$955	+$303	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	47.9¢	$931	+$206	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	79.9¢	$919	+$34	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	64.3¢	$913	+$210	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	21.0¢	$910	+$650	Trade ↗
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	93.4¢	$871	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	87.9¢	$869	+$49	Trade ↗
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	54.8¢	$850	+$102	Trade ↗
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	1.9¢	$776	+$728	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	84.9¢	$735	+$53	Trade ↗
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	81.2¢	$719	+$105	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	4.0¢	$689	+$653	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	87.2¢	$668	+$70	Trade ↗
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	25.2¢	$657	-$213	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	67.0¢	$656	-$89	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	71.0¢	$647	+$54	Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$634	+$28	Trade ↗
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	78.0¢	$612	-$95	Trade ↗
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	No	52.5¢	$606	+$105	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	69.0¢	$605	+$99	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4.8¢	$603	+$280	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	71.0¢	$599	+$61	Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	64.5¢	$574	+$136	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	65.5¢	$557	+$32	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	74.5¢	$556	+$128	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7.1¢	$546	+$179	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	52.8¢	$538	+$111	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	41.9¢	$536	+$128	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	32.0¢	$536	+$182	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	19.8¢	$533	+$101	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1.5¢	$503	+$455	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	88.0¢	$503	+$45	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	13.6¢	$497	-$407	Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	89.9¢	$497	+$34	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	66.2¢	$492	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	83.1¢	$485	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	89.0¢	$479	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3.6¢	$474	+$357	Trade ↗
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	85.0¢	$467	+$23	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	91.0¢	$465	+$40	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	40.0¢	$447	+$21	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	52.9¢	$440	+$161	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	No	38.0¢	$436	+$212	Trade ↗
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	53.6¢	$432	+$145	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?	No	87.0¢	$421	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	49.0¢	$418	+$95	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	65.0¢	$418	-$31	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	53.0¢	$417	-$962	Trade ↗
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	Yes	74.8¢	$410	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	11.1¢	$408	+$141	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	17.5¢	$408	-$33	Trade ↗
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	80.4¢	$407	-$117	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	No	35.2¢	$404	-$62	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	42.1¢	$398	+$30	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	80.9¢	$398	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	46.1¢	$395	-$5	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
75d ago	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	SELL	Yes	99.0¢	$10,768