SlenderMan

70Qualified whaleProven trader

0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$2,084,855

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

73%

365 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$427,943

Capital deployed

$31,705,117

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$165,842

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 5.5/25Consistency 14.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 69.8 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	91.9¢	$86,437	+$1,513	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.5¢	$85,500	+$2,000	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	68.2¢	$70,775	+$5,956	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	88.3¢	$58,146	+$5,627	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	98.1¢	$32,246	+$342	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	83.3¢	$31,635	+$825	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	74.0¢	$23,250	+$1,050	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	72.1¢	$13,669	+$2,537	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	46.9¢	$9,761	+$1,654	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	70.7¢	$4,625	+$83	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	71.3¢	$4,402	+$971	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	75.4¢	$3,354	+$193	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	86.0¢	$2,897	+$204	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	46.0¢	$540	-$66	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	50.0¢	$461	+$147	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$211	-$81	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	63.0¢	$36	+$0	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
13d ago	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	97.0¢	$20,832
15d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	88.0¢	$34,320
21d ago	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$24,934
25d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	BUY	No	99.4¢	$10,884
25d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$36,863
26d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$17,187
31d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$20,822