SlenderMan

68Qualified whaleProven trader

0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,123,241

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

76%

381 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$411,514

Capital deployed

$35,901,235

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$189,002

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 2.6/25Consistency 16.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.2Total 67.8 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	85.8¢	$126,830	-$39,398	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.4¢	$108,216	+$149	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	68.2¢	$73,039	+$8,736	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	83.3¢	$32,952	+$1,588	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	77.6¢	$22,089	-$7,707	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	46.9¢	$15,117	+$7,010	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	84.1¢	$10,545	+$630	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	89.8¢	$6,506	+$198	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	70.7¢	$5,652	+$1,111	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	96.1¢	$4,613	+$149	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	75.4¢	$3,648	+$486	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	46.0¢	$1,092	+$487	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	50.0¢	$498	+$185	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$302	+$10	Trade ↗
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	92.0¢	$286	+$3	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	93.0¢	$104	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027?	No	68.0¢	$24	+$2	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
34d ago	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	71.0¢	$10,280
34d ago	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	83.0¢	$12,881
59d ago	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	97.0¢	$20,832
60d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	BUY	No	88.0¢	$34,320
66d ago	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$24,934
71d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	BUY	No	99.4¢	$10,884
71d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	BUY	No	99.3¢	$36,863
71d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	BUY	No	99.2¢	$17,187
77d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$20,822