ANGGGuess

0xab01674c1c52d980ad4db875774dcde04eee2558· stats updated 16h ago

Realized PnL

+$5,465

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

88%

7 of 8 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$220,064

Capital deployed

$351,394

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$49,241

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 1.3/25Consistency 23.4/25Sample size 0.0/20Concentration -1.2Total 23.6 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	91.5¢	$67,858	+$4,362	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$38,323	+$1,129	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	90.5¢	$21,968	+$1,378	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	74.0¢	$16,695	+$1,443	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	88.4¢	$16,496	+$1,064	Trade ↗
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$14,737	+$511	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$13,893	+$515	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	95.6¢	$8,558	+$178	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	86.5¢	$7,296	+$243	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	91.0¢	$5,184	+$28	Trade ↗
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	93.6¢	$3,094	+$98	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	15.0¢	$2,667	+$381	Trade ↗
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$1,893	+$81	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	42.0¢	$677	-$320	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	30.0¢	$527	-$737	Trade ↗
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$199	+$12	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	52.8¢	$0	-$700	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	44.0¢	$0	-$4,128	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
52d ago	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$14,874
52d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$18,403
69d ago	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	94.0¢	$15,964