ANGGGuess

0xab01674c1c52d980ad4db875774dcde04eee2558· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$5,053

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

80%

4 of 5 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$233,853

Capital deployed

$351,394

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$49,241

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 1.2/25Consistency 18.8/25Sample size 0.0/20Concentration -0.6Total 19.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	91.5¢	$64,908	+$1,412	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$37,374	+$179	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	90.5¢	$21,718	+$1,128	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	74.0¢	$17,622	+$2,370	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	88.4¢	$16,322	+$890	Trade ↗
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$14,445	+$219	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$13,746	+$368	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	95.6¢	$8,509	+$130	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	96.1¢	$7,670	+$229	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	86.5¢	$7,092	+$39	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	91.0¢	$5,298	+$142	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	44.0¢	$4,456	+$328	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	96.6¢	$3,653	+$94	Trade ↗
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	93.6¢	$3,024	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	15.0¢	$2,057	-$229	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$1,955	+$55	Trade ↗
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$1,883	+$70	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	30.0¢	$1,116	-$147	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	42.0¢	$807	-$190	Trade ↗
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$199	+$11	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	52.8¢	$0	-$700	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
6d ago	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$14,874
6d ago	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	SELL	No	99.9¢	$18,403
23d ago	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	94.0¢	$15,964