HolyMoses7

75Qualified whaleProven trader

0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8· stats updated 10h ago

Realized PnL

+$911,311

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$210,286

Capital deployed

$8,612,851

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$13,123

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

286

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 29.2/30Return 8.8/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -8.5Total 74.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50.0¢	$141,716	+$70,716	Trade ↗
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	98.5¢	$12,804	+$135	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	59.1¢	$7,331	+$2,923	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	30.2¢	$6,555	+$4,484	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	81.8¢	$3,241	-$179	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	95.8¢	$3,232	+$21	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	81.7¢	$2,875	-$79	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	32.6¢	$2,377	+$1,343	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	15.3¢	$1,745	+$443	Trade ↗
Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?	No	95.9¢	$1,616	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	73.8¢	$1,557	+$392	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	No	78.4¢	$1,516	+$104	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	80.2¢	$1,256	+$35	Trade ↗
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	63.2¢	$802	-$72	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	19.0¢	$796	-$2,325	Trade ↗
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	60.8¢	$791	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	93.5¢	$715	+$26	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	48.5¢	$624	-$115	Trade ↗
Netanyahu drops out before election?	No	99.5¢	$622	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	33.9¢	$613	+$227	Trade ↗
Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	No	90.0¢	$611	+$43	Trade ↗
Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	88.8¢	$557	+$55	Trade ↗
Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	99.3¢	$549	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?	Yes	96.2¢	$530	+$6	Trade ↗
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	35.7¢	$471	+$89	Trade ↗
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	22.8¢	$463	+$178	Trade ↗
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?	No	91.1¢	$449	+$21	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout be less than 66% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	95.0¢	$438	+$19	Trade ↗
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Yes	34.0¢	$437	+$41	Trade ↗
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	No	69.4¢	$435	+$121	Trade ↗
Will Yuli Edelstein be the next Speaker of the Knesset?	No	97.6¢	$385	-$6	Trade ↗
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	61.1¢	$342	-$49	Trade ↗
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	84.9¢	$341	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3.6¢	$324	+$284	Trade ↗
Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	85.2¢	$313	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	9.5¢	$301	+$126	Trade ↗
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	49.8¢	$284	-$70,482	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$253	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	51.0¢	$249	+$61	Trade ↗
Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	70.8¢	$239	+$26	Trade ↗
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	No	83.5¢	$230	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	67.4¢	$227	+$35	Trade ↗
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	22.0¢	$226	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	56.2¢	$223	+$53	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	94.5¢	$216	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?	Yes	96.0¢	$209	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	89.9¢	$208	-$17	Trade ↗
Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	80.0¢	$206	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	94.1¢	$205	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	98.2¢	$201	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Blue and White win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	99.8¢	$200	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	49.9¢	$197	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	82.4¢	$195	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	12.1¢	$193	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	No	85.9¢	$188	+$19	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?	Yes	96.0¢	$172	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	1.0¢	$167	+$165	Trade ↗
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	97.0¢	$164	+$2	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	84.1¢	$157	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	75.0¢	$146	-$32	Trade ↗
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	29.4¢	$143	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	0.1¢	$142	+$47	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?	No	96.0¢	$137	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3.6¢	$131	+$90	Trade ↗
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	0.6¢	$124	+$70	Trade ↗
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	89.2¢	$123	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?	Yes	96.0¢	$121	+$1	Trade ↗
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?	No	40.2¢	$120	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	71.6¢	$112	-$24	Trade ↗
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	93.0¢	$111	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	39.6¢	$110	+$47	Trade ↗
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	66.8¢	$109	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	5.8¢	$109	+$99	Trade ↗
Will RZP-Zehut win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	68.5¢	$106	+$26	Trade ↗
Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	92.4¢	$100	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	87.0¢	$99	-$1	Trade ↗
Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	90.0¢	$97	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?	No	80.8¢	$95	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$95	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	94.9¢	$92	-$3	Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	89.0¢	$91	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	22.0¢	$90	+$38	Trade ↗
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	48.7¢	$87	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	95.1¢	$86	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	11.5¢	$85	+$7	Trade ↗
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	90.3¢	$82	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	1.0¢	$82	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	1.0¢	$79	+$77	Trade ↗
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	36.0¢	$75	+$23	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	4.9¢	$75	-$491	Trade ↗
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	9.5¢	$73	+$38	Trade ↗
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	82.4¢	$71	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	76.1¢	$70	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	67.2¢	$70	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	86.6¢	$69	+$7	Trade ↗
Will The Democrats win 8-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	11.9¢	$68	+$38	Trade ↗
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	59.0¢	$67	+$10	Trade ↗
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	1.7¢	$65	+$44	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?	Yes	98.4¢	$62	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	9.4¢	$62	+$50	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
13h ago	Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	No	98.5¢	$13,123