ratehikes

0Specialist

0xa309f903dbbd559e87d8d368834b8e41355c4cf2· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$357,716

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-14%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

27%

3 of 11 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$467,852

Capital deployed

$2,618,187

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$137,951

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 0.0/25Sample size 0.6/20Concentration -5.6Total 0.0 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	34.5¢	$246,930	+$78,311	Trade ↗
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	46.7¢	$146,837	+$49,548	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	60.7¢	$36,435	+$12,575	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	50.0¢	$27,379	-$277	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	50.5¢	$4,936	+$97	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	18.1¢	$1,967	+$1,104	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	56.0¢	$1,140	+$447	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	23.6¢	$872	+$53	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	10.8¢	$871	+$378	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	30.0¢	$223	-$12	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	4.9¢	$173	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	55.3¢	$87	-$116	Trade ↗
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	66.6¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.6¢	$0	-$126,374	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	10.5¢	$0	-$2,386	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	50.0¢	$28,217
6d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	43.0¢	$18,764
6d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	44.0¢	$21,701
28d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	40.0¢	$57,001
28d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	39.0¢	$12,269