elPolloLoco

80Qualified whaleProven trader

0xa2f1fecf1cc7db65a46588f764b6691533052d22· stats updated 5h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,825,190

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$171,377

Capital deployed

$28,562,434

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$302,775

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 5.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 80.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50.3¢	$36,439	-$104,564	Trade ↗
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?	No	51.0¢	$32,279	+$2,074	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	94.0¢	$13,922	+$616	Trade ↗
Giants vs. Texans	Texans	81.0¢	$12,075	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	74.0¢	$10,499	+$1,300	Trade ↗
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	91.1¢	$10,477	-$525	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	84.7¢	$10,366	+$995	Trade ↗
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	79.4¢	$9,254	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?	No	88.7¢	$8,676	-$326	Trade ↗
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	52.0¢	$6,075	-$1,725	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?	No	95.2¢	$5,137	+$173	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	79.0¢	$3,737	+$24	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	37.6¢	$3,343	-$199	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	64.0¢	$2,116	-$140	Trade ↗
Will the St. Louis Blues make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	64.0¢	$1,256	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	35.0¢	$1,112	-$104	Trade ↗
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	87.2¢	$803	+$65	Trade ↗
Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	No	85.0¢	$361	+$29	Trade ↗
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	65.5¢	$323	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	91.0¢	$248	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?	No	90.1¢	$235	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Espanyol be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	80.0¢	$206	-$54	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	97.5¢	$197	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	No	94.9¢	$195	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Deft play for Nongshim RedForce in 2027?	Yes	90.8¢	$171	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	33.0¢	$127	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	72.0¢	$121	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	90.0¢	$120	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the New England Patriots have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	Yes	49.9¢	$110	-$29	Trade ↗
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	No	86.0¢	$104	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$100	+$100	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$100	+$100	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	91.0¢	$94	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the Buffalo Sabres make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	45.0¢	$90	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Getafe be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	73.0¢	$76	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?	No	97.8¢	$71	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	89.0¢	$67	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	45.5¢	$57	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the New York Rangers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?	No	58.0¢	$50	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$48	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$48	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?	No	37.0¢	$47	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Málaga be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga?	No	35.0¢	$29	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Shea Langeliers have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	95.0¢	$25	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	19.0¢	$24	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	95.9¢	$24	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Samsung Lions win the 2026 Korean Series?	No	73.0¢	$23	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Oneil Cruz lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	No	96.0¢	$20	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$19	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	No	50.8¢	$13	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Miami Dolphins be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	57.0¢	$12	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	36.0¢	$12	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?	No	63.2¢	$12	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$11	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$11	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$11	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$11	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$11	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	43.0¢	$10	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	75.0¢	$9	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Liberty Flames Win the 2026 Conference USA Championship?	No	38.8¢	$7	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026-27 NHL Presidents' Trophy?	Yes	11.0¢	$6	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	67.0¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Memphis Tigers Win the 2026 American Conference?	Yes	25.0¢	$5	-$5	Trade ↗
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	52.0¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	90.0¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	98.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	No	92.4¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 3?	Yes	12.3¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Avalanche	73.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $2600 before July 14?	No	94.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August?	No	97.6¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	97.8¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $4100 August 11–17?	No	84.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 22-28?	No	94.7¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will XRP reach $3.4 in July?	Yes	89.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in July?	Yes	88.3¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?	Yes	46.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner	LNG Esports	96.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	96.9¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 October 13-19?	No	91.8¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $119K September 8–14?	No	93.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyone's Legend	72.9¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5h ago	Giants vs. Texans	BUY	Texans	81.0¢	$12,150
7d ago	Panthers vs. Eagles	SELL	Panthers	99.9¢	$11,888
14d ago	Eagles vs. Jaguars	BUY	Jaguars	77.0¢	$10,780
17d ago	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	BUY	Cowboys	81.0¢	$16,200
34d ago	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	SELL	Yes	99.0¢	$19,912
35d ago	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$16,401
35d ago	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$14,250
35d ago	Fresno State vs. San Jose State	BUY	Fresno State	90.0¢	$37,729
36d ago	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	BUY	Yes	84.8¢	$10,866
42d ago	Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester City FC O/U 2.5	BUY	Under	98.5¢	$10,973
47d ago	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	Invictus Gaming	63.0¢	$37,800
48d ago	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng	BUY	Iga Swiatek	81.0¢	$16,366
60d ago	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	55.5¢	$14,800
61d ago	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	55.2¢	$22,400
63d ago	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	53.3¢	$13,986
64d ago	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	53.6¢	$11,948
65d ago	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	51.3¢	$11,748
65d ago	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	53.0¢	$12,577