Addarash

0xa2ac9772ec9477f2afc0ead7454014cc6cfc7f76· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

-$25,604

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-4%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

66%

179 of 272 resolved

Resolved markets

272

Portfolio value

$17,237

Capital deployed

$639,465

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$11,153

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 9.9/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 29.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	97.4¢	$3,640	+$37	Trade ↗
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	69.8¢	$2,718	+$801	Trade ↗
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	89.4¢	$1,825	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	90.0¢	$1,808	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	86.6¢	$1,317	+$122	Trade ↗
Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	70.8¢	$839	+$160	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	78.9¢	$775	+$154	Trade ↗
Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	75.5¢	$732	+$89	Trade ↗
Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	93.0¢	$592	+$35	Trade ↗
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	90.0¢	$585	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	76.8¢	$450	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	89.8¢	$433	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	53.2¢	$260	-$305	Trade ↗
Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	86.3¢	$219	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Will Cole-Hamilton win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	80.6¢	$147	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	73.3¢	$140	+$22	Trade ↗
Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	31.5¢	$126	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	50.0¢	$122	-$36	Trade ↗
Will Zeeshan Wahla win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	41.0¢	$87	-$72	Trade ↗
Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Yes	94.8¢	$67	-$4,810	Trade ↗
Will Loyal Wooldridge win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	24.3¢	$53	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Debra Toporowski win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	35.8¢	$44	+$12	Trade ↗
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	93.6¢	$42	-$2,970	Trade ↗
Will Sunita Dhir win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	33.1¢	$31	-$42	Trade ↗
Will Amna Shah win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	26.0¢	$31	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Paul Choi win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	56.9¢	$28	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	50.0¢	$27	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Jodie Wickens win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	28.0¢	$26	-$50	Trade ↗
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	90.0¢	$23	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	33.7¢	$19	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	43.0¢	$13	+$4	Trade ↗
Will David Xie win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	67.0¢	$9	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Doug Morneau win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	46.0¢	$8	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?	Yes	64.0¢	$0	-$1,685	Trade ↗
Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?	No	34.0¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	DN SOOPers	18.0¢	$0	-$36	Trade ↗
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	44.0¢	$0	-$64	Trade ↗
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?	Yes	94.5¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	62.8¢	$0	-$628	Trade ↗
Will Myriam Cournoyer win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	32.7¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	89.9¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	20.3¢	$0	-$209	Trade ↗
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	Yes	80.0¢	$0	-$396	Trade ↗
Will Marc-André Cloutier win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	4.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham Nordone win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	No	5.0¢	$0	-$234	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Arthur Rinderknech	61.3¢	$0	-$368	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?	Yes	66.6¢	$0	-$622	Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Schneeberger win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA	56.0¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
Will Ralph Norman win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	Yes	4.7¢	$0	-$203	Trade ↗
Will Jean-François Cloutier win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	96.3¢	$0	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	47.0¢	$0	-$282	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	10.3¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?	Yes	31.1¢	$0	-$336	Trade ↗
US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Arthur Gea	56.0¢	$0	-$336	Trade ↗
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)	Fils	68.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Ralph Norman win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$34	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien	Jakub Mensik	38.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	59.0¢	$0	-$94	Trade ↗
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina	Coco Gauff	48.6¢	$0	-$340	Trade ↗
Will David Crowley win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	Yes	23.2¢	$0	-$677	Trade ↗
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	58.9¢	$0	-$166	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	66.0¢	$0	-$198	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	23.6¢	$0	-$51	Trade ↗
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?	Yes	52.0¢	$0	-$266	Trade ↗
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Zandschulp (+2.5)	Zandschulp	52.0¢	$0	-$260	Trade ↗
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)	Cloud9	53.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)	Alcaraz	60.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	81.9¢	$0	-$5,154	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	81.0¢	$0	-$251	Trade ↗
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	43.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 20–25%?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	Yes	33.7¢	$0	-$76	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata	Luciano Darderi	61.0¢	$0	-$183	Trade ↗
Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	Yes	73.1¢	$0	-$78	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworth	James Duckworth	49.0¢	$0	-$172	Trade ↗
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	No	10.9¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?	Yes	38.3¢	$0	-$115	Trade ↗
Will Simon Allaire win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	4.1¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	78.5¢	$0	-$1,707	Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zheng	Ugo Humbert	54.8¢	$0	-$297	Trade ↗
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	20.7¢	$0	-$68	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?	No	21.8¢	$0	-$195	Trade ↗
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	84.7¢	$0	-$783	Trade ↗
Will the Labour Party candidate win 50% or more of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Yes	12.9¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?	No	76.9¢	$0	-$95	Trade ↗
Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	86.5¢	$0	-$456	Trade ↗
Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	70.3¢	$0	-$266	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$1,535	Trade ↗
Will the CAQ win fewer than 1 seat in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	78.1¢	$0	-$1,185	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	9.9¢	$0	-$1,223	Trade ↗
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?	No	87.5¢	$0	-$325	Trade ↗
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	Yes	27.7¢	$0	-$2,536	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$221	Trade ↗
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$48	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
48d ago	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	BUY	Yes	96.9¢	$11,153