WhaleWatcher

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91Qualified whaleProven trader
0xa18c5cf2bc6eec389d2d512582ae14654b99d792· stats updated 15h ago
Realized PnL
+$896,997
closed + open positions
Return on capital
22%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
97%
485 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$111,800
Capital deployed
$3,997,297
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$207,020
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
68

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 29.1/30Return 18.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.7Total 91.1 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No92.1¢$37,400+$572Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No68.1¢$28,250+$2,083Trade ↗
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No79.8¢$4,725-$233Trade ↗
GTA VI released by October 31?No97.5¢$4,310+$46Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No84.3¢$4,070+$235Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?No92.1¢$2,910+$114Trade ↗
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No97.1¢$2,483+$55Trade ↗
Nick Fuentes federally charged?No97.8¢$2,415+$39Trade ↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No93.0¢$2,338+$13Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No93.8¢$2,211-$170Trade ↗
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No91.7¢$1,765+$37Trade ↗
Clavicular sentenced to prison?No86.0¢$1,489+$58Trade ↗
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No94.7¢$1,237+$12Trade ↗
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No87.0¢$1,141+$50Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No88.2¢$1,104+$81Trade ↗
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes93.0¢$981+$52Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No98.0¢$981+$1Trade ↗
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?No91.8¢$967+$54Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No90.0¢$905+$5Trade ↗
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No89.0¢$895+$5Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No95.3¢$848-$10Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No93.0¢$821+$13Trade ↗
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?No80.2¢$665+$72Trade ↗
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No95.2¢$583+$6Trade ↗
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona58.0¢$496+$20Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes96.0¢$486+$6Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No93.0¢$463-$3Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No53.8¢$460-$997Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes94.5¢$430+$4Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes82.0¢$416+$6Trade ↗
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes65.0¢$405-$83Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No51.0¢$372-$11Trade ↗
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?No97.2¢$365-$5Trade ↗
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?No97.4¢$220+$1Trade ↗
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No96.3¢$204+$3Trade ↗
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?No61.7¢$175-$1Trade ↗
US x China Military clash before 2027?No95.0¢$174+$2Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No66.9¢$167+$33Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No94.6¢$125+$2Trade ↗
Chud the Builder convicted?No88.7¢$118-$35Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No75.1¢$115-$9Trade ↗
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No88.0¢$103-$14Trade ↗
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?No98.0¢$99+$1Trade ↗
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?No95.6¢$99+$3Trade ↗
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No98.0¢$98-$0Trade ↗
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?No96.2¢$98+$1Trade ↗
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?No94.0¢$98+$4Trade ↗
Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?No88.0¢$90+$2Trade ↗
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No60.0¢$78+$19Trade ↗
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No66.0¢$66-$1Trade ↗
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No85.0¢$53+$5Trade ↗
Is Earth flat?No98.7¢$32+$0Trade ↗
Discord IPO before 2027?No43.1¢$27+$13Trade ↗
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No82.2¢$26+$3Trade ↗
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?No98.8¢$23+$0Trade ↗
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?No80.0¢$23-$1Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No52.0¢$20+$5Trade ↗
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No89.1¢$15+$1Trade ↗
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No85.7¢$14+$1Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No88.0¢$13+$1Trade ↗
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes94.7¢$10+$0Trade ↗
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No79.0¢$8+$1Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No95.0¢$5-$0Trade ↗
Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?No99.2¢$5-$0Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?No93.2¢$5+$0Trade ↗
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No74.0¢$5+$1Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No93.8¢$4+$0Trade ↗
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes22.3¢$2-$2Trade ↗
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-23?No53.2¢$0-$10,918Trade ↗
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-21?Yes50.9¢$0-$608Trade ↗
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2026-08-12?No59.0¢$0-$25Trade ↗
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-17?No35.0¢$0-$31Trade ↗
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-22?Yes40.0¢$0-$212Trade ↗
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?No54.0¢$0-$10,800Trade ↗
Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris62.0¢$0-$167Trade ↗
SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 2.5Over59.0¢$0-$22Trade ↗
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?No57.0¢$0-$14,205Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?Yes30.0¢$0-$30Trade ↗
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?No52.0¢$0-$5,200Trade ↗
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over27.0¢$0-$50Trade ↗
Will FC Arda Kardzhali win on 2026-09-04?Yes46.3¢$0-$35Trade ↗
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-14?Yes37.0¢$0-$67Trade ↗
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-09-06?No48.0¢$0-$144Trade ↗
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-22?Yes41.7¢$0-$7,245Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No90.6¢$0-$66Trade ↗
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-02?No57.0¢$0-$1,983Trade ↗
Olympique Marseille vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5Under38.0¢$0-$102Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No82.0¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp47.0¢$0-$24Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?No33.8¢$0-$2,144Trade ↗
FC Arda Kardzhali leading at halftime?Yes34.0¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 18?No80.0¢$0-$5Trade ↗
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under12.0¢$0-$30Trade ↗
FC København leading at halftime?No63.3¢$0-$6,529Trade ↗
Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Lorenzo BocchiLorenzo Bocchi20.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?Yes49.9¢$0-$8,456Trade ↗
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over53.0¢$0-$5,481Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?No50.0¢$0-$444Trade ↗
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09?Yes60.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No94.7¢$0-$55Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
14d agoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELLNo97.8¢$16,802
18d agoXi Jinping out before 2027?SELLNo95.8¢$11,066
19d agoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELLNo87.0¢$17,101
21d agoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELLNo92.0¢$21,218
23d agoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUYNo67.0¢$17,239
24d agoTrump out as President before 2027?SELLNo94.0¢$28,200
24d agoTrump out as President before 2027?SELLNo94.0¢$28,200
24d agoOdense BK vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5BUYUnder50.0¢$10,000
24d agoOdense BK vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5BUYUnder50.0¢$12,500
27d agoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELLNo96.2¢$15,217
29d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo96.3¢$15,504
30d agoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUYNo81.9¢$13,975