WhaleWatcher

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95Qualified whaleProven trader
0xa18c5cf2bc6eec389d2d512582ae14654b99d792· stats updated 6h ago
Realized PnL
+$905,078
closed + open positions
Return on capital
27%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$106,332
Capital deployed
$3,325,599
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$207,020
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
56

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 29.2/30Return 22.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -2.1Total 94.8 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No92.1¢$37,772+$1,490Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No68.1¢$30,197+$3,833Trade ↗
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No77.5¢$4,422-$1,537Trade ↗
GTA VI released by October 31?No97.5¢$4,373+$109Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No84.3¢$3,888+$53Trade ↗
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?No92.1¢$2,943+$148Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No93.8¢$2,405+$24Trade ↗
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No93.0¢$2,388+$63Trade ↗
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No91.7¢$1,813+$84Trade ↗
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?No86.5¢$1,694+$136Trade ↗
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No94.7¢$1,263+$38Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No88.2¢$1,124+$100Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No98.0¢$986+$6Trade ↗
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No90.0¢$974+$74Trade ↗
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?No91.8¢$968+$56Trade ↗
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No89.0¢$870-$20Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No95.3¢$866+$8Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No93.0¢$826+$18Trade ↗
Clavicular in jail by October 31?No90.0¢$739+$58Trade ↗
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?No80.2¢$613+$21Trade ↗
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No95.2¢$585+$9Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes96.0¢$493+$13Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No93.0¢$468+$3Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes94.5¢$439+$13Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes82.0¢$388-$23Trade ↗
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?No97.2¢$376+$5Trade ↗
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes65.0¢$285-$203Trade ↗
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No51.0¢$274-$109Trade ↗
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No96.3¢$204+$3Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No66.9¢$177+$43Trade ↗
US x China Military clash before 2027?No95.0¢$177+$5Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No94.6¢$125+$2Trade ↗
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?No61.7¢$114-$62Trade ↗
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No88.0¢$113-$4Trade ↗
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?No95.6¢$99+$4Trade ↗
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?No94.0¢$98+$4Trade ↗
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No98.0¢$98+$0Trade ↗
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?No96.2¢$98+$2Trade ↗
Chud the Builder convicted?No88.7¢$94-$59Trade ↗
Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?No88.0¢$83-$5Trade ↗
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No60.0¢$78+$19Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No75.1¢$71-$54Trade ↗
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No85.0¢$55+$7Trade ↗
Is Earth flat?No98.7¢$32+$0Trade ↗
Discord IPO before 2027?No43.1¢$30+$16Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No52.0¢$26+$11Trade ↗
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No82.2¢$24+$2Trade ↗
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?No98.8¢$24+$0Trade ↗
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?No80.0¢$15-$9Trade ↗
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No89.1¢$14+$1Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No88.0¢$13+$1Trade ↗
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No79.0¢$8+$1Trade ↗
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?No95.0¢$6+$0Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?No93.2¢$5+$0Trade ↗
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No74.0¢$5+$1Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No93.8¢$4+$0Trade ↗
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-23?No53.2¢$0-$10,918Trade ↗
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-21?Yes50.9¢$0-$608Trade ↗
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2026-08-12?No59.0¢$0-$25Trade ↗
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-17?No35.0¢$0-$31Trade ↗
Will América de Cali win on 2026-08-22?Yes40.0¢$0-$212Trade ↗
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?No54.0¢$0-$10,800Trade ↗
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5Under56.0¢$0-$1,568Trade ↗
Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris62.0¢$0-$167Trade ↗
SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú: O/U 2.5Over59.0¢$0-$22Trade ↗
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?No57.0¢$0-$14,205Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?Yes30.0¢$0-$30Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No53.8¢$0-$1,458Trade ↗
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?No52.0¢$0-$5,200Trade ↗
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over27.0¢$0-$50Trade ↗
Will FC Arda Kardzhali win on 2026-09-04?Yes46.3¢$0-$35Trade ↗
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-14?Yes37.0¢$0-$67Trade ↗
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-09-06?No48.0¢$0-$144Trade ↗
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-22?Yes41.7¢$0-$7,245Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No90.6¢$0-$66Trade ↗
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-02?No57.0¢$0-$1,983Trade ↗
Olympique Marseille vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5Under38.0¢$0-$102Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No82.0¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp47.0¢$0-$24Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?No33.8¢$0-$2,144Trade ↗
FC Arda Kardzhali leading at halftime?Yes34.0¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 18?No80.0¢$0-$5Trade ↗
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under12.0¢$0-$30Trade ↗
FC København leading at halftime?No63.3¢$0-$6,529Trade ↗
Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Lorenzo BocchiLorenzo Bocchi20.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-22?Yes49.9¢$0-$8,456Trade ↗
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over53.0¢$0-$5,481Trade ↗
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?No50.0¢$0-$444Trade ↗
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09?Yes60.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No94.7¢$0-$55Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?No93.0¢$0-$47Trade ↗
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)FC Dallas48.0¢$0-$4,800Trade ↗
Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 21?No32.0¢$0-$6Trade ↗
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?Yes39.2¢$0-$3,974Trade ↗
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)HANJIN BRION Challengers43.9¢$0-$20Trade ↗
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by lava?No5.6¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will FK Spartak 1918 Varna win on 2026-08-17?Yes52.0¢$0-$26Trade ↗
FC Midtjylland vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5Under57.7¢$0-$9,775Trade ↗
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur FilsJiri Lehecka39.0¢$0-$34Trade ↗
Club Bolívar vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Over46.0¢$0-$21Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
60d agoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELLNo97.8¢$16,802
63d agoXi Jinping out before 2027?SELLNo95.8¢$11,066
64d agoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELLNo87.0¢$17,101
66d agoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELLNo92.0¢$21,218
68d agoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUYNo67.0¢$17,239
70d agoTrump out as President before 2027?SELLNo94.0¢$28,200
70d agoTrump out as President before 2027?SELLNo94.0¢$28,200
70d agoOdense BK vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5BUYUnder50.0¢$10,000
70d agoOdense BK vs. AC Horsens: O/U 2.5BUYUnder50.0¢$12,500
73d agoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELLNo96.2¢$15,217
74d agoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELLNo96.3¢$15,504
75d agoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUYNo81.9¢$13,975