WhaleWatcher

Paul973973

60Qualified whaleProven trader
0xa1089452f0224a9973505f2d4347c2ea2f08abd3· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$107,109
closed + open positions
Return on capital
4%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$139,383
Capital deployed
$2,841,010
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$141,189
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
29

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 11.8/30Return 3.1/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 60.0 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic89.4¢$24,335+$1,435Trade ↗
European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon GriekspoorTallon Griekspoor88.5¢$22,588+$2,588Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No94.0¢$12,709+$709Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No96.5¢$11,371+$371Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo92.8¢$9,962-$38Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes82.1¢$6,408-$292Trade ↗
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs James DuckworthAleksandar Kovacevic98.7¢$6,075+$75Trade ↗
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes89.2¢$5,935-$765Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes81.0¢$5,833+$833Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No96.0¢$5,083+$83Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes91.0¢$5,027+$27Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No79.9¢$4,227+$727Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No95.0¢$3,017+$17Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes97.7¢$3,012+$12Trade ↗
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No75.5¢$2,553+$553Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No87.0¢$2,161+$161Trade ↗
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No53.1¢$2,025+$25Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?No90.6¢$1,947+$147Trade ↗
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes47.6¢$1,558+$518Trade ↗
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No74.9¢$1,209+$209Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No95.5¢$779-$21Trade ↗
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Fabian Marozsan vs Sebastian SorgerFabian Marozsan79.7¢$474+$74Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?No98.0¢$407+$7Trade ↗
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Corentin Moutet vs Tomas MachacTomas Machac98.1¢$199-$1Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes28.4¢$198-$423Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No95.0¢$155+$5Trade ↗
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No81.0¢$120+$20Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes24.0¢$14-$1Trade ↗
European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon GriekspoorFrancisco Cerundolo93.2¢$2-$4,498Trade ↗
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes64.2¢$0-$650Trade ↗
Zhangjiagang: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongPetr Bar Biryukov35.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes7.1¢$0-$24Trade ↗
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-08-30?Yes87.0¢$0-$200Trade ↗
Zhangjiagang: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Elias YmerElias Ymer6.8¢$0-$20Trade ↗
Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?No98.6¢$0-$2,000Trade ↗
Phan Thiet 3: Cruz Hewitt vs Max PurcellCruz Hewitt1.5¢$0-$1Trade ↗
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes8.1¢$0-$400Trade ↗
Rennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse BobichonAdrian Mannarino82.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-AliassimeFelix Auger-Aliassime57.0¢$0-$60Trade ↗
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes2.6¢$0-$140Trade ↗
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23?Yes64.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?Yes70.0¢$0-$150Trade ↗
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?Yes85.0¢$0-$200Trade ↗
Hamburg: Niels McDonald vs Eduardo RibeiroEduardo Ribeiro31.0¢$0-$30Trade ↗
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons91.6¢$0-$1,600Trade ↗
Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?Yes16.1¢$0-$430Trade ↗
Lisbon: Andrea Pellegrino vs Svyatoslav GulinAndrea Pellegrino80.1¢$0-$200Trade ↗
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesSt. Louis Cardinals98.7¢$0-$3,000Trade ↗
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands89.5¢$0-$4,000Trade ↗
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes4.9¢$0-$300Trade ↗
Exact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1 - 3 FC Twente?Yes0.6¢$0-$2Trade ↗
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerRE.Arise68.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes73.0¢$0-$200Trade ↗
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn VandecasteelePierre-Hugues Herbert95.2¢$0-$1,000Trade ↗
Will El Qanah Club win on 2026-09-07?Yes88.0¢$0-$50Trade ↗
Como: Jay Clarke vs Pedro MartinezPedro Martinez84.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Viborg FF vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreYes58.0¢$0-$10Trade ↗
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes95.0¢$0-$4,000Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?Yes23.0¢$0-$134Trade ↗
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 1 - 0 Motherwell FC?Yes1.0¢$0-$4Trade ↗
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes0.7¢$0-$15Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?Up97.0¢$0-$400Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen KhachanovFelix Auger-Aliassime82.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Roanne: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matteo MartineauNicolai Budkov Kjaer22.0¢$0-$50Trade ↗
St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Jesper de JongJesper de Jong79.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes1.8¢$0-$300Trade ↗
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg?No1.0¢$0-$13Trade ↗
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group StageGamerLegion88.8¢$0-$400Trade ↗
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Yandex85.0¢$0-$4,000Trade ↗
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Yes35.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No98.0¢$0-$200Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes13.4¢$0-$14Trade ↗
Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ASpirit Academy86.0¢$0-$139Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes67.0¢$0-$125Trade ↗
Will LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?Yes22.0¢$0-$245Trade ↗
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?Down98.9¢$0-$4,310Trade ↗
Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen KhachanovTomas Machac72.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-30?Yes98.4¢$0-$400Trade ↗
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes13.3¢$0-$44Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes17.3¢$0-$18Trade ↗
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes84.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Zhangjiagang: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Tianhui ZhangTianhui Zhang1.0¢$0-$1Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin MoutetCorentin Moutet67.0¢$0-$200Trade ↗
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Level UP - Game 4 WinnerSpirit Academy80.0¢$0-$14Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes55.3¢$0-$56Trade ↗
Lyon Open: Jaime Faria vs Felix BalshawJaime Faria47.0¢$0-$50Trade ↗
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes4.1¢$0-$60Trade ↗
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes16.2¢$0-$17Trade ↗
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes5.8¢$0-$19Trade ↗
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?Yes75.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes96.4¢$0-$1,000Trade ↗
Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz BasilashviliNikoloz Basilashvili91.9¢$0-$200Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco CerundoloTaylor Fritz94.5¢$0-$2,000Trade ↗
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?Yes95.5¢$0-$9,000Trade ↗
Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-08-30?Yes62.0¢$0-$100Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No82.6¢$0-$500Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-02?Yes74.0¢$0-$212Trade ↗
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30?Yes54.7¢$0-$564Trade ↗
Will FC Zbrojovka Brno vs. FC Zlín end in a draw?Yes88.5¢$0-$300Trade ↗
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsLGD Gaming83.9¢$0-$675Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
1d agoEuropean Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon GriekspoorBUYTallon Griekspoor88.5¢$20,000
4d agoThunder vs. SpursBUYThunder99.9¢$20,000
36d ago2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUYNo92.9¢$10,000
39d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo99.9¢$20,000
47d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUYNo98.2¢$13,500
50d agoUS Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen ZhengBUYQinwen Zheng94.0¢$20,000
51d agoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELLNo99.9¢$37,689