Istaroth

76Qualified whaleProven trader

0x9efda3d6354152901fc4706c3b1a9ce50b45ad00· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$670,024

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$243

Capital deployed

$12,093,389

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$127,976

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 26.7/30Return 4.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 76.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 25%-30%?	No	80.0¢	$39	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 10%-15%?	No	80.0¢	$36	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Anyone's Legend Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	62.0¢	$21	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	85.1¢	$19	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Ty Jerome win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?	No	81.8¢	$17	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Pittsburgh Steelers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	Yes	10.9¢	$15	-$5	Trade ↗
Will JetBlue (JBLU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	51.0¢	$14	-$2	Trade ↗
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?	No	72.0¢	$12	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	21.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Rome Odunze have 999.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	48.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 90% or more?	Yes	13.9¢	$10	-$12	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?	Yes	40.0¢	$8	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	52.5¢	$7	-$2	Trade ↗
Will CeeDee Lamb have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	71.0¢	$3	-$0	Trade ↗
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	2.0¢	$3	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Evan Stewart be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?	Yes	9.8¢	$3	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	12.0¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 0%-5%?	Yes	31.4¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?	Yes	7.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	Yes	21.0¢	$2	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Chicago Bears finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?	Yes	6.0¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Nico Collins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?	Yes	6.9¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will m0NESY play for Astralis in 2027?	Yes	0.4¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Rain during the United States Grand Prix?	Yes	16.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	67.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Chandler Simpson lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will m0NESY play for magic in 2027?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will m0NESY play for PARIVISION in 2027?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will m0NESY play for Natus Vincere in 2027?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will m0NESY play for FUT in 2027?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will m0NESY play for GamerLegion in 2027?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Wyatt Cullen win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Yes	24.9¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will m0NESY play for The MongolZ in 2027?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Ryan McMahon win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Tarik Skubal lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Munchkin win the VALORANT Champions 2026 MVP?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Xross win the VALORANT Champions 2026 MVP?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026?	No	1.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	2.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will lukxo have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	41.7¢	$0	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Kyle Tucker lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in runs scored?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will lukxo have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
ChatGPT Outage by November 15, 2026?	No	20.0¢	$0	-$80	Trade ↗
Will SUYGETSU have the most first bloods at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will PROFEK have the most kills at VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Hanwha Life Esports Go 0-3 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the announcement not happen?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
51d ago	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$55,364
59d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	Yes	13.0¢	$59,683
62d ago	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	SELL	Yes	13.0¢	$12,928