0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

91Qualified whaleProven trader

0x9b129ad05bc0a8df3c73dfcc66fe75252daec2d5· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$326,210

closed + open positions

Return on capital

83%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$2,572

Capital deployed

$391,242

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,424

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

212

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 20.9/30Return 25.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 90.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	96.6¢	$460	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	85.7¢	$220	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	2.6¢	$194	+$187	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	28.9¢	$164	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	62.8¢	$142	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	No	79.6¢	$106	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	No	99.9¢	$99	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	61.7¢	$85	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	95.8¢	$78	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	50.4¢	$77	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2.8¢	$69	-$203	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 24?	No	97.5¢	$61	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 23?	No	97.0¢	$52	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	70.2¢	$52	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 23?	No	86.3¢	$45	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 23?	No	99.6¢	$40	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	58.8¢	$39	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 23?	No	99.9¢	$37	+$0	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3.6¢	$35	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 24?	No	66.4¢	$35	-$14	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 24?	No	84.2¢	$34	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 24?	No	99.9¢	$31	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	36.6¢	$30	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2.8¢	$28	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 24?	No	52.0¢	$19	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	24.0¢	$19	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	23.9¢	$18	-$1	Trade ↗
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	No	53.6¢	$17	+$1	Trade ↗
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	71.9¢	$15	+$0	Trade ↗
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	47.9¢	$14	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 24?	Yes	43.6¢	$12	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	3.3¢	$11	-$738	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	No	77.9¢	$11	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Nathan Volf win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	92.0¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	47.3¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2.8¢	$9	-$88	Trade ↗
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$9	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 24?	No	98.2¢	$9	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	No	67.0¢	$8	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$7	+$6	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 23?	No	95.2¢	$7	+$0	Trade ↗
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	11.8¢	$5	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2.8¢	$5	-$293	Trade ↗
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2.8¢	$5	-$293	Trade ↗
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2.8¢	$5	-$293	Trade ↗
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2.8¢	$5	-$293	Trade ↗
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2.8¢	$5	-$289	Trade ↗
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?	Yes	12.5¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	2.6¢	$5	-$262	Trade ↗
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	2.6¢	$5	-$262	Trade ↗
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	2.6¢	$5	-$262	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	No	58.0¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$5	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?	No	45.4¢	$3	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	7.7¢	$3	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	Yes	9.0¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	12.5¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$2	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$2	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$2	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	2.4¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	7.7¢	$2	-$294	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?	No	8.1¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$2	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3.6¢	$1	-$87	Trade ↗
Josh Shapiro Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	Yes	11.1¢	$1	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2.2¢	$1	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	37.8¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3.6¢	$1	-$55	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$1	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Santiago Rosendo Abarca León win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	2.0¢	$1	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3.6¢	$1	-$54	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
40d ago	Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	SELL	Yes	99.9¢	$10,424