cashy

83Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$762,022

closed + open positions

Return on capital

12%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$122,498

Capital deployed

$6,225,828

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$37,163

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 27.8/30Return 10.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 83.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	85.2¢	$29,537	+$2,482	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	84.9¢	$27,462	+$3,854	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	86.3¢	$12,845	+$1,336	Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	88.2¢	$9,349	-$1,427	Trade ↗
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	77.2¢	$8,473	+$642	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	26.9¢	$7,425	-$6,025	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	77.2¢	$4,380	+$686	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	98.6¢	$3,557	+$17	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	48.6¢	$3,444	-$686	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	94.5¢	$3,339	+$21	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	13.0¢	$2,694	+$1,102	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	24.0¢	$2,250	+$917	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	74.0¢	$1,789	+$144	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	74.0¢	$1,448	+$74	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	46.3¢	$627	-$616	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?	Yes	58.5¢	$608	-$2,234	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3.1¢	$524	-$126	Trade ↗
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	62.4¢	$420	-$84	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	62.9¢	$414	+$80	Trade ↗
Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	No	99.0¢	$408	+$2	Trade ↗
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	34.0¢	$352	+$29	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	35.0¢	$337	-$187	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	47.0¢	$268	-$2,019	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	Yes	16.9¢	$188	-$48	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	24.8¢	$172	+$43	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Yes	11.4¢	$97	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	26.9¢	$29	-$69	Trade ↗
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	34.0¢	$25	+$5	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	Yes	2.4¢	$19	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.4¢	$18	$0	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	66.0¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?	No	43.7¢	$0	-$645	Trade ↗
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	15.0¢	$0	-$149	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	6.1¢	$0	-$92	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	7.0¢	$0	-$778	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	No	11.4¢	$0	-$697	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	10.4¢	$0	-$1,142	Trade ↗
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	8.9¢	$0	-$250	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	80.0¢	$0	-$444	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	5.3¢	$0	-$653	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	21.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	29.0¢	$0	-$967	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	39.5¢	$0	-$1,135	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?	Yes	7.4¢	$0	-$107	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	6.6¢	$0	-$141	Trade ↗
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$435	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	14.4¢	$0	-$2,416	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	16.0¢	$0	-$1,244	Trade ↗
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	12.8¢	$0	-$214	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	24.5¢	$0	-$3,921	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$389	Trade ↗
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	7.0¢	$0	-$505	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	32.1¢	$0	-$493	Trade ↗
Will Israel vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$181	Trade ↗
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	44.9¢	$0	-$125	Trade ↗
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	19.7¢	$0	-$606	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	No	6.0¢	$0	-$160	Trade ↗
Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	15.7¢	$0	-$157	Trade ↗
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	25.0¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	12.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	29.0¢	$0	-$1,611	Trade ↗
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$1,155	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by September 30, 2026?	Yes	17.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	14.7¢	$0	-$163	Trade ↗
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5	Over	20.2¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	13.2¢	$0	-$1,626	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by August 31?	Yes	5.5¢	$0	-$366	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	10.1¢	$0	-$262	Trade ↗
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Israel end in a draw?	No	29.0¢	$0	-$322	Trade ↗
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$256	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	4.9¢	$0	-$745	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	4.2¢	$0	-$111	Trade ↗
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	7.0¢	$0	-$156	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
5d ago	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	SELL	Yes	91.8¢	$19,341
7d ago	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	Yes	30.0¢	$17,821