0xB16B00B5

49Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$53,528

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$38,324

Capital deployed

$3,032,623

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$19,687

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

102

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 6.2/30Return 1.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.6Total 49.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	99.3¢	$16,558	+$61	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$2,890	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	37.1¢	$2,744	+$1,257	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	82.8¢	$2,475	-$10	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	92.0¢	$1,735	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	89.2¢	$1,529	+$125	Trade ↗
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?	No	83.1¢	$1,222	+$112	Trade ↗
ECB rate cut in 2026?	No	92.5¢	$1,167	+$37	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	36.2¢	$1,148	-$170	Trade ↗
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?	No	76.1¢	$1,027	+$186	Trade ↗
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	85.0¢	$1,008	+$72	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	91.0¢	$905	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.3% before 2027?	No	84.0¢	$442	+$56	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$406	+$11	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	83.0¢	$286	+$8	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	94.0¢	$281	-$2	Trade ↗
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?	No	78.2¢	$244	+$18	Trade ↗
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	91.7¢	$214	+$11	Trade ↗
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	90.1¢	$202	+$14	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	No	88.0¢	$193	+$17	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	91.0¢	$185	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.2% before 2027?	No	89.0¢	$181	+$16	Trade ↗
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?	No	88.9¢	$114	+$10	Trade ↗
Will BNY fail by end of 2026?	No	96.1¢	$112	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	No	90.2¢	$106	+$9	Trade ↗
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?	No	84.2¢	$96	+$8	Trade ↗
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?	No	90.8¢	$85	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.7¢	$83	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	72.5¢	$75	+$20	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	No	93.7¢	$52	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	No	81.5¢	$49	+$8	Trade ↗
Will GBP/USD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026?	No	88.0¢	$43	-$1	Trade ↗
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	90.0¢	$38	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	13.9¢	$38	+$8	Trade ↗
Will GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?	No	88.5¢	$35	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?	No	88.6¢	$34	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$31	+$6	Trade ↗
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?	No	76.0¢	$21	-$2	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	14.0¢	$19	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Yes	0.2¢	$18	+$17	Trade ↗
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?	Yes	2.2¢	$17	+$7	Trade ↗
Will USD/CAD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?	No	60.0¢	$17	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?	No	78.2¢	$17	+$3	Trade ↗
Will world GDP growth be 3.6% in 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$13	+$11	Trade ↗
Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$10	+$9	Trade ↗
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	No	78.0¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	91.5¢	$10	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?	No	79.0¢	$9	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?	No	91.0¢	$9	+$1	Trade ↗
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	37.0¢	$7	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	68.5¢	$7	+$2	Trade ↗
Brex IPO before 2027?	Yes	0.7¢	$7	+$1	Trade ↗
Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	82.0¢	$7	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?	Yes	0.3¢	$7	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	No	82.8¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?	Yes	0.2¢	$6	+$5	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?	Yes	0.4¢	$5	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$5	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?	Yes	0.2¢	$5	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	10.3¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?	Yes	0.3¢	$3	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?	Yes	0.3¢	$3	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	89.0¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	4.6¢	$3	-$6	Trade ↗
Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	11.0¢	$2	$0	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.9¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?	No	85.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?	Yes	59.0¢	$2	-$10	Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?	Yes	0.2¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?	Yes	0.3¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	3.0¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?	Yes	0.3¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	1.1¢	$1	$0	Trade ↗
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Yes	0.3¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	Yes	3.4¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	15.7¢	$1	-$8	Trade ↗
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.1¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	Yes	0.2¢	$1	+$1	Trade ↗
Will world GDP growth be 3.7%+ in 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$1	$0	Trade ↗
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥6.0% at the end of 2027?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	Yes	0.5¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	11.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
NATO dissolves before 2027?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
39d ago	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	Yes	99.0¢	$19,687