products

86Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8575467a6743c81ef0a8d06acc76e99b454a87fe· stats updated 9h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,179,076

closed + open positions

Return on capital

25%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$43,889

Capital deployed

$4,644,364

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$20,746

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

257

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 21.2/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -9.9Total 86.2 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	76.7¢	$32,725	+$5,875	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	19.6¢	$10,350	-$7,300	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	3.7¢	$119	+$111	Trade ↗
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$86	+$86	Trade ↗
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	90.0¢	$20	+$0	Trade ↗
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	14.3¢	$16	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	0.0¢	$16	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	10.0¢	$15	+$12	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	16.7¢	$14	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	11.1¢	$13	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	3.4¢	$12	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$12	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	No	99.1¢	$10	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?	No	99.7¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	99.4¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	No	98.8¢	$10	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	No	94.0¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	99.7¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	99.2¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?	No	36.0¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	27.2¢	$9	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?	No	93.9¢	$9	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	96.7¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	93.0¢	$9	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	75.1¢	$8	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3.6¢	$8	-$2	Trade ↗
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3.6¢	$8	-$42	Trade ↗
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	71.0¢	$8	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	38.0¢	$7	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T?	No	99.6¢	$7	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?	No	98.7¢	$7	-$0	Trade ↗
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	98.1¢	$7	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?	No	96.5¢	$7	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	No	94.5¢	$7	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	3.6¢	$7	-$43	Trade ↗
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	No	86.5¢	$7	-$2	Trade ↗
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	97.9¢	$7	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$6	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	No	79.0¢	$6	$0	Trade ↗
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$6	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	Yes	10.0¢	$5	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of October 2026?	No	99.9¢	$5	-$0	Trade ↗
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	28.0¢	$5	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	93.6¢	$5	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by less than 4%?	No	96.0¢	$5	$0	Trade ↗
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 9% to 11%?	No	87.0¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	No	77.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No	42.8¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 11%+?	No	99.6¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth <5%?	No	99.0¢	$4	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4.8¢	$4	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	97.9¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	97.9¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	93.6¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	94.9¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	96.6¢	$4	+$0	Trade ↗
Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 5% to 7%?	No	49.0¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?	No	74.4¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?	No	67.0¢	$3	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?	No	35.5¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	99.5¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	97.5¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	97.7¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	99.5¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	64.2¢	$3	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	No	89.0¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	77.9¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3.6¢	$3	-$64	Trade ↗
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	91.0¢	$3	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	14.3¢	$2	-$31	Trade ↗
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.3¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	97.5¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	1.6¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	No	75.3¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	87.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	7.7¢	$2	-$47	Trade ↗
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	98.8¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	61.9¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	7.7¢	$2	-$80	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	93.7¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?	No	99.6¢	$2	$0	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	97.8¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	97.9¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	89.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	0.0¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	60.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	96.6¢	$2	$0	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	No	96.7¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump deport 700-800k people?	No	99.1¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump deport 800-900k people?	No	99.0¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?	No	98.7¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	No	45.3¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?	No	99.5¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?	No	85.0¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	6.7¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	3.6¢	$2	-$65	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	86.2¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?	No	54.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$2	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	93.2¢	$2	+$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
47d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	86.0¢	$20,746