57284910

30Proven trader

0x856ac2b10fb37c9b74e18f16da2acedfa60f4ea2· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$2,866

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

88%

22 of 25 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$146,509

Capital deployed

$292,126

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$14,970

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.8/25Consistency 23.8/25Sample size 6.1/20Concentration -0.7Total 30.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	96.7¢	$41,439	+$388	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	98.9¢	$24,700	+$146	Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	98.5¢	$17,365	+$96	Trade ↗
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	97.4¢	$9,735	-$10	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	99.2¢	$8,901	-$25	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	96.2¢	$5,668	-$23	Trade ↗
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	97.3¢	$5,391	+$47	Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	95.8¢	$4,399	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	96.1¢	$3,959	+$30	Trade ↗
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	97.4¢	$3,049	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	97.7¢	$3,039	-$14	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.0¢	$2,063	-$38	Trade ↗
OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	96.8¢	$2,062	+$35	Trade ↗
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	96.5¢	$1,941	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$1,383	-$30	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	91.0¢	$1,373	+$8	Trade ↗
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	88.5¢	$1,343	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	97.9¢	$1,311	+$1	Trade ↗
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	97.4¢	$1,074	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?	No	97.0¢	$969	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	96.0¢	$965	+$5	Trade ↗
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?	No	98.6¢	$807	+$4	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	98.3¢	$541	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	No	97.4¢	$487	$0	Trade ↗
Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	98.3¢	$473	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?	No	96.6¢	$354	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Yes	96.7¢	$311	+$5	Trade ↗
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $825B by October 31?	No	99.3¢	$288	+$1	Trade ↗
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by October 31?	No	99.1¢	$271	+$2	Trade ↗
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	97.0¢	$243	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	97.9¢	$148	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$100	-$1	Trade ↗
Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	93.0¢	$98	+$5	Trade ↗
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	No	89.0¢	$91	+$2	Trade ↗
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more?	No	75.0¢	$73	-$2	Trade ↗
ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	92.0¢	$30	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	Yes	33.7¢	$27	-$20	Trade ↗
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000?	Yes	34.8¢	$17	-$1	Trade ↗
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000?	Yes	20.0¢	$8	+$0	Trade ↗
Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	99.0¢	$5	$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	96.3¢	$3	+$0	Trade ↗
Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	Yes	9.4¢	$3	-$3	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	97.4¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	97.7¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
16d ago	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	No	99.8¢	$14,970