Mr.Kirk

87Qualified whaleProven trader

0x853212cd809da6acc458021c106af749b7aa738b· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$195,054

closed + open positions

Return on capital

32%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$43,457

Capital deployed

$613,397

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,144

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 16.7/30Return 25.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 86.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	64.0¢	$8,819	-$1,351	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	42.0¢	$4,214	+$488	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	8.2¢	$4,165	+$1,971	Trade ↗
Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,774.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	50.0¢	$3,117	+$952	Trade ↗
Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship?	Yes	61.9¢	$2,868	+$139	Trade ↗
Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	57.8¢	$2,241	+$428	Trade ↗
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	57.0¢	$1,295	-$11	Trade ↗
Falcons vs. Steelers	Steelers	64.0¢	$1,250	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?	Yes	44.5¢	$1,167	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	51.5¢	$1,049	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Justin Herbert have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	38.0¢	$921	+$184	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 949.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	49.0¢	$846	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Josh Allen have 3,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	53.1¢	$836	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?	Yes	36.7¢	$718	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Jeremiyah Love have 899.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	57.0¢	$692	+$76	Trade ↗
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	54.0¢	$673	-$13	Trade ↗
Buccaneers vs. Bengals: O/U 51.5	Under	55.0¢	$666	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Love have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	49.9¢	$612	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	57.0¢	$585	+$15	Trade ↗
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Nassr Saudi Club	43.0¢	$562	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	56.0¢	$555	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Tyler Shough have 3,649.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	58.0¢	$527	+$5	Trade ↗
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	54.5¢	$512	-$89	Trade ↗
Will Cincinnati have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 5.5	59.8¢	$498	-$605	Trade ↗
Spread: Titans (-2.5)	Titans	54.5¢	$495	-$105	Trade ↗
Will Justin Herbert have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	56.4¢	$436	+$8	Trade ↗
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Nassr Saudi Club	63.0¢	$434	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Omarion Hampton have 1,149.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	35.0¢	$355	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	24.9¢	$303	-$352	Trade ↗
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Under	58.0¢	$279	-$18	Trade ↗
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)	Cowboys	55.0¢	$272	-$3	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	55.8¢	$250	-$44	Trade ↗
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	56.0¢	$246	-$11	Trade ↗
Cowboys vs. Giants	Cowboys	60.0¢	$233	+$2	Trade ↗
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	50.0¢	$233	-$18	Trade ↗
Spread: Chargers (-10.5)	Chargers	50.0¢	$228	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Emeka Egbuka have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	55.0¢	$139	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	5.0¢	$126	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	40.0¢	$44	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	7.1¢	$0	-$351	Trade ↗
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-09-01?	No	43.0¢	$0	-$421	Trade ↗
Patriots vs. Browns	Patriots	57.0¢	$0	-$684	Trade ↗
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	57.0¢	$0	-$570	Trade ↗
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5	Under	59.0¢	$0	-$590	Trade ↗
Spread: UCLA (-2.5)	California	52.4¢	$0	-$949	Trade ↗
Panthers vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	47.0¢	$0	-$564	Trade ↗
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Diraiyah Saudi Club	62.0¢	$0	-$371	Trade ↗
FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5	Over	38.0¢	$0	-$76	Trade ↗
Querétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5	Under	41.0¢	$0	-$183	Trade ↗
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	64.0¢	$0	-$384	Trade ↗
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	54.0¢	$0	-$405	Trade ↗
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	39.0¢	$0	-$254	Trade ↗
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	36.0¢	$0	-$216	Trade ↗
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	51.0¢	$0	-$408	Trade ↗
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5	Under	43.0¢	$0	-$430	Trade ↗
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	19.0¢	$0	-$95	Trade ↗
Fagiano Okayama vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5	Under	48.0¢	$0	-$384	Trade ↗
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	Botafogo FR	52.0¢	$0	-$364	Trade ↗
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5	Under	55.0¢	$0	-$440	Trade ↗
SMU vs. Florida State	Florida State	43.0¢	$0	-$323	Trade ↗
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	46.0¢	$0	-$460	Trade ↗
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5	Under	66.0¢	$0	-$528	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoe	Rei Sakamoto	23.7¢	$0	-$237	Trade ↗
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	40.0¢	$0	-$300	Trade ↗
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	38.0¢	$0	-$266	Trade ↗
Jets vs. Steelers	Steelers	42.0¢	$0	-$245	Trade ↗
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	3.1¢	$0	-$382	Trade ↗
Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	47.0¢	$0	-$400	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Jiri Lehecka	62.9¢	$0	-$818	Trade ↗
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?	No	67.0¢	$0	-$1,005	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul	Alexander Bublik	39.0¢	$0	-$624	Trade ↗
Spread: DEN (-3.5)	DEN	59.0¢	$0	-$582	Trade ↗
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-09-01?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$296	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	23.5¢	$0	-$648	Trade ↗
Sheffield United FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5	Under	49.0¢	$0	-$331	Trade ↗
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	56.0¢	$0	-$448	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Dino Prizmic vs Tommy Paul	Dino Prizmic	19.0¢	$0	-$270	Trade ↗
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship?	Yes	8.6¢	$0	-$671	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo	Jan-Lennard Struff	43.1¢	$0	-$992	Trade ↗
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5	Under	44.0¢	$0	-$352	Trade ↗
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	60.0¢	$0	-$480	Trade ↗
UFC Fight Night: Jingnan Xiong vs. Julia Polastri (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Jingnan Xiong	34.0¢	$0	-$255	Trade ↗
Game Spread: Bergs (-4.5) vs Jong (+4.5)	Bergs	59.0¢	$0	-$369	Trade ↗
49ers vs. Raiders	Raiders	59.0¢	$0	-$472	Trade ↗
FC Schalke 04 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5	Over	64.0¢	$0	-$480	Trade ↗
CR Flamengo vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5	Under	41.0¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
FC Luzern vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5	Over	51.0¢	$0	-$382	Trade ↗
Game Spread: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)	Medvedev	55.9¢	$0	-$233	Trade ↗
CD Guadalajara vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5	Under	65.0¢	$0	-$390	Trade ↗
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	54.0¢	$0	-$270	Trade ↗
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	31.8¢	$0	-$366	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$61	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea	Zachary Svajda	52.0¢	$0	-$520	Trade ↗
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-19?	No	57.3¢	$0	-$573	Trade ↗
Spread: Auburn (-6.5)	Auburn	56.6¢	$0	-$916	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe	Daniil Medvedev	59.0¢	$0	-$1,180	Trade ↗
Viking FK vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5	Over	60.4¢	$0	-$604	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Zizou Bergs	35.0¢	$0	-$315	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz	Jaime Faria	11.0¢	$0	-$110	Trade ↗
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-01?	No	52.8¢	$0	-$454	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
26d ago	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	Yes	64.0¢	$10,144