cripes3

65Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8454f39e7fa6957dfbf1ecc574820ada1c92331a· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$219,213

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$19,886

Capital deployed

$8,089,083

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,422

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 17.7/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 64.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	81.0¢	$1,801	-$3,061	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	65.0¢	$1,746	+$513	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	84.5¢	$1,722	-$2,502	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	58.5¢	$1,570	+$400	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	73.3¢	$1,453	-$4,010	Trade ↗
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	89.0¢	$1,439	+$104	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	0.0¢	$1,311	+$1,311	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	23.8¢	$1,177	-$901	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	87.4¢	$801	-$199	Trade ↗
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?	No	59.0¢	$785	+$230	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	94.9¢	$539	-$220	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	63.4¢	$487	-$326	Trade ↗
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	84.0¢	$424	-$501	Trade ↗
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	60.0¢	$419	+$119	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?	No	93.0¢	$397	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	90.0¢	$338	-$113	Trade ↗
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	93.5¢	$310	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	66.0¢	$291	-$172	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	52.0¢	$237	+$26	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?	No	96.5¢	$237	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	63.0¢	$223	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$173	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	43.0¢	$169	-$6	Trade ↗
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?	No	97.4¢	$145	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	17.0¢	$111	-$233	Trade ↗
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	12.0¢	$105	-$255	Trade ↗
Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	49.0¢	$104	-$44	Trade ↗
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	68.0¢	$81	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	No	96.0¢	$79	-$207	Trade ↗
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	58.0¢	$79	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	59.0¢	$77	-$285	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	25.0¢	$73	+$17	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	97.5¢	$66	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$62	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	85.0¢	$56	-$284	Trade ↗
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	25.0¢	$54	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	39.0¢	$49	-$27	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	83.0¢	$47	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	14.0¢	$45	+$30	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch	No	90.0¢	$44	-$1	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	85.4¢	$42	-$3	Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	90.0¢	$42	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	59.0¢	$42	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	50.0¢	$41	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24.1¢	$40	-$50	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI?	Yes	2.0¢	$38	+$35	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch	No	89.0¢	$37	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	12.0¢	$36	-$326	Trade ↗
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	57.0¢	$35	+$5	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?	Yes	57.0¢	$30	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	98.7¢	$27	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	64.0¢	$24	+$4	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $600M one day after launch	No	86.0¢	$18	-$5	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $500M one day after launch	Yes	18.0¢	$13	+$6	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $700M one day after launch	No	88.0¢	$13	-$2	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX?	Yes	1.0¢	$11	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	44.1¢	$11	-$18	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	15.0¢	$10	+$3	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	10.0¢	$8	+$5	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $300M one day after launch	Yes	47.0¢	$8	-$2	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch	Yes	8.0¢	$7	+$2	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $1B one day after launch	Yes	5.0¢	$5	+$3	Trade ↗
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	14.0¢	$4	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	53.0¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	68.0¢	$4	-$10	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch	Yes	9.0¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	6.0¢	$2	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	43.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	3.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?	Yes	3.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	Yes	2.3¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	39.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?	No	96.5¢	$0	-$386	Trade ↗
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	42.0¢	$0	-$840	Trade ↗
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5	Under	58.0¢	$0	-$870	Trade ↗
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	Yes	82.6¢	$0	-$2,831	Trade ↗
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	82.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Morocco finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	No	42.0¢	$0	-$210	Trade ↗
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5	Under	45.7¢	$0	-$10,528	Trade ↗
Will Yatoro be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?	Yes	2.5¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by more than 50%?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	48.4¢	$0	-$2,902	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump dance on May 12, 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	23.7¢	$0	-$484	Trade ↗
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	0.4¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will RED Canids qualify to the EWC	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5	Under	59.1¢	$0	-$2,183	Trade ↗
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	23.0¢	$0	-$78	Trade ↗
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 18?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	82.0¢	$0	-$2,460	Trade ↗
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini	VCU Rams	0.1¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Mayra Rivera-Vazquez be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Google have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
55d ago	Iran leadership change by December 31?	SELL	No	82.7¢	$10,422