cripes3

70Qualified whaleProven trader

0x8454f39e7fa6957dfbf1ecc574820ada1c92331a· stats updated 4d ago

Realized PnL

+$365,903

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$29,193

Capital deployed

$8,540,219

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,422

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 21.8/30Return 3.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 70.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	84.5¢	$2,967	-$1,257	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	57.1¢	$2,544	+$831	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	65.0¢	$1,623	+$389	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	58.5¢	$1,590	+$420	Trade ↗
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	89.6¢	$1,475	-$1,663	Trade ↗
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch	No	93.0¢	$1,442	+$47	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	83.0¢	$1,395	+$116	Trade ↗
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	89.0¢	$1,357	+$23	Trade ↗
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch	No	91.0¢	$1,297	+$23	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?	No	93.7¢	$1,129	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	81.0¢	$1,050	-$3,811	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	23.8¢	$1,003	-$1,076	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	87.4¢	$864	-$136	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	4.1¢	$813	+$731	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	73.3¢	$745	-$4,718	Trade ↗
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?	No	59.0¢	$714	+$160	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	94.9¢	$674	-$86	Trade ↗
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	60.0¢	$460	+$160	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI?	No	93.0¢	$399	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	75.0¢	$380	+$80	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	63.4¢	$366	-$448	Trade ↗
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	66.0¢	$326	-$137	Trade ↗
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	93.5¢	$304	+$7	Trade ↗
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	84.0¢	$281	-$644	Trade ↗
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	90.0¢	$263	-$188	Trade ↗
Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	63.0¢	$244	+$29	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?	No	96.5¢	$237	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	85.0¢	$230	-$110	Trade ↗
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	68.0¢	$230	+$26	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	52.0¢	$213	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	No	96.0¢	$202	-$84	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?	No	90.0¢	$165	+$8	Trade ↗
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?	No	97.4¢	$144	-$2	Trade ↗
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch	Yes	10.6¢	$133	-$60	Trade ↗
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch	Yes	5.8¢	$123	-$61	Trade ↗
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	43.0¢	$120	-$55	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	17.0¢	$111	-$233	Trade ↗
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	68.0¢	$109	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18.0¢	$86	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	49.0¢	$86	-$62	Trade ↗
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	58.0¢	$75	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	59.0¢	$67	-$295	Trade ↗
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	25.0¢	$67	$0	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	No	97.5¢	$66	-$1	Trade ↗
Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	91.8¢	$60	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	62.0¢	$57	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	39.0¢	$55	-$22	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	85.4¢	$50	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	No	93.0¢	$50	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	Yes	13.9¢	$49	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	83.0¢	$47	+$6	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	25.0¢	$46	-$10	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch	No	90.0¢	$45	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	59.0¢	$45	+$16	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?	Yes	57.0¢	$43	+$4	Trade ↗
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	90.0¢	$42	+$2	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch	No	89.0¢	$40	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	12.0¢	$39	-$323	Trade ↗
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	57.0¢	$38	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	14.0¢	$37	+$21	Trade ↗
Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	24.1¢	$36	-$55	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	98.7¢	$27	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	64.0¢	$26	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	50.0¢	$26	-$4	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $600M one day after launch	No	86.0¢	$22	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	44.1¢	$17	-$11	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $700M one day after launch	No	88.0¢	$13	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	18.0¢	$12	+$1	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI?	Yes	2.0¢	$11	+$8	Trade ↗
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	14.0¢	$11	+$1	Trade ↗
Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	Yes	2.6¢	$11	-$1	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $500M one day after launch	Yes	18.0¢	$8	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	68.0¢	$7	-$6	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	15.0¢	$7	$0	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch	Yes	8.0¢	$6	+$2	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	10.0¢	$6	+$4	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $300M one day after launch	Yes	47.0¢	$5	-$4	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX?	Yes	1.0¢	$4	+$4	Trade ↗
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	11.0¢	$4	-$39	Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	53.0¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $1B one day after launch	Yes	5.0¢	$4	+$2	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch	Yes	9.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	Yes	40.0¢	$2	-$2	Trade ↗
Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch	Yes	0.9¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	6.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?	Yes	10.0¢	$1	-$3	Trade ↗
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	3.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	22.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	43.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch	Yes	2.3¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	39.8¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Mayra Rivera-Vazquez be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Google have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	Yes	0.1¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
9d ago	Iran leadership change by December 31?	SELL	No	82.7¢	$10,422