puravida

66Qualified whaleProven trader

0x80a4552cdcde3b861b8adc146ab1fbd4711022cc· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$181,543

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$56,447

Capital deployed

$3,389,815

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,290

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 16.1/30Return 4.5/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 65.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	77.5¢	$9,819	-$533	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2026?	No	74.4¢	$6,475	+$1,270	Trade ↗
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	78.5¢	$4,953	+$940	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	87.7¢	$3,683	+$391	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	7.9¢	$3,016	-$652	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	78.5¢	$2,312	-$120	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	39.1¢	$2,038	-$755	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	77.4¢	$1,853	+$382	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	65.9¢	$1,768	+$248	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	92.0¢	$1,547	+$25	Trade ↗
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	No	75.8¢	$980	+$222	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	78.0¢	$961	+$142	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	53.5¢	$909	+$214	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	94.3¢	$891	-$23	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	37.4¢	$884	+$548	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	78.0¢	$855	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	No	54.2¢	$799	+$366	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	29.6¢	$770	-$724	Trade ↗
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	90.6¢	$733	+$53	Trade ↗
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?	El-Sayed	93.0¢	$683	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	7.3¢	$675	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3.9¢	$670	-$114	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	No	95.4¢	$591	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	37.7¢	$577	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	No	71.0¢	$559	+$26	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	43.5¢	$541	-$33	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	78.3¢	$496	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.0¢	$416	+$126	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	76.6¢	$404	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?	No	94.9¢	$392	+$12	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	31.9¢	$372	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	20.9¢	$371	+$11	Trade ↗
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	57.1¢	$335	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	30.7¢	$333	+$228	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	82.0¢	$314	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	65.0¢	$279	-$18	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	62.0¢	$260	+$90	Trade ↗
US recession by end of 2027?	No	61.8¢	$260	+$13	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	78.8¢	$243	+$51	Trade ↗
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	15.0¢	$224	-$227	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	32.7¢	$217	+$34	Trade ↗
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	36.8¢	$210	-$56	Trade ↗
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	87.0¢	$191	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	25.1¢	$138	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	18.0¢	$124	-$11	Trade ↗
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	17.8¢	$104	-$127	Trade ↗
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	30.0¢	$101	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	No	71.3¢	$96	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	84.0¢	$96	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	42.3¢	$96	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	12.8¢	$96	-$93	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	16.8¢	$95	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	3.6¢	$88	-$486	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	37.8¢	$86	-$65	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	11.2¢	$51	-$50	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	17.0¢	$47	-$14	Trade ↗
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	No	82.0¢	$37	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	21.0¢	$36	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	18.0¢	$36	-$36	Trade ↗
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	21.0¢	$33	-$73	Trade ↗
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	4.9¢	$26	+$16	Trade ↗
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?	No	94.6¢	$25	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	37.0¢	$22	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	Yes	12.0¢	$18	-$72	Trade ↗
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	No	72.5¢	$17	-$73	Trade ↗
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?	Yes	42.0¢	$17	-$5	Trade ↗
Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27?	No	91.0¢	$15	+$1	Trade ↗
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	62.0¢	$15	-$32	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.8¢	$14	-$30	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	32.0¢	$13	-$0	Trade ↗
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	Hike 25 bps	18.1¢	$8	-$72	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	Yes	21.5¢	$8	-$56	Trade ↗
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	50.0¢	$6	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	32.3¢	$4	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.1¢	$4	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	75.0¢	$4	-$0	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	3.5¢	$3	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	12.0¢	$2	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	0.6¢	$2	-$7	Trade ↗
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	34.9¢	$2	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	14.2¢	$2	-$151	Trade ↗
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	15.0¢	$1	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	31.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	33.0¢	$1	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Yes	40.9¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	9.0¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the top song for 2026?	Yes	2.4¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	37.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?	No	23.0¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52.5 and 53 million views on day 5?	No	71.0¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the announcers say "Dribble" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	41.0¢	$0	-$45	Trade ↗
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?	Yes	42.0¢	$0	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	70.0¢	$0	-$98	Trade ↗
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	76.0¢	$0	-$91	Trade ↗
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down - October 15	Down	15.0¢	$0	-$6	Trade ↗
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	13.8¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
37d ago	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	BUY	No	82.0¢	$10,290