Debosnys

63Qualified whaleProven trader

0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$230,863

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$93,227

Capital deployed

$19,444,615

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$57,471

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 18.1/30Return 1.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -1.2Total 62.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	82.3¢	$28,788	+$1,086	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.6¢	$11,060	-$6	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50.0¢	$8,164	+$3,165	Trade ↗
Trump out as President by September 30?	No	98.9¢	$6,954	+$16	Trade ↗
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	91.9¢	$6,054	+$106	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	96.2¢	$3,846	-$2	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	85.3¢	$3,397	+$271	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	99.0¢	$3,340	+$6	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	70.0¢	$2,583	-$1,305	Trade ↗
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	61.0¢	$1,897	+$46	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	93.0¢	$1,870	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50.0¢	$1,835	-$3,165	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	74.0¢	$1,673	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	98.4¢	$1,336	+$11	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$1,287	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	95.4¢	$1,199	+$22	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	96.0¢	$1,159	-$2	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	92.6¢	$976	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	No	85.1¢	$651	+$46	Trade ↗
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	99.3¢	$611	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.6¢	$410	-$8	Trade ↗
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	98.4¢	$395	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	92.3¢	$380	-$1,253	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	88.5¢	$378	+$24	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	16.0¢	$343	+$10	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$320	+$6	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	85.0¢	$229	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	97.4¢	$218	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$214	+$8	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	91.0¢	$186	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$181	-$7	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	74.0¢	$175	+$27	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$173	+$17	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	85.0¢	$167	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	96.5¢	$147	-$2	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	70.8¢	$117	-$90	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	50.0¢	$114	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	72.0¢	$75	-$71	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	99.6¢	$65	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?	No	89.6¢	$63	+$4	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	30.0¢	$59	-$8	Trade ↗
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	No	99.0¢	$51	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	98.0¢	$49	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	85.0¢	$23	-$17	Trade ↗
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?	No	63.0¢	$14	+$1	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	50.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	77.9¢	$0	-$593	Trade ↗
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	86.0¢	$0	-$47	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	4.0¢	$0	-$89	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	38.0¢	$0	-$18	Trade ↗
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?	No	13.0¢	$0	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	24.0¢	$0	-$53	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	11.5¢	$0	-$23	Trade ↗
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	3.9¢	$0	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?	No	3.7¢	$0	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	40.6¢	$0	-$1,293	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	52.0¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
8d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	83.0¢	$18,198
27d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	BUY	No	99.0¢	$39,274