WhaleWatcher

Car

74Qualified whaleProven trader
0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$2,221,983
closed + open positions
Return on capital
3%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
100%
500 of 500 resolved
Resolved markets
500
Portfolio value
$710,596
Capital deployed
$69,119,538
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$177,606
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
257

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 2.7/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -3.5Total 74.1 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50.0¢$303,600+$103,600Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0¢$96,400-$103,600Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No83.6¢$58,787+$956Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No93.2¢$23,375+$75Trade ↗
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No95.9¢$11,373+$212Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No74.9¢$11,155+$2,411Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No98.0¢$9,756+$54Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No97.0¢$8,316+$89Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No96.1¢$8,004-$3Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No92.6¢$7,854+$72Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?No92.4¢$7,842+$254Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No95.1¢$7,069+$111Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No93.9¢$6,021+$17Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No97.0¢$4,853+$3Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?No94.0¢$4,725+$25Trade ↗
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No97.8¢$4,644-$12Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo87.0¢$4,425+$75Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No87.0¢$4,325-$25Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes87.0¢$4,315-$25Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No96.8¢$3,878+$6Trade ↗
Trump goes to space in 2026?No97.0¢$3,820+$38Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes68.1¢$3,507-$137Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No96.7¢$3,436-$5Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes29.7¢$3,392-$1,081Trade ↗
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No91.0¢$2,917+$78Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes39.1¢$2,887-$534Trade ↗
Russia coup attempt in 2026?No94.0¢$2,835+$15Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes53.3¢$2,795-$4,136Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No94.8¢$2,742-$38Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No94.8¢$2,483+$19Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?No86.2¢$2,441+$8Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes23.9¢$2,234+$538Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes59.2¢$2,216-$281Trade ↗
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No91.7¢$2,143+$97Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes24.2¢$2,109-$270Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No77.7¢$2,080+$46Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes31.6¢$1,996+$138Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No91.0¢$1,955+$136Trade ↗
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No96.1¢$1,941+$19Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No97.0¢$1,939-$1Trade ↗
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No96.0¢$1,922+$2Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No96.0¢$1,907-$13Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No94.0¢$1,850-$30Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No78.8¢$1,762+$100Trade ↗
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?Yes99.9¢$1,727+$1Trade ↗
Iran coup attempt by December 31?No90.0¢$1,720-$80Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No93.0¢$1,649+$9Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No37.5¢$1,606+$721Trade ↗
NATO dissolves before 2027?No93.0¢$1,578+$85Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes70.4¢$1,493-$19Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes17.5¢$1,410-$2,100Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No95.0¢$1,396+$7Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes50.7¢$1,370-$64Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8.0¢$1,325+$525Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No43.9¢$1,320+$3Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No88.6¢$1,267+$27Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes36.2¢$1,172-$35Trade ↗
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No93.4¢$1,117+$64Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No92.4¢$1,082+$36Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes95.0¢$1,061+$6Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No83.7¢$979+$37Trade ↗
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No94.8¢$955+$7Trade ↗
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?No90.0¢$945+$45Trade ↗
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?No87.0¢$939+$65Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No90.2¢$900-$2Trade ↗
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No93.3¢$879-$54Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No16.5¢$854-$120Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No91.0¢$846+$31Trade ↗
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No82.4¢$845+$21Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No69.7¢$805+$31Trade ↗
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No95.1¢$780+$37Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?Yes96.6¢$779-$6Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No90.2¢$749+$49Trade ↗
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No96.2¢$739+$13Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes11.6¢$720-$157Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.7¢$705+$145Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No88.0¢$700-$4Trade ↗
Will Elon register any party before 2027?No82.3¢$681+$84Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes36.8¢$654+$12Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by October 31?No93.6¢$635+$6Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes65.7¢$620-$37Trade ↗
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No18.3¢$614-$699Trade ↗
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes76.1¢$609+$64Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes0.8¢$583-$39Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes75.9¢$580-$27Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes7.0¢$544-$42Trade ↗
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No93.2¢$537+$24Trade ↗
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No95.0¢$514+$13Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes67.2¢$497-$37Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?No30.0¢$488+$38Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes28.0¢$483-$9Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?No91.2¢$464+$7Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No93.4¢$450+$15Trade ↗
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No57.0¢$420+$164Trade ↗
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes34.5¢$418+$48Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes13.7¢$408-$6Trade ↗
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?No95.3¢$405+$9Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes18.1¢$405-$118Trade ↗
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes82.6¢$403+$22Trade ↗
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes82.5¢$397+$39Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)