Car

78Qualified whaleProven trader

0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$2,253,537

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$743,659

Capital deployed

$71,590,548

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$307,042

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

381

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 2.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 77.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	99.9¢	$100,782	+$68	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$88,333	+$32,778	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	84.1¢	$66,027	-$1,252	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	92.6¢	$58,050	-$1,349	Trade ↗
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	97.2¢	$24,997	+$90	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$22,778	-$32,778	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	75.9¢	$21,933	+$172	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	95.0¢	$20,667	-$109	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	80.1¢	$17,759	+$303	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	91.5¢	$13,875	+$142	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	91.8¢	$12,951	+$242	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	83.9¢	$12,252	+$223	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	77.6¢	$12,224	+$2,294	Trade ↗
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	No	97.3¢	$12,118	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	95.9¢	$11,790	+$224	Trade ↗
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	75.0¢	$10,539	-$216	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.6¢	$10,164	-$48	Trade ↗
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	98.0¢	$9,776	+$74	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	92.4¢	$7,842	+$254	Trade ↗
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	93.9¢	$7,457	+$96	Trade ↗
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	95.1¢	$7,142	+$184	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	93.9¢	$6,171	+$168	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	70.8¢	$6,068	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	75.7¢	$5,824	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$4,918	+$168	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$4,788	+$88	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	Yes	17.8¢	$4,120	-$82	Trade ↗
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	47.5¢	$4,100	-$228	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	96.8¢	$3,892	+$20	Trade ↗
Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	97.0¢	$3,804	+$22	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	31.4¢	$3,774	+$431	Trade ↗
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	No	96.8¢	$3,634	-$2	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	38.1¢	$3,338	+$198	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	71.4¢	$3,190	+$212	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	94.2¢	$3,130	-$9	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	95.0¢	$3,071	+$53	Trade ↗
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	No	94.0¢	$2,897	+$77	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	91.3¢	$2,875	-$27	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	95.9¢	$2,864	-$13	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	27.0¢	$2,850	+$150	Trade ↗
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	77.7¢	$2,487	+$116	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	No	28.8¢	$2,401	-$24	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	58.7¢	$2,394	+$679	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	57.2¢	$2,362	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	79.0¢	$2,340	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	97.0¢	$2,303	+$12	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	50.5¢	$2,299	+$87	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	73.0¢	$2,175	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	95.9¢	$2,145	+$14	Trade ↗
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	95.0¢	$2,089	-$22	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	66.3¢	$2,081	-$91	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	59.6¢	$2,066	+$82	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	14.1¢	$2,014	-$951	Trade ↗
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$1,956	+$137	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	Yes	26.4¢	$1,946	+$9	Trade ↗
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	96.0¢	$1,928	+$8	Trade ↗
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	96.0¢	$1,923	+$3	Trade ↗
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	96.1¢	$1,915	-$7	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	94.6¢	$1,900	+$7	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	No	69.0¢	$1,890	+$433	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	94.0¢	$1,870	-$10	Trade ↗
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$1,830	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	94.3¢	$1,829	+$50	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	79.0¢	$1,650	+$70	Trade ↗
NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	93.0¢	$1,584	+$92	Trade ↗
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	No	92.5¢	$1,557	+$51	Trade ↗
Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?	Yes	93.6¢	$1,469	+$79	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	37.8¢	$1,444	-$183	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	25.4¢	$1,438	-$188	Trade ↗
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	69.6¢	$1,402	+$47	Trade ↗
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	70.5¢	$1,398	-$258	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	7.9¢	$1,352	+$138	Trade ↗
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	89.5¢	$1,325	+$29	Trade ↗
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?	No	67.3¢	$1,310	+$273	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	49.6¢	$1,286	-$5,800	Trade ↗
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	33.8¢	$1,275	-$1,187	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.5¢	$1,265	+$185	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	20.6¢	$1,204	+$101	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	59.0¢	$1,189	+$10	Trade ↗
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	94.7¢	$1,123	+$28	Trade ↗
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	93.6¢	$1,083	+$43	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	87.2¢	$1,075	+$106	Trade ↗
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	76.0¢	$1,073	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	No	90.0¢	$964	+$64	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Yes	27.7¢	$962	-$124	Trade ↗
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	92.2¢	$944	+$13	Trade ↗
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	90.2¢	$940	+$38	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	53.8¢	$936	+$269	Trade ↗
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	No	90.0¢	$930	+$30	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	93.0¢	$915	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	65.0¢	$895	+$245	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	91.0¢	$851	+$36	Trade ↗
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	Yes	95.7¢	$842	-$22	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	90.7¢	$807	+$24	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	68.7¢	$777	+$193	Trade ↗
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Yes	14.0¢	$775	+$75	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	85.5¢	$748	+$64	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?	No	78.3¢	$744	-$82	Trade ↗
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	96.2¢	$740	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	91.4¢	$732	+$8	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$33,029
1d ago	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$31,072
5d ago	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	95.6¢	$10,212
16d ago	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$13,523
27d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	No	85.0¢	$13,055
27d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	85.1¢	$42,572
42d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY	No	95.0¢	$19,000
46d ago	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$14,965
56d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	BUY	No	96.7¢	$10,740
56d ago	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	BUY	No	94.9¢	$21,094
73d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$10,649
73d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	BUY	Yes	99.9¢	$11,100
73d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	BUY	Yes	99.8¢	$12,127
74d ago	Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	BUY	No	99.9¢	$10,675
74d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	BUY	Yes	99.6¢	$20,672
74d ago	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	BUY	Yes	96.0¢	$19,200
74d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	BUY	Yes	98.0¢	$10,534
75d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	BUY	Yes	96.0¢	$17,941
75d ago	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	BUY	Yes	95.0¢	$17,908