coali10

66Qualified whaleProven trader

0x7bc14171ccb0d3e6bac219ec6a76211826e28db4· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,773,890

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

70%

119 of 171 resolved

Resolved markets

171

Portfolio value

$151,333

Capital deployed

$31,194,203

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$551,001

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 4.7/25Consistency 12.2/25Sample size 18.9/20Concentration -0.3Total 65.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	37.7¢	$39,855	-$11,038	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	60.0¢	$39,713	+$5,439	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	57.0¢	$20,172	-$3,056	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	60.6¢	$16,603	+$5,962	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	67.0¢	$6,824	+$339	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	58.5¢	$6,692	+$622	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	47.5¢	$5,831	+$2,590	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	29.5¢	$4,029	+$1,064	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	29.6¢	$2,135	+$611	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	33.0¢	$1,861	+$416	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	25.0¢	$1,643	-$847	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	36.0¢	$1,167	-$548	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	2.3¢	$1,050	-$3,412	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	8.0¢	$898	-$2,445	Trade ↗
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	0.7¢	$629	-$48	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	3.1¢	$597	-$876	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	7.0¢	$571	+$457	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	62.9¢	$443	+$42	Trade ↗
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	5.0¢	$247	-$61	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	16.4¢	$117	-$2,430	Trade ↗
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$97	-$3	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$76	+$31	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$59	-$3,292	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20.0¢	$25	-$3,325	Trade ↗
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$182	Trade ↗
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	Yes	8.9¢	$0	-$1,714	Trade ↗
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$118	Trade ↗
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	27.8¢	$0	-$52,981	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?	No	18.1¢	$0	-$151	Trade ↗
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	20.0¢	$0	-$3,299	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	22.8¢	$0	-$17,208	Trade ↗
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	26.0¢	$0	-$16,163	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	50.0¢	$0	-$99,986	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	17.9¢	$0	-$106	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$937	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,495	Trade ↗
Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	23.0¢	$0	-$1,150	Trade ↗
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance	Senegal	34.0¢	$0	-$17,000	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	12.9¢	$0	-$2,767	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	50.2¢	$0	-$55,320	Trade ↗
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	54.9¢	$0	-$22,911	Trade ↗
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$1,415	Trade ↗
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	24.5¢	$0	-$3,035	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,488	Trade ↗
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$288	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,491	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	29.0¢	$0	-$1,712	Trade ↗
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	6.9¢	$0	-$1,962	Trade ↗
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	No	14.0¢	$0	-$1,580	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,496	Trade ↗
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?	Yes	15.6¢	$0	-$1,046	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$211	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	6.3¢	$0	-$5,287	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	16.5¢	$0	-$337	Trade ↗
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	4.8¢	$0	-$4,405	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	9.3¢	$0	-$561	Trade ↗
Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$762	Trade ↗
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$845	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$1,436	Trade ↗
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots	No	15.0¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots	No	64.0¢	$0	-$62,537	Trade ↗
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$368	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$153	Trade ↗
Will Kang Min-gu win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	10.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$21,847	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	12.8¢	$0	-$2,110	Trade ↗
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?	No	3.0¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1,459	Trade ↗
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner	Spirit Academy	65.0¢	$0	-$7,850	Trade ↗
O/U 4.5 Rounds	Under	41.9¢	$0	-$22,275	Trade ↗
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$66	Trade ↗
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	0.1¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$0	-$2,715	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	44.0¢	$0	-$1,513	Trade ↗
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$8,151	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$1,296	Trade ↗
Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$1,336	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$1,447	Trade ↗
Will Lee Jae-man win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	40.0¢	$0	-$5,523	Trade ↗
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner	summer bear	43.0¢	$0	-$17,075	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1,459	Trade ↗
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	No	42.0¢	$0	-$16,800	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$3,667	Trade ↗
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	57.5¢	$0	-$17,256	Trade ↗
Will Kim Han-koo win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	16.4¢	$0	-$4,549	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
8d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	57.0¢	$11,829
13d ago	49ers vs. Raiders	BUY	Raiders	60.0¢	$90,000
13d ago	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	BUY	Los Angeles Dodgers	34.0¢	$11,562
13d ago	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	BUY	Los Angeles Dodgers	31.0¢	$12,292
13d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	BUY	Team Falcons	50.0¢	$99,986
13d ago	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	BUY	Washington Nationals	67.0¢	$23,278
13d ago	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	BUY	Washington Nationals	68.0¢	$68,000
13d ago	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	BUY	MOUZ	51.0¢	$50,987
15d ago	Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner	BUY	summer bear	43.0¢	$14,977
15d ago	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	BUY	No	67.0¢	$14,812
17d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	32.0¢	$46,983
17d ago	Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?	SELL	Yes	57.0¢	$17,111
18d ago	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs	BUY	Team Spirit	53.0¢	$42,192
19d ago	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs	SELL	Team Yandex	57.2¢	$14,348
24d ago	O/U 4.5 Rounds	BUY	Under	42.0¢	$22,237
29d ago	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY	Yes	35.0¢	$10,407