coali10

66Qualified whaleProven trader

0x7bc14171ccb0d3e6bac219ec6a76211826e28db4· stats updated 19h ago

Realized PnL

+$1,778,743

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

69%

120 of 173 resolved

Resolved markets

173

Portfolio value

$48,316

Capital deployed

$31,417,539

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$576,691

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 4.7/25Consistency 12.1/25Sample size 19.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 65.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	21.3¢	$11,691	+$8,684	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	60.0¢	$8,960	+$496	Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	60.6¢	$8,033	+$1,913	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	67.0¢	$7,017	+$532	Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	58.5¢	$4,721	-$1,350	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	29.6¢	$3,366	+$1,842	Trade ↗
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	47.5¢	$1,200	+$563	Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	7.0¢	$878	+$764	Trade ↗
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	0.7¢	$629	-$48	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	25.0¢	$548	-$1,942	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	36.0¢	$548	-$1,167	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	62.9¢	$494	+$93	Trade ↗
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	5.0¢	$154	-$154	Trade ↗
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5.0¢	$58	-$42	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1.0¢	$20	-$25	Trade ↗
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots	No	64.0¢	$0	-$62,537	Trade ↗
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	10.1¢	$0	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	No	42.0¢	$0	-$16,800	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,496	Trade ↗
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	TEAM VISION	57.5¢	$0	-$17,256	Trade ↗
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	7.1¢	$0	-$7,100	Trade ↗
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$0	-$66	Trade ↗
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	9.3¢	$0	-$561	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	Yes	26.0¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	2.6¢	$0	-$1,336	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	0.9¢	$0	-$1,436	Trade ↗
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?	No	18.1¢	$0	-$151	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,491	Trade ↗
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$0	-$182	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	17.9¢	$0	-$106	Trade ↗
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?	Yes	1.8¢	$0	-$937	Trade ↗
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$118	Trade ↗
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	20.0¢	$0	-$3,299	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	1.1¢	$0	-$1,415	Trade ↗
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	6.9¢	$0	-$1,962	Trade ↗
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	8.0¢	$0	-$3,343	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	50.0¢	$0	-$99,986	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	1.4¢	$0	-$1,447	Trade ↗
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	26.0¢	$0	-$16,163	Trade ↗
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	22.8¢	$0	-$17,208	Trade ↗
Will Kim Han-koo win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$288	Trade ↗
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	17.2¢	$0	-$211	Trade ↗
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0.3¢	$0	-$211	Trade ↗
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	4.8¢	$0	-$4,405	Trade ↗
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	Yes	8.9¢	$0	-$1,714	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	16.5¢	$0	-$337	Trade ↗
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	27.8¢	$0	-$52,981	Trade ↗
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	23.0¢	$0	-$1,150	Trade ↗
Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	50.2¢	$0	-$55,320	Trade ↗
Will Lee Jae-man win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$1,296	Trade ↗
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	0.1¢	$0	-$14	Trade ↗
O/U 4.5 Rounds	Under	41.9¢	$0	-$22,275	Trade ↗
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	54.9¢	$0	-$22,911	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,495	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?	Yes	2.8¢	$0	-$20	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	29.0¢	$0	-$1,712	Trade ↗
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	3.5¢	$0	-$368	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$153	Trade ↗
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	No	14.0¢	$0	-$1,580	Trade ↗
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots	No	15.0¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Kang Min-gu win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?	No	3.0¢	$0	-$84	Trade ↗
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	0.0¢	$0	$0	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1,459	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	5.3¢	$0	-$21,847	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	6.3¢	$0	-$5,287	Trade ↗
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?	Yes	15.6¢	$0	-$1,046	Trade ↗
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	No	12.8¢	$0	-$2,110	Trade ↗
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$0	-$2,715	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	44.0¢	$0	-$1,513	Trade ↗
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4.3¢	$0	-$8,151	Trade ↗
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner	Spirit Academy	65.0¢	$0	-$7,850	Trade ↗
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	12.9¢	$0	-$2,767	Trade ↗
Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2.0¢	$0	-$205	Trade ↗
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance	Senegal	34.0¢	$0	-$17,000	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	3.3¢	$0	-$762	Trade ↗
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1.5¢	$0	-$766	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	40.0¢	$0	-$5,523	Trade ↗
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner	summer bear	43.0¢	$0	-$17,075	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	0.8¢	$0	-$1,459	Trade ↗
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	24.5¢	$0	-$3,035	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$3,667	Trade ↗
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	0.7¢	$0	-$1,488	Trade ↗
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	22.0¢	$0	-$845	Trade ↗
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	No	40.0¢	$0	-$666	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	16.4¢	$0	-$2,547	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	Yes	1.9¢	$0	-$195	Trade ↗
Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	3.6¢	$0	-$1,027	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	16.4¢	$0	-$4,549	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
19h ago	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	SELL	Yes	64.0¢	$25,690
54d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	57.0¢	$11,829
58d ago	49ers vs. Raiders	BUY	Raiders	60.0¢	$90,000
58d ago	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	BUY	Los Angeles Dodgers	34.0¢	$11,562
58d ago	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	BUY	Los Angeles Dodgers	31.0¢	$12,292
58d ago	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	BUY	Team Falcons	50.0¢	$99,986
58d ago	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	BUY	Washington Nationals	67.0¢	$23,278
58d ago	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	BUY	Washington Nationals	68.0¢	$68,000
59d ago	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	BUY	MOUZ	51.0¢	$50,987
60d ago	Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner	BUY	summer bear	43.0¢	$14,977
60d ago	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	BUY	No	67.0¢	$14,812
62d ago	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BUY	No	32.0¢	$46,983
63d ago	Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?	SELL	Yes	57.0¢	$17,111
63d ago	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs	BUY	Team Spirit	53.0¢	$42,192
65d ago	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs	SELL	Team Yandex	57.2¢	$14,348
70d ago	O/U 4.5 Rounds	BUY	Under	42.0¢	$22,237
74d ago	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY	Yes	35.0¢	$10,407