WhaleWatcher

plumbis

26Qualified whaleProven trader
0x77fbd6bdba89da0ce4ae6e5bee380d6a51de266c· stats updated 1d ago
Realized PnL
+$55,643
closed + open positions
Return on capital
2%
realized PnL ÷ capital deployed
Win rate
63%
89 of 141 resolved
Resolved markets
141
Portfolio value
$377,124
Capital deployed
$2,707,636
lifetime cost of all positions
Tracked whale volume
$454,506
volume seen by WhaleWatcher
Open positions
42

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 6.5/30Return 1.7/25Consistency 8.2/25Sample size 17.7/20Concentration -8.1Total 26.0 / 100

Current positions

MarketOutcomeAvg priceValueUnrealized PnLTrade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo91.7¢$246,562+$2,103Trade ↗
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No84.1¢$28,674-$380Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes92.0¢$23,713+$128Trade ↗
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No74.6¢$17,107+$2,179Trade ↗
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No88.6¢$12,431+$186Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes88.9¢$12,398+$971Trade ↗
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes75.8¢$9,945+$92Trade ↗
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes56.4¢$6,884-$447Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes87.0¢$5,336+$30Trade ↗
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No87.0¢$4,375+$25Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes74.4¢$1,881+$185Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes73.0¢$1,490+$30Trade ↗
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes6.0¢$776+$538Trade ↗
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?Yes85.9¢$761+$72Trade ↗
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No60.2¢$670+$105Trade ↗
Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes43.9¢$463+$83Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.5¢$400+$300Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No19.0¢$331+$85Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes19.6¢$328+$73Trade ↗
Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?No88.5¢$257-$28Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.0¢$245+$45Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?Yes20.8¢$235-$52Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.3¢$232+$24Trade ↗
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Yes47.1¢$230-$179Trade ↗
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3¢$175+$25Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Yes90.6¢$144+$2Trade ↗
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.4¢$124-$28Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes72.0¢$116-$43Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?No73.0¢$111-$42Trade ↗
Will Dipika Damerla win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?No99.0¢$109+$1Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.7¢$108-$28Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?No84.1¢$97+$13Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1.9¢$73-$23Trade ↗
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0.6¢$72+$14Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.5¢$58+$15Trade ↗
Will Everton be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes10.0¢$50-$50Trade ↗
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-01 House Election?Yes87.3¢$44+$3Trade ↗
Plague case in US by December 31?No86.0¢$39+$3Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.3¢$36+$0Trade ↗
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No49.0¢$25+$2Trade ↗
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes0.2¢$18+$8Trade ↗
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes5.0¢$1+$0Trade ↗
Will Sébastien Schneeberger win the next Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly election?Yes2.3¢$0-$3Trade ↗
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes0.4¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes0.4¢$0-$0Trade ↗
Will the PLQ win 28-31 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes2.0¢$0-$0Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

TimeMarketSideOutcomePriceSize
1d agoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUYYes92.0¢$23,000
32d ago2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUYNo93.0¢$13,950
33d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLNo99.0¢$10,349
34d agoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELLNo93.0¢$10,536
38d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELLNo99.3¢$13,467
41d agoWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELLYes92.0¢$14,751
45d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo98.5¢$24,625
45d agoWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLNo99.5¢$24,876
45d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo98.4¢$10,032
45d agoWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLNo99.7¢$22,129
46d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo98.0¢$19,598
46d agoWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLNo99.2¢$20,009
46d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo98.9¢$10,483
46d agoWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELLNo99.1¢$11,497
56d agoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELLYes52.0¢$13,883
58d agoWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo96.6¢$11,875
58d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELLNo99.3¢$66,491
58d agoWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo96.4¢$14,520
59d agoWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUYYes87.8¢$26,578
61d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo97.1¢$11,807
62d agoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUYNo96.6¢$17,019
71d agoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUYNo98.9¢$63,033