TronOG

50Qualified whaleProven trader

0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$57,957

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

83%

330 of 398 resolved

Resolved markets

398

Portfolio value

$154,132

Capital deployed

$2,104,528

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$79,713

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 6.8/30Return 2.3/25Consistency 20.6/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 49.7 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	89.7¢	$35,500	+$2,723	Trade ↗
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	93.1¢	$27,661	+$920	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	86.4¢	$25,008	+$2,550	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	91.0¢	$11,102	+$417	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	94.1¢	$9,541	+$317	Trade ↗
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	86.6¢	$8,536	+$798	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	88.0¢	$4,925	+$28	Trade ↗
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$3,820	+$180	Trade ↗
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	76.5¢	$3,060	$0	Trade ↗
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	94.6¢	$2,870	+$31	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	81.5¢	$2,864	+$196	Trade ↗
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	94.2¢	$2,730	+$80	Trade ↗
Iran invades Kuwait by December 31?	No	91.0¢	$2,490	+$57	Trade ↗
Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	98.6¢	$2,153	-$37	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	97.9¢	$1,899	-$4	Trade ↗
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	87.0¢	$1,565	+$61	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	87.9¢	$1,012	+$28	Trade ↗
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	No	95.5¢	$902	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	80.9¢	$897	-$178	Trade ↗
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	85.0¢	$732	+$52	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$695	+$83	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	97.3¢	$597	+$13	Trade ↗
Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$558	$0	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	83.2¢	$452	+$36	Trade ↗
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	95.0¢	$449	+$9	Trade ↗
Turkish troops enter Yemen by October 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$360	+$29	Trade ↗
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	No	83.0¢	$275	+$26	Trade ↗
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	59.0¢	$231	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	No	80.9¢	$181	-$3	Trade ↗
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31?	No	91.0¢	$181	+$10	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	88.1¢	$177	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.0¢	$155	-$27	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	60.4¢	$114	-$361	Trade ↗
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	93.1¢	$96	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	Yes	23.3¢	$72	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?	Yes	33.0¢	$64	-$2	Trade ↗
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	No	55.1¢	$52	-$186	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Egypt by October 31, 2026?	No	92.2¢	$46	-$9	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	65.0¢	$31	-$624	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16.3¢	$23	-$116	Trade ↗
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	72.0¢	$18	-$18	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	78.9¢	$15	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	1.9¢	$11	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$11	-$11	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$2	-$20	Trade ↗
Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?	No	74.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?	No	15.0¢	$0	-$49	Trade ↗
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	66.7¢	$0	-$15	Trade ↗
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?	Yes	50.4¢	$0	-$34	Trade ↗
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	24.9¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4.2¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	25.2¢	$0	-$229	Trade ↗
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Take First Corner	United States	58.0¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	37.5¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?	No	26.7¢	$0	-$512	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	64.0¢	$0	-$486	Trade ↗
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	75.0¢	$0	-$102	Trade ↗
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	21.7¢	$0	-$65	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	52.0¢	$0	-$104	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	23.8¢	$0	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$51	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	12.1¢	$0	-$270	Trade ↗
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 22, 2026?	No	6.1¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	58.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	92.9¢	$0	-$237	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	63.0¢	$0	-$111	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	63.3¢	$0	-$112	Trade ↗
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	16.0¢	$0	-$32	Trade ↗
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	8.5¢	$0	-$17	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
44d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	BUY	No	97.6¢	$22,878
61d ago	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	BUY	No	95.8¢	$13,783
68d ago	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	BUY	No	87.0¢	$12,276
76d ago	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	BUY	No	98.5¢	$30,777