TronOG

46Qualified whaleProven trader

0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$45,493

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

81%

267 of 331 resolved

Resolved markets

331

Portfolio value

$83,635

Capital deployed

$1,568,788

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$56,836

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 4.9/30Return 2.4/25Consistency 19.2/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.7Total 45.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	92.9¢	$23,705	+$661	Trade ↗
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	84.8¢	$19,841	+$2,033	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	99.3¢	$10,621	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	88.8¢	$10,556	+$529	Trade ↗
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	88.3¢	$6,516	+$158	Trade ↗
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	No	91.0¢	$3,860	+$220	Trade ↗
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	81.2¢	$2,649	+$175	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$2,505	+$75	Trade ↗
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	75.0¢	$907	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$653	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	93.3¢	$416	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	64.0¢	$384	-$103	Trade ↗
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	No	83.0¢	$257	+$8	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	28.2¢	$210	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10.0¢	$165	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$120	+$3	Trade ↗
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	60.4¢	$114	-$361	Trade ↗
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	65.0¢	$73	-$582	Trade ↗
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16.3¢	$38	-$101	Trade ↗
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	0.5¢	$27	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	1.9¢	$17	-$29	Trade ↗
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?	Yes	30.0¢	$2	-$20	Trade ↗
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?	Yes	50.4¢	$0	-$34	Trade ↗
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	24.9¢	$0	-$27	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	4.2¢	$0	-$25	Trade ↗
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Take First Corner	United States	58.0¢	$0	-$24	Trade ↗
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	37.5¢	$0	-$75	Trade ↗
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?	No	26.7¢	$0	-$512	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	Yes	3.7¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	23.8¢	$0	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	Yes	30.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	12.1¢	$0	-$270	Trade ↗
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 22, 2026?	No	6.1¢	$0	-$11	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	58.0¢	$0	-$12	Trade ↗
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	Yes	81.8¢	$0	-$209	Trade ↗
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	63.0¢	$0	-$111	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	63.3¢	$0	-$112	Trade ↗
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	16.0¢	$0	-$32	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
16d ago	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	BUY	No	95.8¢	$13,783
22d ago	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	BUY	No	87.0¢	$12,276
30d ago	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	BUY	No	98.5¢	$30,777