Stonktrader

79Qualified whaleProven trader

0x73e35ce0b7e36ef3ce29ebd12b30b28007383239· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,374,402

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

94%

446 of 472 resolved

Resolved markets

472

Portfolio value

$107,274

Capital deployed

$26,387,944

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$103,350

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 4.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 79.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	29.0¢	$25,500	-$3,500	Trade ↗
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?	Yes	82.1¢	$8,214	+$1,118	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Yes	58.7¢	$5,738	+$27	Trade ↗
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	No	50.2¢	$4,913	+$2,447	Trade ↗
Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?	No	86.0¢	$4,479	+$448	Trade ↗
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	78.3¢	$4,326	+$478	Trade ↗
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	Yes	80.4¢	$2,617	+$252	Trade ↗
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	69.0¢	$2,557	+$724	Trade ↗
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	79.7¢	$2,401	+$417	Trade ↗
Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	No	80.3¢	$2,239	+$85	Trade ↗
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	66.5¢	$2,231	-$33	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	65.9¢	$2,178	+$725	Trade ↗
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	No	52.0¢	$1,862	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	67.4¢	$1,657	-$470	Trade ↗
Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	No	90.4¢	$1,571	+$145	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	25.1¢	$1,570	+$816	Trade ↗
Halle Berry as Storm?	No	82.9¢	$1,539	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	91.2¢	$1,411	+$63	Trade ↗
Will Bo Nix have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	46.9¢	$1,397	+$453	Trade ↗
Will Bo Nix have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	79.7¢	$1,370	+$254	Trade ↗
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	74.0¢	$1,303	+$244	Trade ↗
Will Brice Turang lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	No	90.2¢	$1,248	+$103	Trade ↗
Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?	No	60.7¢	$1,223	+$438	Trade ↗
Will Muamer Tankovic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	85.7¢	$1,155	+$152	Trade ↗
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31?	No	86.6¢	$1,149	+$132	Trade ↗
Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	74.7¢	$1,135	+$233	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	25.9¢	$1,086	+$293	Trade ↗
Will Jake Bauers lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?	No	80.1¢	$930	+$123	Trade ↗
Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	No	61.6¢	$863	+$98	Trade ↗
Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	78.3¢	$842	+$80	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	Yes	12.8¢	$834	+$388	Trade ↗
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	73.6¢	$826	+$207	Trade ↗
Will Marseille finish top 8 in UEL league phase?	No	70.8¢	$789	+$223	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?	Yes	13.3¢	$756	+$265	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?	No	90.0¢	$744	+$60	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	17.0¢	$679	+$275	Trade ↗
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	86.6¢	$658	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?	No	82.1¢	$642	+$33	Trade ↗
Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%?	No	88.9¢	$624	+$69	Trade ↗
Will Göztepe be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?	No	77.1¢	$612	+$118	Trade ↗
Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	No	91.0¢	$603	+$34	Trade ↗
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	65.4¢	$596	-$367	Trade ↗
Will Lille finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	No	53.5¢	$595	+$221	Trade ↗
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?	No	81.3¢	$501	+$91	Trade ↗
Will Cúcuta Deportivo be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	No	65.8¢	$453	+$147	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026?	No	89.0¢	$409	+$14	Trade ↗
Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5% to 5%?	No	72.8¢	$400	+$102	Trade ↗
Will there be 6+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	32.6¢	$376	+$147	Trade ↗
Will Bayern Munich score the most goals in the UCL league phase?	No	73.0¢	$360	+$41	Trade ↗
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No	37.7¢	$329	+$21	Trade ↗
Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.5B?	No	90.0¢	$311	+$16	Trade ↗
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	70.3¢	$260	-$30	Trade ↗
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	Yes	21.2¢	$240	+$105	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	68.7¢	$223	-$1,499	Trade ↗
Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?	Yes	10.3¢	$220	+$189	Trade ↗
Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?	No	69.2¢	$217	-$1	Trade ↗
Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15% to 18%?	Yes	33.7¢	$217	-$14	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	65.4¢	$207	+$23	Trade ↗
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	Yes	68.7¢	$192	+$46	Trade ↗
Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be below 13%?	No	82.2¢	$185	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Rasmus Andersson win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?	No	88.1¢	$175	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?	No	61.1¢	$173	+$19	Trade ↗
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?	No	71.8¢	$170	+$2	Trade ↗
Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 21%+?	No	81.3¢	$163	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Shrek 5 rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	89.3¢	$150	+$12	Trade ↗
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	75.7¢	$148	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Ezequiel Unsain (Necaxa) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Liga MX season?	No	89.5¢	$144	+$8	Trade ↗
Will João Costa record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?	No	88.6¢	$127	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?	No	89.5¢	$124	+$7	Trade ↗
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?	No	70.0¢	$114	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	99.3¢	$100	+$1	Trade ↗
Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.25B?	No	84.2¢	$99	+$4	Trade ↗
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	78.6¢	$92	+$11	Trade ↗
Will there be 4+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	Yes	93.0¢	$89	-$6	Trade ↗
Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 12% to 15%?	Yes	16.7¢	$86	+$37	Trade ↗
Will Mario Craver be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?	No	78.0¢	$78	+$15	Trade ↗
Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 250?	No	83.4¢	$75	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?	No	75.2¢	$63	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Ryan Coleman-Williams be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?	No	77.0¢	$59	+$12	Trade ↗
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	91.4¢	$52	+$1	Trade ↗
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?	No	87.3¢	$36	+$0	Trade ↗
Will there be 8+ NFL Scorigamis in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	76.0¢	$32	+$2	Trade ↗
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election?	Yes	70.0¢	$30	-$25	Trade ↗
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	Yes	52.2¢	$24	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Jeremiah Smith be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?	Yes	62.4¢	$24	-$11	Trade ↗
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	60.0¢	$20	-$355	Trade ↗
Will Ryan Wingo be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader?	No	82.0¢	$19	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	66.0¢	$16	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $21B?	Yes	50.0¢	$16	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	9.0¢	$6	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	4.5¢	$4	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	19.0¢	$2	+$1	Trade ↗
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	10.0¢	$2	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	No	94.5¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5% to 5%?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Lille finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Yes	33.0¢	$0	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%?	Yes	3.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs SportsBetExpert - Map 2 Winner	SportsBetExpert	1.1¢	$0	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 Winner	ex-KRÜ Esports	50.0¢	$0	-$1	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
17d ago	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	BUY	Yes	29.0¢	$29,000
18d ago	Bitcoin above 84,400 on October 6, 10PM ET?	BUY	No	98.7¢	$15,047
19d ago	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	BUY	Up	99.9¢	$24,975
47d ago	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	BUY	Yes	94.0¢	$16,496
74d ago	Portishead Town FC vs. Ardley United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	BUY	Over	97.8¢	$17,832