eCash

76Qualified whaleProven trader

0x62cf46cd4c3af254dccfc37a7f93de265b4b5826· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$989,851

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

77%

387 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$349,584

Capital deployed

$8,787,090

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$39,743

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 29.9/30Return 9.4/25Consistency 17.1/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.9Total 75.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$102,476	+$34,476	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$33,524	-$34,476	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	83.5¢	$33,113	+$789	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87.8¢	$24,497	+$1,496	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	70.4¢	$21,697	+$5,368	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	76.2¢	$21,408	+$3,390	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	79.1¢	$19,665	+$1,475	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	73.0¢	$12,665	+$578	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	85.0¢	$11,107	+$312	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	87.2¢	$10,132	+$786	Trade ↗
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	95.0¢	$9,675	+$175	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	93.0¢	$8,766	+$47	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	32.2¢	$8,159	+$4,295	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	77.8¢	$7,736	+$64	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	76.6¢	$6,807	+$1,232	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	41.4¢	$2,971	+$70	Trade ↗
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	42.0¢	$2,375	+$275	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	74.0¢	$2,295	+$75	Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	51.0¢	$2,076	+$808	Trade ↗
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	54.8¢	$1,639	+$577	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	63.7¢	$1,441	+$39	Trade ↗
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	No	77.0¢	$910	-$630	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	29.8¢	$909	-$76	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	No	62.3¢	$630	-$1,240	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	57.4¢	$480	+$1	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$460	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	58.0¢	$392	-$804	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	69.0¢	$288	-$58	Trade ↗
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	18.3¢	$226	-$133	Trade ↗
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	85.8¢	$223	+$19	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	Yes	34.0¢	$153	-$18	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$128	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4.2¢	$96	-$0	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	55.0¢	$83	+$1	Trade ↗
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	60.5¢	$83	+$10	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	19.4¢	$75	-$22	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	64.0¢	$64	-$1	Trade ↗
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	56.0¢	$51	+$1	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	23.0¢	$41	-$29	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	23.0¢	$38	-$32	Trade ↗
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	50.1¢	$31	-$20	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	82.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?	Yes	85.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	12.8¢	$0	-$64	Trade ↗
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	34.9¢	$0	-$13,742	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	70.2¢	$0	-$1,498	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	23.8¢	$0	-$2,366	Trade ↗
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	No	13.5¢	$0	-$136	Trade ↗
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$2,500	Trade ↗
Will Jungleman win at Hustler Casino on Friday?	Yes	53.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Warsh say "Trump" during swearing-in?	Yes	85.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	89.2¢	$0	-$952	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	No	24.6¢	$0	-$2,876	Trade ↗
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	36.4¢	$0	-$4,994	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
1d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$28,659
23d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	SELL	Yes	95.0¢	$11,084