eCash

83Qualified whaleProven trader

0x62cf46cd4c3af254dccfc37a7f93de265b4b5826· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,083,534

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

88%

438 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$398,173

Capital deployed

$9,662,730

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$57,543

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 9.3/25Consistency 23.5/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 82.8 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	80.0¢	$54,096	+$1,017	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$41,314	+$15,314	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	79.5¢	$37,994	+$6,025	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	79.2¢	$26,949	+$2,277	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87.8¢	$25,624	+$2,623	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	76.4¢	$23,010	+$3,150	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	93.0¢	$21,390	-$9	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	89.9¢	$18,257	+$658	Trade ↗
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	78.3¢	$17,878	+$2,504	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	67.4¢	$14,500	+$1,021	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$10,686	-$15,314	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	87.2¢	$10,395	+$1,049	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	94.4¢	$7,523	+$305	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	76.6¢	$7,080	+$1,505	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	53.1¢	$5,355	+$578	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	51.6¢	$5,033	+$1,397	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	61.9¢	$4,988	-$1,508	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	88.7¢	$4,922	+$148	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	52.4¢	$4,301	-$1,408	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	84.3¢	$4,118	+$295	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	92.7¢	$4,019	+$78	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	83.9¢	$3,987	+$75	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	88.4¢	$3,670	+$356	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	77.8¢	$3,193	+$678	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	92.9¢	$2,981	+$192	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	87.0¢	$2,835	+$225	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	44.0¢	$2,775	-$238	Trade ↗
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	82.7¢	$2,284	-$56	Trade ↗
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	51.0¢	$2,275	+$1,007	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	51.7¢	$1,888	-$304	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	36.7¢	$1,824	+$871	Trade ↗
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	63.3¢	$1,764	+$472	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	43.8¢	$1,763	+$9	Trade ↗
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	No	95.9¢	$1,430	-$8	Trade ↗
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	39.4¢	$1,417	-$1,309	Trade ↗
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	90.0¢	$1,181	+$56	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	56.8¢	$1,154	-$38	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	85.0¢	$945	+$95	Trade ↗
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	40.4¢	$920	+$251	Trade ↗
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	92.0¢	$915	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	53.6¢	$833	-$106	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	68.1¢	$825	+$144	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	16.0¢	$820	-$816	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	18.4¢	$759	-$990	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	No	74.0¢	$745	+$5	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	95.4¢	$720	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	46.5¢	$609	+$36	Trade ↗
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	52.0¢	$560	+$40	Trade ↗
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	No	77.0¢	$540	-$1,000	Trade ↗
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	28.9¢	$537	-$72	Trade ↗
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	91.1¢	$448	+$12	Trade ↗
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	58.2¢	$410	-$12	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	27.2¢	$395	-$298	Trade ↗
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	32.0¢	$299	+$71	Trade ↗
Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	85.8¢	$229	+$25	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	42.0¢	$203	+$110	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	35.0¢	$166	+$11	Trade ↗
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	43.1¢	$113	-$399	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	53.0¢	$106	-$5	Trade ↗
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	23.6¢	$105	-$778	Trade ↗
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	No	30.0¢	$101	+$56	Trade ↗
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?	Yes	17.2¢	$10	-$19	Trade ↗
Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?	Yes	85.0¢	$8	+$1	Trade ↗
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	82.0¢	$1	+$0	Trade ↗
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	12.8¢	$0	-$64	Trade ↗
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	34.9¢	$0	-$13,742	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	70.2¢	$0	-$1,498	Trade ↗
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	69.0¢	$0	-$345	Trade ↗
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4.2¢	$0	-$96	Trade ↗
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	23.6¢	$0	-$2,348	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	Yes	1.0¢	$0	-$19	Trade ↗
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?	Yes	10.0¢	$0	-$200	Trade ↗
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	No	13.5¢	$0	-$136	Trade ↗
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?	Yes	50.0¢	$0	-$2,500	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	Yes	30.9¢	$0	-$619	Trade ↗
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	18.3¢	$0	-$359	Trade ↗
Will Jungleman win at Hustler Casino on Friday?	Yes	53.0¢	$0	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Warsh say "Trump" during swearing-in?	Yes	85.0¢	$0	-$7	Trade ↗
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	Yes	12.5¢	$0	-$541	Trade ↗
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	89.2¢	$0	-$952	Trade ↗
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	33.5¢	$0	-$670	Trade ↗
Paris curfew by October 24?	No	94.0¢	$0	-$1,410	Trade ↗
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?	No	24.6¢	$0	-$2,876	Trade ↗
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	36.4¢	$0	-$4,994	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
20d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	BUY	No	89.0¢	$17,800
47d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	BUY	No	85.0¢	$28,659
69d ago	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	SELL	Yes	95.0¢	$11,084