0xdc3E831cad

85Qualified whaleProven trader

0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,491,117

closed + open positions

Return on capital

11%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$110,228

Capital deployed

$12,997,468

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$44,201

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

291

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 9.6/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 84.6 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	80.4¢	$7,652	+$1,182	Trade ↗
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	60.0¢	$6,457	+$1,490	Trade ↗
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	23.8¢	$5,026	+$3,500	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	47.0¢	$4,725	+$2,375	Trade ↗
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	No	68.4¢	$4,451	+$190	Trade ↗
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	27.0¢	$4,150	-$244	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	90.1¢	$3,834	+$24	Trade ↗
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	49.6¢	$3,391	+$1,273	Trade ↗
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	89.8¢	$3,320	-$66	Trade ↗
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	78.0¢	$3,060	-$60	Trade ↗
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?	No	79.0¢	$2,814	-$54	Trade ↗
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?	No	80.8¢	$2,256	+$313	Trade ↗
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?	No	57.6¢	$1,918	+$306	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	82.0¢	$1,580	+$56	Trade ↗
Will primmie play for Global Esports in 2027?	No	94.4¢	$1,561	+$49	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	18.0¢	$1,464	+$829	Trade ↗
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	88.1¢	$1,457	+$136	Trade ↗
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?	No	58.1¢	$1,367	+$354	Trade ↗
Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?	No	78.0¢	$1,347	+$73	Trade ↗
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?	No	85.4¢	$1,326	+$137	Trade ↗
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	No	52.8¢	$1,314	+$583	Trade ↗
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	No	77.8¢	$1,272	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	10.9¢	$1,138	+$948	Trade ↗
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	16.5¢	$1,122	+$794	Trade ↗
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	88.0¢	$1,098	+$84	Trade ↗
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?	Yes	19.6¢	$926	-$143	Trade ↗
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?	Yes	20.3¢	$922	+$615	Trade ↗
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$900	+$67	Trade ↗
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	60.9¢	$865	+$73	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	41.6¢	$863	-$1,611	Trade ↗
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	89.2¢	$860	+$39	Trade ↗
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?	No	80.3¢	$769	+$121	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	11.0¢	$752	+$329	Trade ↗
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	64.5¢	$745	+$137	Trade ↗
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	No	59.7¢	$713	+$243	Trade ↗
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	No	69.0¢	$704	+$152	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	Yes	30.0¢	$687	-$733	Trade ↗
Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?	Yes	35.9¢	$681	+$385	Trade ↗
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	92.0¢	$668	-$19	Trade ↗
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	61.3¢	$600	+$138	Trade ↗
Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	87.0¢	$593	+$10	Trade ↗
Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	No	81.4¢	$584	+$65	Trade ↗
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	11.3¢	$565	+$96	Trade ↗
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	62.0¢	$565	-$250	Trade ↗
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	13.7¢	$526	-$50	Trade ↗
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	27.5¢	$519	+$366	Trade ↗
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	No	53.4¢	$511	+$118	Trade ↗
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	68.0¢	$503	+$107	Trade ↗
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	45.3¢	$502	-$360	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	73.0¢	$460	-$2,460	Trade ↗
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	88.3¢	$454	+$27	Trade ↗
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?	Yes	78.0¢	$436	+$74	Trade ↗
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	2.5¢	$426	-$304	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	64.2¢	$425	-$2,785	Trade ↗
Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	90.0¢	$424	+$31	Trade ↗
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?	Yes	19.5¢	$408	+$211	Trade ↗
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	52.7¢	$407	+$67	Trade ↗
Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?	No	82.8¢	$405	+$15	Trade ↗
Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	85.0¢	$402	+$5	Trade ↗
Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	84.0¢	$397	+$60	Trade ↗
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	65.5¢	$396	-$530	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?	Yes	18.0¢	$396	+$180	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	52.0¢	$385	-$3,255	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?	No	94.3¢	$379	+$19	Trade ↗
Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	79.6¢	$379	+$69	Trade ↗
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	61.0¢	$372	-$188	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	56.2¢	$360	+$11	Trade ↗
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	No	83.9¢	$334	+$40	Trade ↗
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	No	80.0¢	$323	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	19.0¢	$316	-$37	Trade ↗
Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?	Yes	21.2¢	$314	+$216	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027?	No	69.3¢	$311	+$63	Trade ↗
Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?	No	72.0¢	$311	+$67	Trade ↗
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	42.7¢	$310	+$160	Trade ↗
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?	Yes	20.5¢	$310	-$65	Trade ↗
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	0.9¢	$305	+$279	Trade ↗
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	43.5¢	$303	+$155	Trade ↗
Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?	No	75.0¢	$303	+$71	Trade ↗
Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?	Yes	49.2¢	$298	+$127	Trade ↗
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	79.2¢	$292	+$48	Trade ↗
Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	Yes	78.0¢	$288	-$18	Trade ↗
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	89.1¢	$288	+$25	Trade ↗
Will four or more people dissent the October Fed decision?	No	84.0¢	$262	+$25	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?	No	45.0¢	$248	+$80	Trade ↗
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	57.0¢	$245	+$102	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	38.6¢	$242	-$2,458	Trade ↗
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	61.2¢	$237	-$15	Trade ↗
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	25.6¢	$232	+$165	Trade ↗
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?	No	90.3¢	$223	+$11	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?	No	61.7¢	$223	+$48	Trade ↗
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	77.0¢	$218	-$938	Trade ↗
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	89.4¢	$207	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	0.9¢	$202	+$167	Trade ↗
Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?	No	14.8¢	$202	+$85	Trade ↗
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	64.3¢	$189	+$20	Trade ↗
Will Ricky Pearsall have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	97.6¢	$189	+$2	Trade ↗
SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?	No	54.0¢	$183	+$77	Trade ↗
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	49.6¢	$174	+$27	Trade ↗
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?	Yes	20.0¢	$166	-$29	Trade ↗
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?	Yes	16.4¢	$164	+$54	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
32d ago	Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	No	99.8¢	$44,201