hopedieslast

53Qualified whaleProven trader

0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a· stats updated 10d ago

Realized PnL

+$392,217

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

61%

126 of 207 resolved

Resolved markets

207

Portfolio value

$172,861

Capital deployed

$7,363,801

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$12,156

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.4/30Return 4.4/25Consistency 6.8/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -0.3Total 53.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	46.0¢	$45,435	+$8,468	Trade ↗
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$37,400	+$600	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	93.0¢	$12,221	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	60.6¢	$11,932	-$16,439	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	65.0¢	$10,407	+$2,933	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	95.4¢	$8,306	+$270	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	34.6¢	$6,457	-$27,948	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	99.4¢	$5,003	+$29	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	94.0¢	$4,938	+$238	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	89.0¢	$4,504	+$217	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$4,275	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	47.2¢	$4,150	+$1,859	Trade ↗
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	No	64.2¢	$3,956	+$1,388	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	45.0¢	$2,981	+$1,636	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	21.9¢	$2,398	+$415	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	14.8¢	$1,861	-$1,811	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	30.9¢	$1,362	+$878	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26.8¢	$1,265	-$3,956	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	48.4¢	$1,178	+$478	Trade ↗
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	96.3¢	$988	+$25	Trade ↗
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	41.0¢	$539	+$79	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	41.5¢	$370	-$45	Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	60.0¢	$325	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	78.0¢	$191	+$33	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	43.0¢	$166	+$66	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	33.1¢	$146	-$424	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8.9¢	$108	-$240	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	43.1¢	$0	-$32,549	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$2,696	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	24.9¢	$0	-$17,629	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	No	34.0¢	$0	-$1,902	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	56.5¢	$0	-$15,902	Trade ↗
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$38	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?	No	7.1¢	$0	-$1,562	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	29.1¢	$0	-$6,478	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	38.5¢	$0	-$13,210	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	12.0¢	$0	-$12,296	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$780	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?	No	13.8¢	$0	-$7,551	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
10d ago	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$12,156