hopedieslast

53Qualified whaleProven trader

0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$373,248

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

62%

143 of 231 resolved

Resolved markets

231

Portfolio value

$363,704

Capital deployed

$7,675,640

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$56,211

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 22.0/30Return 4.0/25Consistency 7.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 53.5 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	47.5¢	$78,311	+$35,797	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	83.2¢	$62,671	+$2,372	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	92.9¢	$47,021	+$2,794	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	81.1¢	$39,357	+$2,443	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	92.2¢	$32,902	+$815	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.2¢	$20,625	+$84	Trade ↗
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	85.1¢	$14,576	+$956	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	89.5¢	$12,991	+$1,209	Trade ↗
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$9,347	+$256	Trade ↗
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	92.6¢	$8,920	+$635	Trade ↗
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	89.1¢	$8,055	+$35	Trade ↗
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	84.0¢	$7,731	+$134	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	45.1¢	$6,646	+$2,203	Trade ↗
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	34.6¢	$6,327	-$27,385	Trade ↗
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	82.0¢	$1,760	+$120	Trade ↗
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	No	83.2¢	$1,552	+$51	Trade ↗
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	No	85.0¢	$1,533	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?	No	81.0¢	$1,477	+$262	Trade ↗
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	60.4¢	$865	+$282	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	Yes	14.8¢	$532	-$1,567	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	43.0¢	$205	+$106	Trade ↗
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	45.0¢	$148	+$28	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1.6¢	$91	+$3	Trade ↗
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	89.0¢	$59	+$2	Trade ↗
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	30.9¢	$0	-$485	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	43.1¢	$0	-$32,527	Trade ↗
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	5.1¢	$0	-$2,696	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	24.9¢	$0	-$17,629	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	No	34.0¢	$0	-$1,902	Trade ↗
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	56.5¢	$0	-$15,902	Trade ↗
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?	No	19.0¢	$0	-$38	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?	No	7.1¢	$0	-$1,562	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	29.1¢	$0	-$6,478	Trade ↗
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	38.5¢	$0	-$13,196	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	12.0¢	$0	-$12,296	Trade ↗
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	33.0¢	$0	-$66	Trade ↗
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?	No	39.0¢	$0	-$780	Trade ↗
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?	No	13.8¢	$0	-$7,551	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
26d ago	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SELL	No	97.9¢	$44,055
56d ago	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	BUY	No	93.0¢	$12,156