LesterDiamond

85Qualified whaleProven trader

0x558f2f82cf0394c28ce3c8e117ee747aeab51a56· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,068,730

closed + open positions

Return on capital

20%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$212,720

Capital deployed

$5,245,650

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$62,669

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

482

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 17.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration -7.1Total 84.9 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50.0¢	$128,718	+$47,712	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50.0¢	$33,293	-$47,712	Trade ↗
Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	58.0¢	$17,756	+$7,458	Trade ↗
East Carolina vs. Memphis	Memphis	74.0¢	$7,610	+$1,978	Trade ↗
Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	49.0¢	$7,297	+$2,077	Trade ↗
Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	73.0¢	$3,588	+$969	Trade ↗
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 118.5	Under	50.0¢	$1,000	+$500	Trade ↗
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	98.8¢	$490	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?	No	99.3¢	$490	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	No	99.4¢	$486	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	97.2¢	$477	-$0	Trade ↗
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	96.1¢	$474	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	No	94.8¢	$472	+$7	Trade ↗
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	No	93.2¢	$442	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	83.3¢	$430	+$21	Trade ↗
Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 71.5	Under	99.0¢	$429	+$4	Trade ↗
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	84.9¢	$408	-$9	Trade ↗
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	No	82.6¢	$401	-$6	Trade ↗
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?	No	99.6¢	$373	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	67.8¢	$327	-$7	Trade ↗
Bears Team Total: O/U 30.5	Under	95.9¢	$300	+$12	Trade ↗
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Under	99.0¢	$300	+$3	Trade ↗
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 211.5	Under	99.0¢	$300	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?	No	99.7¢	$297	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Team Secret Whales win Worlds 2026?	No	99.8¢	$150	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	61.4¢	$104	+$22	Trade ↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	No	92.9¢	$98	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?	No	95.0¢	$98	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	97.5¢	$98	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	90.0¢	$94	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	No	73.7¢	$82	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	83.7¢	$81	-$3	Trade ↗
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	98.7¢	$74	-$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	97.8¢	$73	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	45.2¢	$72	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	88.0¢	$72	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	81.3¢	$70	+$11	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	64.7¢	$67	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	64.0¢	$60	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?	No	67.4¢	$60	+$19	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	61.9¢	$56	+$10	Trade ↗
Nuggets vs. Thunder: Team to Score First	Thunder	99.0¢	$56	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21?	No	71.0¢	$50	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21?	No	96.9¢	$50	+$2	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 21?	No	93.0¢	$50	+$4	Trade ↗
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	99.9¢	$50	+$0	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	65.0¢	$50	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	93.3¢	$50	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	99.7¢	$50	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	No	98.8¢	$50	+$0	Trade ↗
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	99.6¢	$50	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	94.6¢	$50	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	73.6¢	$50	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Jordan Bardella win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	97.9¢	$49	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 24?	No	98.9¢	$49	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	No	95.6¢	$49	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	92.6¢	$49	+$3	Trade ↗
Will David Lisnard win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	97.5¢	$49	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Édouard Philippe win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	99.5¢	$48	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	51.0¢	$47	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	90.4¢	$47	+$2	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	90.5¢	$47	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	75.0¢	$45	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	92.1¢	$45	-$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 23?	No	98.0¢	$45	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 23?	No	99.1¢	$45	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	98.4¢	$44	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	89.0¢	$44	-$0	Trade ↗
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	60.1¢	$44	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	97.1¢	$44	-$0	Trade ↗
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	No	77.0¢	$42	+$3	Trade ↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?	No	98.6¢	$41	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?	No	98.9¢	$41	+$0	Trade ↗
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	96.5¢	$41	-$7	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	79.9¢	$40	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?	No	96.0¢	$40	+$0	Trade ↗
Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3M and $4M?	No	98.0¢	$40	+$1	Trade ↗
Will "Klara and the Sun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $2M and $3M?	No	94.0¢	$39	+$2	Trade ↗
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	No	76.3¢	$39	+$9	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 25?	No	96.2¢	$39	+$1	Trade ↗
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	96.0¢	$38	-$1	Trade ↗
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	83.4¢	$36	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	74.4¢	$36	+$9	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	No	57.7¢	$36	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	78.2¢	$35	-$4	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 25?	No	79.0¢	$35	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 25?	No	91.8¢	$35	-$1	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No	78.0¢	$35	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	76.4¢	$35	-$4	Trade ↗
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	51.0¢	$34	-$5	Trade ↗
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	83.6¢	$32	-$6	Trade ↗
Will the median home value in Miami be between $788,000 and $809,000 on December 31?	No	96.2¢	$32	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	4.0¢	$31	+$29	Trade ↗
Will MrBeast's next video get between 133 and 135 million views on day 6?	No	43.0¢	$30	+$17	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	29.2¢	$29	-$10	Trade ↗
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	62.0¢	$29	+$4	Trade ↗
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	No	63.7¢	$29	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	66.3¢	$28	+$1	Trade ↗
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	5.4¢	$27	+$19	Trade ↗
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 24?	No	63.0¢	$27	-$5	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
2d ago	Nuggets vs. Thunder	BUY	Thunder	58.0¢	$10,299
18d ago	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	BUY	San Diego Padres	72.0¢	$11,937
28d ago	Ole Miss vs. Florida	BUY	Florida	82.0¢	$13,582
35d ago	Bowling Green Team Total: O/U 9.5	BUY	Under	94.0¢	$11,925
35d ago	Bowling Green Team Total: O/U 9.5	BUY	Under	94.0¢	$14,925