GayPride

81Qualified whaleProven trader

0x551e72eda42a5ab39d6d78239a1d9bbb5db6b0e0· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,562,155

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

100%

500 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$102,660

Capital deployed

$20,611,669

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,364

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

198

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 6.3/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 81.3 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	12.7¢	$14,639	+$11,757	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	15.8¢	$11,131	+$768	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.6¢	$7,038	+$6,687	Trade ↗
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	No	76.3¢	$6,911	+$1,318	Trade ↗
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	33.9¢	$4,509	+$2,588	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	40.4¢	$3,992	+$1,702	Trade ↗
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	No	55.9¢	$3,406	+$1,430	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$3,140	+$87	Trade ↗
Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?	No	71.7¢	$2,858	+$779	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	38.9¢	$2,691	+$1,206	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	3.2¢	$2,572	-$161	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$2,401	+$81	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$2,194	+$2,098	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	52.9¢	$1,999	+$676	Trade ↗
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	No	93.7¢	$1,468	+$28	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$1,229	+$44	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,228	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$1,161	+$985	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	35.0¢	$1,056	-$6,117	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?	No	94.0¢	$1,026	+$32	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.7¢	$995	+$504	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$970	+$34	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$952	+$735	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$907	+$33	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$840	+$624	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	11.6¢	$839	-$4,144	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	Yes	8.3¢	$827	+$176	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	No	73.5¢	$761	+$99	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	37.9¢	$742	+$131	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$715	+$577	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17.0¢	$644	-$1,031	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat?	Yes	93.9¢	$605	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$604	+$387	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$604	+$387	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$551	+$335	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	23.2¢	$532	-$1,114	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	21.9¢	$528	+$187	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$481	+$20	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$479	+$19	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	20.1¢	$477	+$222	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$446	+$230	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	19.6¢	$432	+$200	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$423	+$255	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	Yes	25.5¢	$376	-$8	Trade ↗
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	19.2¢	$374	+$125	Trade ↗
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$368	+$151	Trade ↗
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	No	43.0¢	$354	+$182	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	38.0¢	$345	+$60	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$341	+$125	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	85.0¢	$332	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	No	22.8¢	$317	+$105	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	87.4¢	$309	+$26	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	4.0¢	$270	-$30	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	88.4¢	$254	-$23	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat?	Yes	3.0¢	$251	+$26	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Yes	10.0¢	$250	$0	Trade ↗
Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	73.3¢	$245	-$12	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	No	18.7¢	$240	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	88.1¢	$236	-$21	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	No	8.5¢	$236	+$35	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$235	+$215	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	9.5¢	$233	+$162	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?	Yes	16.0¢	$206	+$59	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	39.0¢	$191	+$94	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.7¢	$188	+$139	Trade ↗
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$184	-$33	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	16.2¢	$177	-$26	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?	No	2.6¢	$174	-$85	Trade ↗
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$148	+$67	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$140	+$5	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$137	+$137	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-02 House seat?	Yes	4.0¢	$133	-$68	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	10.4¢	$129	-$220	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$129	+$27	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$105	+$105	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$100	+$100	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?	No	92.9¢	$91	-$2	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$87	+$87	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$82	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?	Yes	62.0¢	$80	+$18	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.4¢	$79	-$138	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$77	+$77	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$74	+$54	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$72	+$72	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-49 House seat?	Yes	3.0¢	$71	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.7¢	$68	+$18	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?	No	3.0¢	$68	-$72	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the IL-11 House seat?	Yes	3.0¢	$66	-$9	Trade ↗
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$65	+$65	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.3¢	$63	+$13	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	56.0¢	$60	-$362	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	15.2¢	$60	-$16	Trade ↗
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.5¢	$56	+$17	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?	Yes	3.0¢	$56	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?	Yes	3.0¢	$55	-$17	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat?	No	6.0¢	$55	-$5	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$54	+$34	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?	No	16.0¢	$50	-$30	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.8¢	$45	+$15	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-22 House seat?	Yes	6.0¢	$45	-$15	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
71d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	SELL	No	82.0¢	$10,364