GayPride

81Qualified whaleProven trader

0x551e72eda42a5ab39d6d78239a1d9bbb5db6b0e0· stats updated 3d ago

Realized PnL

+$1,655,824

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

97%

483 of 500 resolved

Resolved markets

500

Portfolio value

$115,131

Capital deployed

$22,923,388

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$10,364

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

178

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 30.0/30Return 6.0/25Consistency 25.0/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 81.0 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	55.2¢	$21,261	+$5,170	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	12.7¢	$11,653	+$8,057	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	28.5¢	$8,538	+$5,624	Trade ↗
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.0¢	$7,314	+$6,769	Trade ↗
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	47.3¢	$6,153	+$2,666	Trade ↗
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	19.3¢	$4,310	+$2,999	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	11.9¢	$3,800	-$133	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?	No	95.0¢	$3,343	+$18	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-49 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$3,103	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	40.4¢	$2,916	+$626	Trade ↗
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$2,666	+$2,490	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	3.2¢	$2,657	-$77	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-04 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$2,408	+$87	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat?	No	94.0¢	$2,388	+$38	Trade ↗
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	78.4¢	$1,884	-$77	Trade ↗
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	38.9¢	$1,813	+$328	Trade ↗
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	57.0¢	$1,613	+$188	Trade ↗
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	0.0¢	$1,263	+$1,263	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$1,222	+$45	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$1,208	+$23	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	15.3¢	$1,200	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	35.0¢	$1,025	-$6,148	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?	No	94.0¢	$1,009	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$992	+$662	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-01 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$974	+$37	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$945	+$25	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$919	+$509	Trade ↗
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.9¢	$829	+$199	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.2¢	$806	+$538	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	17.0¢	$767	-$908	Trade ↗
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$699	+$445	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	No	73.5¢	$698	+$36	Trade ↗
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	14.4¢	$694	-$1,106	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat?	Yes	93.9¢	$602	+$10	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	38.3¢	$509	+$51	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$499	+$89	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$473	+$13	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat?	Yes	93.0¢	$473	+$8	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?	No	86.1¢	$471	+$40	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	Yes	25.5¢	$414	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$394	-$16	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	85.0¢	$332	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$324	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$315	-$95	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$302	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	87.4¢	$290	+$8	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$289	-$121	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	88.4¢	$268	-$9	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	88.1¢	$252	-$5	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	No	10.0¢	$238	-$13	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	20.1¢	$227	-$77	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Yes	10.0¢	$213	-$38	Trade ↗
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	19.2¢	$202	-$47	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	19.6¢	$201	-$80	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?	Yes	16.0¢	$197	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$190	+$170	Trade ↗
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$152	+$152	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$152	-$31	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	10.4¢	$151	-$198	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.7¢	$143	+$94	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?	Yes	92.0¢	$139	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1.1¢	$139	+$35	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	37.9¢	$138	+$16	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$131	-$279	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	No	12.5¢	$131	-$120	Trade ↗
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$130	+$130	Trade ↗
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$127	+$127	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	39.0¢	$111	+$14	Trade ↗
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	56.0¢	$98	-$324	Trade ↗
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$92	+$92	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.7¢	$90	+$41	Trade ↗
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$86	+$67	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?	Yes	94.0¢	$81	+$3	Trade ↗
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$79	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$79	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$79	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$79	-$331	Trade ↗
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$73	+$73	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.3¢	$64	+$14	Trade ↗
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.8¢	$61	+$42	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.1¢	$58	+$6	Trade ↗
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	15.2¢	$56	-$20	Trade ↗
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$52	+$52	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat?	Yes	3.0¢	$50	-$22	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.7¢	$47	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?	Yes	5.0¢	$47	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?	No	5.0¢	$45	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.7¢	$42	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.8¢	$42	+$11	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?	No	16.0¢	$40	-$40	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?	Yes	3.6¢	$38	-$34	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?	Yes	95.0¢	$38	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$38	+$38	Trade ↗
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$35	+$35	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?	Yes	3.0¢	$35	-$37	Trade ↗
Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	No	4.0¢	$33	-$7	Trade ↗
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	0.0¢	$33	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?	No	2.9¢	$31	-$2	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?	Yes	5.9¢	$29	-$0	Trade ↗
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	7.7¢	$29	-$16	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
25d ago	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	SELL	No	82.0¢	$10,364