Vvv

0x4cd4c3690adc86de3b881ffbfb93a8c306335b25· stats updated 2d ago

Realized PnL

-$38

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

77%

33 of 43 resolved

Resolved markets

Portfolio value

$122,517

Capital deployed

$1,691,209

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$77,650

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 16.7/25Sample size 9.7/20Concentration -12.7Total 13.8 / 100

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	87.5¢	$108,235	+$5,867	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	92.0¢	$5,239	+$239	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	81.0¢	$4,691	+$140	Trade ↗
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	80.0¢	$1,840	+$240	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	90.6¢	$1,829	+$129	Trade ↗
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	82.2¢	$593	+$93	Trade ↗
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	No	80.0¢	$89	+$14	Trade ↗
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	65.1¢	$0	-$290	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	85.0¢	$0	-$1,275	Trade ↗
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?	No	91.5¢	$0	-$1,000	Trade ↗
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	95.5¢	$0	-$4,375	Trade ↗
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	86.0¢	$0	-$2,166	Trade ↗
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	0.2¢	$0	-$2,000	Trade ↗
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?	Yes	22.6¢	$0	-$111	Trade ↗

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
76d ago	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	No	93.0¢	$37,650
76d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	88.8¢	$20,000
77d ago	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	BUY	Yes	88.0¢	$20,000