0x4bD8d58a18CeEa9F82bc512505554711f2Ea5c53-1719957425788

0x4bd8d58a18ceea9f82bc512505554711f2ea5c53· stats updated 1d ago

Realized PnL

-$15,131

closed + open positions

Return on capital

-4%

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

65%

272 of 418 resolved

Resolved markets

418

Portfolio value

$18,631

Capital deployed

$432,191

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$14,865

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.0/25Consistency 9.4/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 29.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	79.6¢	$3,188	+$474	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	93.3¢	$2,896	+$97	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	98.1¢	$2,101	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$1,923	+$43	Trade ↗
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	93.8¢	$1,129	+$4	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$945	+$45	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	88.0¢	$865	-$15	Trade ↗
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	83.0¢	$855	+$25	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	78.0¢	$830	+$50	Trade ↗
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	No	90.7¢	$671	+$45	Trade ↗
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	63.9¢	$605	-$104	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	88.4¢	$495	+$9	Trade ↗
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	96.7¢	$494	+$10	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	87.0¢	$435	+$2	Trade ↗
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	81.0¢	$392	-$13	Trade ↗
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	No	92.0¢	$289	+$13	Trade ↗
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	72.0¢	$221	+$5	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	32.5¢	$214	+$52	Trade ↗
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	6.0¢	$43	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.2¢	$40	+$7	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16.5¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	8.6¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	6.9¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$65	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$2,700	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	3.2¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
22d ago	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY	No	99.1¢	$14,865