0x4bD8d58a18CeEa9F82bc512505554711f2Ea5c53-1719957425788

30Proven trader

0x4bd8d58a18ceea9f82bc512505554711f2ea5c53· stats updated 17h ago

Realized PnL

+$3,724

closed + open positions

Return on capital

realized PnL ÷ capital deployed

Win rate

66%

283 of 431 resolved

Resolved markets

431

Portfolio value

$18,344

Capital deployed

$483,104

lifetime cost of all positions

Tracked whale volume

$14,865

volume seen by WhaleWatcher

Open positions

Trader score (PnL + return + consistency + sample size − concentration)

PnL 0.0/30Return 0.6/25Consistency 9.8/25Sample size 20.0/20Concentration 0.0Total 30.4 / 100

Current positions

Market	Outcome	Avg price	Value	Unrealized PnL	Trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	94.5¢	$3,398	+$90	Trade ↗
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	79.6¢	$3,303	+$589	Trade ↗
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	93.3¢	$2,911	+$112	Trade ↗
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	94.0¢	$1,909	+$29	Trade ↗
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	90.0¢	$970	+$70	Trade ↗
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	88.0¢	$915	+$35	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	94.5¢	$875	-$70	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	78.0¢	$810	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	No	90.7¢	$672	+$46	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	93.0¢	$473	+$8	Trade ↗
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	87.0¢	$467	+$33	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	81.5¢	$437	+$30	Trade ↗
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	32.5¢	$398	+$235	Trade ↗
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?	Yes	94.0¢	$380	+$4	Trade ↗
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	92.0¢	$376	+$8	Trade ↗
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2.2¢	$50	+$17	Trade ↗
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16.5¢	$0	-$83	Trade ↗
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	8.6¢	$0	-$43	Trade ↗
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	20.0¢	$0	-$100	Trade ↗
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	6.9¢	$0	-$35	Trade ↗
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	13.0¢	$0	-$65	Trade ↗
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	90.0¢	$0	-$2,700	Trade ↗
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	3.2¢	$0	-$16	Trade ↗
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5.2¢	$0	-$26	Trade ↗

Recent whale trades (only trades above the tracking threshold)

Time	Market	Side	Outcome	Price	Size
68d ago	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	BUY	No	99.1¢	$14,865